Is Aditya Vision technically bullish or bearish?

Recent Price Movement and Trend Shift

Aditya Vision’s share price currently stands at ₹506.60, down from the previous close of ₹522.80. The stock has experienced a notable pullback in recent sessions, with the intraday low touching ₹502.00 and a high of ₹523.80. Over the past week, the stock has declined by 5.85%, significantly underperforming the broader Sensex, which fell by just 0.59% in the same period. This divergence signals some near-term weakness in the stock relative to the market.

The technical trend for Aditya Vision has recently transitioned from mildly bullish to sideways as of 3 December 2025. This shift indicates that the stock is currently consolidating, with neither buyers nor sellers exerting decisive control. Such a sideways trend often precedes a breakout or breakdown, making it crucial for investors to monitor upcoming price action closely.

Technical Indicators: Mixed Signals Across Timeframes

Examining the key technical indicators reveals a mixed landscape. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) presents a split view: weekly readings are mildly bearish, suggesting short-term momentum is waning, while monthly MACD remains bullish, indicating longer-term strength. This divergence implies that while the stock may face short-term pressure, the broader trend could still be intact.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on a weekly basis is bearish, reflecting weakening momentum and potential oversold conditions in the near term. However, the monthly RSI does not provide a clear signal, underscoring the lack of conviction in either direction over a longer horizon.

Bollinger Bands add further nuance. Weekly readings are bearish, signalling that the stock price is trending towards the lower band, often a sign of increased volatility and downward pressure. Conversely, the monthly Bollinger Bands are mildly bullish, suggesting that over a longer timeframe, the stock may still have room to appreciate within its trading range.

Additional Technical Measures

Other momentum indicators such as the Know Sure Thing (KST) oscillator and Dow Theory both show mild bearishness on weekly and monthly charts. These indicators reinforce the notion of short- to medium-term caution among traders. On the other hand, the On-Balance Volume (OBV) indicator is mildly bullish on a weekly basis, hinting that volume trends may still support some accumulation despite price softness.

Price Range and Historical Context

Aditya Vision’s 52-week price range spans from ₹328.25 to ₹598.10, with the current price sitting closer to the upper end of this spectrum. This proximity to the yearly high suggests that the stock has demonstrated considerable strength over the past year, despite recent pullbacks. The stock’s long-term returns are impressive, with a five-year gain exceeding 20,000%, vastly outperforming the Sensex’s 90.68% over the same period. Even over three years, the stock has delivered a robust 260.68% return compared to the Sensex’s 35.37%.

Short-Term Weakness Versus Long-Term Strength

The recent underperformance relative to the Sensex, particularly over the past month where Aditya Vision declined nearly 15% while the Sensex gained 1.34%, highlights short-term headwinds. This could be attributed to profit-taking, sector rotation, or broader market volatility impacting retail stocks. The sideways trend and bearish weekly indicators suggest that investors should exercise caution in the near term.

However, the stock’s year-to-date return of -0.75% compared to the Sensex’s 8.92% gain indicates some lagging performance this year, but the one-year return of 6.65% still outpaces the Sensex’s 5.27%. This resilience over a longer timeframe points to underlying business strength and investor confidence in Aditya Vision’s fundamentals.

Industry Context and Market Position

Operating in the retailing sector, Aditya Vision faces both opportunities and challenges. The sector is sensitive to consumer spending trends, economic cycles, and competitive pressures. Technical indicators reflecting mixed signals may also mirror the sector’s current state of flux, with some investors awaiting clearer catalysts before committing further capital.

Given the stock’s historical outperformance and current consolidation phase, investors might view this as a period of digestion before a potential new leg higher. Conversely, failure to hold key support levels could trigger further downside, especially if broader market conditions deteriorate.

Technical Outlook: What Should Investors Watch?

For investors analysing Aditya Vision, the key will be to monitor the stock’s ability to maintain support around the current ₹500 level. A sustained move above recent highs near ₹523 could signal a resumption of the bullish trend, supported by the mildly bullish daily moving averages and monthly MACD.

Conversely, a breakdown below the recent lows could confirm the bearish weekly momentum indicated by the RSI, KST, and Dow Theory signals, potentially leading to a deeper correction. Volume trends, as suggested by the mildly bullish weekly OBV, will also be critical to watch for signs of accumulation or distribution.

Given the sideways trend, investors may prefer to wait for a clear breakout or breakdown before increasing exposure, balancing the stock’s strong long-term performance against short-term technical caution.

Conclusion: A Cautiously Neutral Technical Stance

In summary, Aditya Vision’s technical profile is currently neutral to mildly bearish in the short term, with a sideways trend replacing the earlier mildly bullish momentum. Weekly indicators predominantly signal caution, while monthly measures retain a degree of bullishness, reflecting a stock in consolidation rather than outright decline.

Investors should weigh the stock’s impressive long-term returns and sector positioning against recent price weakness and mixed technical signals. A patient approach, focusing on key support and resistance levels, is advisable until a clearer directional trend emerges.

Key Takeaways for Investors:

• Short-term technical indicators lean bearish, suggesting caution.


• Longer-term monthly signals remain mildly bullish, indicating potential for recovery.


• Recent price action shows a sideways consolidation phase after a pullback.


• Strong historical returns highlight the stock’s resilience over multiple years.


• Monitoring volume and key price levels will be essential for timing entries or exits.

Overall, Aditya Vision is neither decisively bullish nor bearish at present but rather in a technical holding pattern. Investors should remain vigilant for signs of trend confirmation before making significant portfolio adjustments.

Limited Time Only! Subscribe for Rs. 12,999 and get 1 Year of MojoOne + an Additional Year Completely FREE. Don't miss out on this exclusive offer. Claim Your Free Year →