Key Events This Week
29 Dec 2025: Stock opens at Rs.5,085.60 with a 0.27% gain despite Sensex decline
30 Dec 2025: Heavy put option activity signals bearish sentiment; stock falls 1.37%
31 Dec 2025: Continued put option interest; stock rebounds 0.89%
1 Jan 2026: High-value trading day with mixed technical signals; stock gains 0.96%
2 Jan 2026: Technical momentum shifts mildly bearish; stock closes at Rs.5,108.95 (+0.96%)
29 December 2025: Modest Gain Amid Broader Market Weakness
Interglobe Aviation Ltd began the week on a positive note, closing at Rs.5,085.60, up 0.27% despite the Sensex falling 0.41% to 37,140.23. This relative resilience came amid the formation of a Death Cross technical pattern, signalling a potential bearish trend as the 50-day moving average crossed below the 200-day average. This development raised concerns about medium- to long-term momentum deterioration, despite the stock’s strong historical returns over multiple years.
30 December 2025: Heavy Put Option Activity and Price Decline
The stock faced pressure on 30 December, falling 1.37% to Rs.5,015.85, underperforming the Sensex’s marginal 0.01% decline. This day saw significant put option activity, particularly at the ₹5,000 and ₹5,050 strike prices, with thousands of contracts traded and high open interest. The surge in put contracts reflected growing bearish sentiment and hedging strategies amid subdued price action and technical weakness. Delivery volumes also plunged by nearly 79%, indicating reduced buyer conviction.
31 December 2025: Continued Bearish Options Activity but Price Recovery
Despite ongoing heavy put option trading ahead of the January expiry, Interglobe Aviation’s stock rebounded 0.89% to Rs.5,060.35. The 5,000 strike put options remained highly active, signalling persistent caution among investors. Delivery volumes surged by 77.7%, suggesting increased investor participation possibly linked to portfolio adjustments. The stock’s technical position remained weak, trading below all major moving averages, but the price recovery indicated some short-term resilience.
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1 January 2026: High-Value Trading and Mixed Technical Signals
Interglobe Aviation Ltd recorded one of the highest value turnovers on 1 January, with 3,31,873 shares traded worth ₹17,017.39 lakhs. The stock gained 0.96%, closing at Rs.5,108.95, outperforming the Sensex’s 0.14% rise. Call option activity surged at the ₹5,100 and ₹5,200 strikes, indicating cautious bullish positioning despite the company’s Sell rating and Mojo Score of 33.0. Technical indicators showed the stock above its 5-day moving average but below longer-term averages, reflecting short-term momentum amid longer-term resistance. Delivery volumes declined slightly by 2.77%, suggesting moderated investor participation.
2 January 2026: Technical Momentum Shifts Amid Mixed Market Signals
The stock closed at Rs.5,108.95 on 2 January, up 0.96% from the previous day, with technical momentum shifting from bearish to mildly bearish. Monthly MACD indicators hinted at stabilisation, while weekly MACD remained bearish. RSI readings were neutral, and Bollinger Bands showed mixed signals with weekly mildly bearish and monthly mildly bullish trends. On-Balance Volume was mildly bullish weekly but neutral monthly, and Dow Theory signals were tentative. Despite recent short-term gains, the stock’s longer-term moving averages remain resistance points. The Mojo Grade remains Sell, reflecting caution amid mixed technical and fundamental signals.
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Daily Price Comparison: Interglobe Aviation Ltd vs Sensex
| Date | Stock Price | Day Change | Sensex | Day Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-29 | Rs.5,085.60 | +0.27% | 37,140.23 | -0.41% |
| 2025-12-30 | Rs.5,015.85 | -1.37% | 37,135.83 | -0.01% |
| 2025-12-31 | Rs.5,060.35 | +0.89% | 37,443.41 | +0.83% |
| 2026-01-01 | Rs.5,108.95 | +0.96% | 37,497.10 | +0.14% |
| 2026-01-02 | Rs.5,106.45 | -0.05% | 37,799.57 | +0.81% |
Key Takeaways
Positive Signals: The stock demonstrated resilience on several days, notably on 29 December and 1 January, outperforming the Sensex on those sessions. The surge in call option activity at strikes above the current price on 1 January indicates cautious optimism among traders. Delivery volumes showed intermittent increases, suggesting active portfolio adjustments. The shift from outright bearish to mildly bearish technical momentum on 2 January hints at potential stabilisation.
Cautionary Signals: The formation of the Death Cross early in the week signals medium- to long-term technical weakness. Heavy put option activity at near-the-money strikes throughout the week reflects significant hedging and bearish positioning. The stock remains below key longer-term moving averages, and the Mojo Grade downgrade to Sell underscores fundamental and technical concerns. Delivery volumes have also shown sharp declines on some days, indicating reduced conviction among buyers.
Sector and Market Context: The airline sector continues to face headwinds from fuel price volatility, regulatory challenges, and fluctuating travel demand. Interglobe Aviation’s mixed performance relative to the Sensex and sector peers reflects these pressures. The stock’s large market capitalisation and liquidity support active trading but also expose it to sector-wide volatility.
Conclusion
Interglobe Aviation Ltd’s week was characterised by a complex interplay of technical signals, options market activity, and fluctuating investor sentiment. While the stock managed a modest weekly gain of 0.68%, it underperformed the Sensex’s 1.35% rise, reflecting cautious market positioning amid sectoral challenges. The persistent heavy put option volumes and the Death Cross formation highlight ongoing risks, while call option interest and short-term price gains suggest pockets of optimism. Investors should remain vigilant, monitoring technical indicators and options market trends closely as the January expiry approaches. The stock’s mixed momentum and recent downgrade to a Sell rating warrant a measured approach, balancing the company’s strong long-term fundamentals against near-term uncertainties.
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