Is Rivian Automotive, Inc. overvalued or undervalued?

Jun 25 2025 09:11 AM IST
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As of December 16, 2021, Rivian Automotive is considered overvalued and classified as "risky" due to significant financial distress, highlighted by a Price to Book Value of 2.58 and negative returns on capital and equity, while its stock performance has been lackluster compared to peers.
As of 16 December 2021, Rivian Automotive, Inc. has moved from a valuation grade of "does not qualify" to "risky." The company is currently considered overvalued. Key ratios indicate significant financial distress, with a Price to Book Value of 2.58, an EV to EBIT of -3.45, and an EV to EBITDA of -4.58. The return on capital employed (ROCE) stands at a staggering -110.70%, and the return on equity (ROE) is at -59.93%, underscoring the challenges the company faces.

In comparison to its peers, Rivian's valuation metrics are concerning. For instance, VinFast Auto Ltd. has an EV to EBITDA of -5.73, while Lucid Group, Inc. shows an EV to EBITDA of -1.97, both indicating similar struggles within the industry. In contrast, Oshkosh Corp. and Harley-Davidson, Inc. are classified as attractive, with P/E ratios of 12.00 and 9.23, respectively. Rivian's recent stock performance has been lackluster, with a year-to-date return of 2.63%, slightly outperforming the S&P 500's 2.44%, but its longer-term performance has significantly lagged behind, suggesting a need for caution in its valuation.
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