Recent Price Movement and Market Context
As of 22 Jan 2026, KPI Green Energy’s stock price closed at ₹434.70, down 1.77% from the previous close of ₹442.55. The intraday range saw a high of ₹458.25 and a low of ₹420.80, reflecting heightened volatility. The stock remains well below its 52-week high of ₹562.60 but comfortably above its 52-week low of ₹312.95, indicating a wide trading band over the past year.
Comparatively, the Sensex has underperformed KPI Green Energy over the short term, with the stock posting a 0.51% return over the past week against the Sensex’s decline of 1.77%. Over one month, KPI Green Energy gained 3.9%, while the Sensex fell 3.56%. However, year-to-date figures reveal a sharper decline for the stock at -13.63%, compared to the Sensex’s -3.89%. Over longer horizons, KPI Green Energy has significantly outperformed the benchmark, delivering 5.9% over one year, 361.79% over three years, and an extraordinary 6608.8% over five years, underscoring its strong growth trajectory in the power sector.
Technical Trend Shift: From Mildly Bearish to Bearish
The technical trend for KPI Green Energy has shifted from mildly bearish to outright bearish, signalling increased downside risk. This shift is corroborated by several key technical indicators across multiple timeframes.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator remains bearish on a weekly basis and mildly bearish on a monthly scale, suggesting that momentum is weakening but with some longer-term support. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently shows no clear signal on either weekly or monthly charts, indicating a lack of strong momentum either way but leaving room for further downside if selling pressure intensifies.
Bollinger Bands, which measure volatility and price levels relative to moving averages, are bearish on both weekly and monthly charts, implying that the stock price is trending towards the lower band and may be under pressure. Daily moving averages also confirm a bearish stance, with the stock trading below key averages, signalling a negative short-term outlook.
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Additional Technical Indicators Confirm Bearish Sentiment
The Know Sure Thing (KST) indicator, which aggregates multiple rate-of-change calculations, is bearish on a weekly basis and mildly bearish monthly, reinforcing the negative momentum. The Dow Theory analysis shows a mildly bearish trend weekly but no clear trend monthly, suggesting some uncertainty in the broader market context.
On-Balance Volume (OBV), a volume-based indicator that helps confirm price trends, is mildly bearish weekly and neutral monthly, indicating that volume trends are not strongly supporting a reversal or rally at this stage.
Overall, the technical landscape for KPI Green Energy is dominated by bearish signals, particularly in the short to medium term, with some mild bearishness persisting on longer-term charts. This deterioration in technical parameters aligns with the downgrade in the Mojo Grade from Hold to Sell, reflecting increased caution among analysts and investors.
Mojo Score and Grade Analysis
KPI Green Energy’s current Mojo Score stands at 37.0, categorised as a Sell rating, down from a previous Hold grade. The downgrade was implemented on 17 Nov 2025, signalling a reassessment of the stock’s risk-reward profile. The Market Cap Grade remains low at 3, indicating limited market capitalisation strength relative to peers.
This downgrade reflects the combination of technical weakness and valuation concerns, despite the company’s strong historical returns. Investors should note that the stock’s recent underperformance year-to-date and the bearish technical signals warrant a cautious approach.
Long-Term Performance Versus Short-Term Challenges
While the short-term technical outlook is negative, KPI Green Energy’s long-term performance remains impressive. The stock has delivered a staggering 6608.8% return over five years, vastly outperforming the Sensex’s 65.06% return over the same period. Over three years, the stock’s 361.79% gain also dwarfs the benchmark’s 35.12% rise.
However, the recent year-to-date decline of 13.63% contrasts with the Sensex’s smaller 3.89% fall, highlighting the stock’s vulnerability to near-term market pressures. This divergence underscores the importance of monitoring technical indicators closely for signs of trend reversals or further deterioration.
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Investor Implications and Outlook
Given the current technical deterioration, investors should exercise caution with KPI Green Energy. The bearish signals across MACD, Bollinger Bands, moving averages, and KST suggest that the stock may face further downside pressure in the near term. The absence of strong RSI signals indicates that the stock is not yet oversold, leaving room for additional declines.
Investors with a long-term horizon may consider the stock’s impressive multi-year returns and sector positioning in power, but should be mindful of the recent technical weakness and the downgrade in analyst sentiment. Risk-averse investors might prefer to reduce exposure or explore alternative stocks within the power sector or broader market that exhibit stronger technical and fundamental profiles.
Monitoring key support levels near ₹420 and the 52-week low of ₹312.95 will be critical in assessing whether the stock stabilises or continues its downward trajectory. Additionally, any improvement in volume trends or a bullish crossover in MACD could signal a potential reversal, but such signs are currently absent.
Summary
KPI Green Energy Ltd is currently navigating a challenging technical environment, with multiple indicators confirming a bearish momentum shift. The downgrade from Hold to Sell by MarketsMOJO reflects this negative trend, despite the company’s strong long-term performance. Investors should weigh the risks of further downside against the stock’s historical growth and sector fundamentals, while keeping a close eye on evolving technical signals for any signs of recovery.
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