Put Options Event and Cash Market Context
On 18 September, Infosys Ltd saw significant put option activity concentrated around four strikes expiring on 29 Sep 2026. The Rs 1,060 strike led with 2,938 contracts traded, followed by Rs 1,040 (5,496 contracts), Rs 1,020 (4,628 contracts), and Rs 1,000 (4,049 contracts). The underlying stock price stood at Rs 1,042, placing the Rs 1,060 and Rs 1,040 puts in-the-money (ITM) or at-the-money (ATM), while Rs 1,020 and Rs 1,000 were out-of-the-money (OTM).
The total turnover for these put trades was substantial, with Rs 307.2 lakhs at Rs 1,060 and Rs 344.3 lakhs at Rs 1,040, indicating active premium exchange. Meanwhile, the stock itself has been on a three-day losing streak, down 2.55% over that period, and underperformed its sector by 0.68% on the day, slipping 1.38% versus a sector decline of 1.42%. The Sensex, by contrast, gained 0.16%.
This juxtaposition of falling stock price and heavy put activity at strikes near or above the current price suggests a complex positioning scenario — Infosys Ltd investors may be balancing protection and directional bets simultaneously.
Strike Price Analysis: Moneyness and Distance
The Rs 1,060 strike sits approximately 1.7% above the current price of Rs 1,042, making it an ITM put option. The Rs 1,040 strike is effectively ATM, while Rs 1,020 and Rs 1,000 are OTM by roughly 2.1% and 4.0% respectively. The concentration of contracts at ITM and ATM strikes is notable, as it often signals more directional or hedging intent compared to OTM puts, which can be more speculative or protective.
Given the stock’s recent decline, the ITM and ATM put buying could reflect bearish positioning, anticipating further downside. Alternatively, these strikes may serve as a hedge for existing long positions, especially since the stock remains above its 5-day moving average but below longer-term averages such as the 20-day and 50-day. The Rs 1,040 to Rs 1,060 range roughly corresponds to a technical support zone, which could be a natural level for protective puts.
Infosys Ltd’s put activity at these strikes thus carries multiple interpretations — is this a sign of growing bearish conviction or prudent risk management?
Interpreting the Put Activity: Bearish, Hedging, or Put Writing?
Put options inherently carry ambiguous signals. Buying ITM or ATM puts while the stock is falling often indicates bearish bets, as traders expect further declines. However, if the stock has rallied recently or remains above key moving averages, such puts may be hedges against a pullback rather than outright directional bets.
In this case, the stock’s three-day decline and position below the 20-day and 50-day moving averages support a bearish interpretation. Yet, the stock remains above the 5-day moving average, and the put strikes cluster near technical support, suggesting some investors may be protecting gains or limiting downside risk rather than speculating on a sharp fall.
Put writing, or selling puts to collect premium, is less likely here given the high turnover and open interest at ITM strikes, which typically command higher premiums and risk. The open interest at Rs 1,060 is 4,505 contracts, with 2,938 traded on the day, indicating fresh positioning rather than just rollovers or adjustments.
Perfect timing to enter! This Small Cap from IT - Software just turned profitable with growth momentum clearly building up. Get in before the broader market notices!
- - New profitability achieved
- - Growth momentum building
- - Under-the-radar entry
Open Interest and Contracts Analysis
The ratio of contracts traded to open interest offers insight into whether the activity is fresh or part of existing positions. At the Rs 1,060 strike, 2,938 contracts traded against an open interest of 4,505, a ratio of roughly 0.65, indicating significant fresh activity but also some ongoing positions. The Rs 1,040 strike shows even higher turnover (5,496 contracts) against an open interest of 4,891, suggesting active adjustments or new hedges.
Lower open interest at the Rs 1,020 strike (3,047) compared to contracts traded (4,628) points to predominantly fresh positioning, while the Rs 1,000 strike has 4,049 contracts traded against 4,928 open interest, indicating a mix of new and existing positions. This pattern supports the view that investors are actively managing risk around the current price zone, rather than merely rolling over old bets.
Infosys Ltd’s put market thus reflects a dynamic interplay of fresh hedging and directional positioning — how will this balance influence near-term price action?
Cash Market Context: Moving Averages and Delivery Volumes
The stock’s technical setup adds nuance to the put activity interpretation. Infosys Ltd trades above its 5-day moving average but remains below the 20-day, 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day averages. This positioning suggests short-term support but medium-term resistance, a scenario where protective puts near current levels are logical for risk-averse investors.
Delivery volumes on 17 Sep were 28.09 lakh shares, down 44.53% from the five-day average, signalling reduced investor participation in the recent decline. This thinning delivery-backed volume may explain why put buyers are seeking protection — the rally lacks conviction from committed buyers, increasing downside risk.
The stock also offers a high dividend yield of 4.6%, which can encourage long-term holding despite short-term volatility. The interplay of these factors suggests the put activity is not purely bearish but a blend of hedging and cautious positioning.
Is Infosys Ltd your best bet? SwitchER suggests better alternatives across peers, market caps, and sectors. Discover stocks that could deliver more for your portfolio!
- - Better alternatives suggested
- - Cross-sector comparison
- - Portfolio optimization tool
Conclusion: Protective Hedging with a Bearish Underpinning
The heavy put activity on Infosys Ltd at strikes near and above the current price, combined with a recent price decline and technical positioning, suggests a nuanced picture. The data points to a blend of protective hedging by long holders wary of further downside and some degree of bearish positioning anticipating continued weakness.
Put writing appears less prominent given the high turnover and open interest at ITM strikes, which typically carry greater risk and premium. The stock’s position above the 5-day moving average and the presence of technical support near the put strikes reinforce the hedging interpretation, while the falling delivery volumes add a cautionary note.
Investors may thus be balancing risk carefully rather than making outright bearish bets — should you consider this a signal to hedge or an opportunity to watch for a rebound?
Only Rs. 9,999 - Get MojoOne + Stock of the Week for 1 Year Start at 33% Off →
