Is Manipal Fin. Cor overvalued or undervalued?

Dec 05 2025 08:19 AM IST
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As of December 4, 2025, Manipal Financial Corporation's valuation has improved to attractive, indicating it may be undervalued with a negative PE ratio of -32.14 and strong year-to-date returns of 39.44%, suggesting potential for recovery not yet reflected in its stock price compared to peers like Bajaj Finance and Life Insurance.




Understanding the Valuation Metrics


At first glance, Manipal Finance Corporation’s valuation ratios appear unusual. The company reports a negative price-to-earnings (PE) ratio and price-to-book (P/B) value, reflecting recent losses and negative equity book value. Its enterprise value to EBIT and EBITDA ratios are also negative, indicating operating losses. These figures typically signal caution for investors, as they suggest the company is not currently profitable on an operating or net income basis.


However, the valuation grade has improved to “attractive” as of early December 2025, signalling that the market may be pricing in a turnaround or undervaluation relative to intrinsic value. The EV to sales ratio stands at a positive 12.24, which, while elevated, is not uncommon for financial companies with growth potential. The PEG ratio is zero, reflecting the absence of positive earnings growth projections at this stage.


Peer Comparison Highlights


When compared with its peers in the Non-Banking Financial Company (NBFC) sector, Manipal Finance Corporation’s valuation stands out. Major players such as Bajaj Finance and Bajaj Finserv trade at very expensive multiples, with PE ratios in the mid-30s and EV/EBITDA ratios well above 10. Life Insurance companies like SBI Life and Life Insurance Corporation are rated very attractive or fair but have positive earnings and higher valuation multiples.


Manipal Finance’s negative earnings metrics contrast sharply with these peers, yet its valuation grade is more attractive. This suggests that the market may be anticipating a recovery or that the stock is undervalued relative to its sector, especially given its recent price performance.



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Stock Price and Return Analysis


Manipal Finance Corporation’s current share price is ₹9.97, having traded between ₹6.49 and ₹21.73 over the past 52 weeks. This wide range indicates significant volatility but also potential for upside. Notably, the stock has delivered a year-to-date return of 39.4% and a one-year return of 53.6%, substantially outperforming the Sensex’s respective returns of 9.1% and 5.3% over the same periods.


Over three years, the stock has returned 62.1%, nearly doubling the Sensex’s 35.6% gain. These figures suggest strong market confidence in the company’s prospects despite current profitability challenges. The stock’s resilience and outperformance may reflect investor anticipation of operational improvements or strategic initiatives that could restore profitability.


Profitability and Operational Concerns


Despite the positive price momentum, Manipal Finance Corporation’s latest return on capital employed (ROCE) and return on equity (ROE) remain negative. Negative capital employed and book value imply that the company is currently facing financial stress or restructuring. This is a critical factor for investors to consider, as sustained losses could undermine long-term value.


However, the shift in valuation grade from risky to attractive indicates that analysts or the market see potential for a turnaround. This could be driven by improving asset quality, cost rationalisation, or new business lines that have yet to reflect fully in earnings.


Conclusion: Undervalued with Caveats


In summary, Manipal Finance Corporation appears undervalued relative to its sector peers when considering its attractive valuation grade and strong recent stock performance. The negative earnings and book value metrics warrant caution, but the market’s positive re-rating suggests expectations of recovery. Investors should weigh the risks of ongoing losses against the potential for a turnaround that could unlock value.


For those with a higher risk tolerance and a long-term investment horizon, Manipal Finance Corporation may represent an opportunity to buy into a financially stressed NBFC at a discount before profitability returns. Conversely, more conservative investors might prefer to wait for clearer signs of sustained earnings improvement before committing capital.





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