The stock has recorded a consecutive two-day decline, resulting in a cumulative return loss of 4.83% over this short period. Today's performance saw the share price fall by 0.48%, underperforming its sector by 0.93%. This movement places Kisan Mouldings below all key moving averages, including the 5-day, 20-day, 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day averages, indicating a sustained bearish trend in the near to medium term.
Over the past year, Kisan Mouldings has experienced a substantial negative return of 45.45%, contrasting sharply with the Sensex's positive return of 9.58% during the same period. The stock's 52-week high was recorded at Rs.68.76, highlighting the extent of the decline from its peak levels. This performance also trails the broader BSE500 index, which has generated returns of 8.07% over the last year.
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Financially, Kisan Mouldings has shown signs of strain. The company reported net sales of Rs.47.45 crores in the September quarter, reflecting a decline of 28.8% compared to the average of the previous four quarters. Profit before tax less other income (PBT less OI) registered a loss of Rs.3.57 crores, a significant fall of 20,300% relative to the prior four-quarter average. The operating profit before depreciation and interest (PBDIT) was also negative at Rs.-1.33 crores, marking the lowest level recorded.
These figures contribute to the company's classification as having weak long-term fundamental strength, with operating losses impacting its financial health. Over the last five years, net sales have grown at an annual rate of 7.87%, while operating profit has shown a growth rate of 14.74%. Despite these growth rates, the company’s ability to service debt remains limited, as indicated by a Debt to EBITDA ratio of -1.00 times, which points to challenges in managing leverage effectively.
The stock's valuation metrics also reflect a degree of risk. The price-to-earnings-to-growth (PEG) ratio stands at 8.2, suggesting that the stock is trading at a level that may not align with its earnings growth profile. This is further underscored by the fact that while profits have risen by 103.8% over the past year, the stock price has declined sharply, indicating a disconnect between market valuation and earnings performance.
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In the broader market context, the Sensex opened flat with a minor decline of 29.24 points but subsequently climbed 322.60 points to close at 84,966.38, a gain of 0.35%. The index is currently trading just 0.38% below its 52-week high of 85,290.06. The Sensex is supported by bullish moving averages, with the 50-day moving average positioned above the 200-day moving average, and mega-cap stocks leading the gains. This contrasts with Kisan Mouldings’ underperformance and its position well below its moving averages.
The company’s shareholding structure remains concentrated, with promoters holding the majority stake. This ownership pattern is typical for many industrial sector companies but does not appear to have provided a stabilising influence on the stock price amid recent declines.
Overall, Kisan Mouldings’ stock has experienced a notable decline to its 52-week low of Rs.26.33, reflecting a combination of subdued sales, negative operating profits, and valuation concerns. The stock’s performance relative to sector peers and the broader market indices highlights the challenges faced by the company in the current market environment.
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