Key Events This Week
Jan 27: Stock rises 0.69% amid positive market momentum
Jan 28: Gains accelerate to 1.64% as Sensex rallies
Jan 29: Death Cross formation signals bearish trend; stock falls 1.85%
Jan 30: Mojo Grade downgraded to Sell; stock surges 3.73%
Monday, 27 January: Modest Gains Amid Broad Market Strength
Lemon Tree Hotels Ltd opened the week on a positive note, closing at Rs.124.90, up Rs.0.85 or 0.69% from the previous close of Rs.124.05. This gain slightly outpaced the Sensex’s 0.50% rise to 35,786.84. The stock’s volume was robust at 404,940 shares, reflecting steady investor interest. The positive market environment supported the stock’s initial upward momentum, setting a constructive tone for the week.
Tuesday, 28 January: Accelerated Rally as Sensex Surges
The upward momentum continued on 28 January, with Lemon Tree Hotels Ltd advancing by Rs.2.05 or 1.64% to close at Rs.126.95. This outperformance was in line with the Sensex’s strong 1.12% gain to 36,188.16. However, the stock’s volume declined to 191,657 shares, suggesting some profit-taking or cautious positioning despite the price rise. The rally was supported by broader market optimism, but technical indicators were beginning to signal caution.
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Wednesday, 29 January: Death Cross Formation Triggers Bearish Sentiment
The stock reversed course on 29 January, declining by Rs.2.35 or 1.85% to close at Rs.124.60, despite the Sensex advancing 0.22% to 36,266.59. This day marked a pivotal technical development as Lemon Tree Hotels Ltd formed a Death Cross, where the 50-day moving average crossed below the 200-day moving average. This indicator is widely regarded as a bearish signal, suggesting a potential shift to a sustained downtrend. The formation reflected deteriorating momentum and heightened caution among investors. Volume increased to 273,943 shares, indicating active trading amid the technical shift.
Thursday, 30 January: Technical Downgrade Amid Volatile Recovery
On the final trading day of the week, Lemon Tree Hotels Ltd rebounded strongly, gaining Rs.4.65 or 3.73% to close at Rs.129.25, the week’s high. This surge came despite the Sensex retreating 0.22% to 36,185.03. The rebound followed the announcement of a downgrade in the company’s Mojo Grade from Hold to Sell, reflecting a weakening technical profile. The stock traded within a range of Rs.122.20 to Rs.126.90 during the day, with volume rising to 318,141 shares. Technical indicators remained bearish overall, but the sharp recovery suggested short-term volatility and potential for price swings amid uncertain momentum.
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Daily Price Comparison: Lemon Tree Hotels Ltd vs Sensex
| Date | Stock Price | Day Change | Sensex | Day Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-27 | Rs.124.90 | +0.69% | 35,786.84 | +0.50% |
| 2026-01-28 | Rs.126.95 | +1.64% | 36,188.16 | +1.12% |
| 2026-01-29 | Rs.124.60 | -1.85% | 36,266.59 | +0.22% |
| 2026-01-30 | Rs.129.25 | +3.73% | 36,185.03 | -0.22% |
Key Takeaways from the Week
Positive Signals: Lemon Tree Hotels Ltd outperformed the Sensex with a weekly gain of 4.19% versus the benchmark’s 1.62%, closing at the week’s high of Rs.129.25. The strong rebound on 30 January demonstrated resilience despite bearish technical developments. The stock’s long-term performance remains robust, with three- and five-year gains of 70.99% and 201.45% respectively, outperforming the Sensex over those periods.
Cautionary Signals: The formation of the Death Cross on 29 January is a significant bearish technical indicator, signalling potential for sustained downward momentum. The downgrade of the Mojo Grade to Sell further underscores the weakening technical profile. Daily moving averages and MACD indicators remain bearish, while Bollinger Bands suggest increased volatility skewed to the downside. The stock’s recent underperformance over one month (-22.19%) and year-to-date (-21.73%) contrasts sharply with the broader market, highlighting elevated risk.
Conclusion: Navigating Mixed Technical Signals
Lemon Tree Hotels Ltd’s week was characterised by a complex interplay of positive price gains and emerging bearish technical signals. While the stock outperformed the Sensex and closed at a weekly high, the formation of the Death Cross and downgrade to a Sell rating indicate caution. Technical momentum remains subdued, with several indicators pointing to downside risks despite short-term rebounds. Investors should remain vigilant and monitor further developments in volume and momentum indicators to assess whether the stock can sustain its gains or faces continued pressure. The week’s events highlight the importance of balancing price performance with technical analysis in evaluating the stock’s near-term outlook.
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