Technical Trend Shift and Price Movement
On 1 February 2026, Macpower CNC Machines Ltd closed at ₹842.40, marking a 1.36% increase from the previous close of ₹831.10. The stock traded within a range of ₹825.00 to ₹851.30 during the day, maintaining a position well above its 52-week low of ₹601.20 but still significantly below its 52-week high of ₹1,314.90. This price action coincides with a technical trend change from sideways to mildly bullish, signalling a tentative upturn in momentum.
However, the broader price returns paint a more nuanced picture. Over the past week, the stock gained 0.81%, slightly underperforming the Sensex’s 1.09% rise. The one-month and year-to-date returns remain deeply negative at -16.48% and -18.23% respectively, compared to the Sensex’s more modest declines of -2.38% and -3.10%. Over longer horizons, Macpower CNC has outperformed substantially, with a three-year return of 169.78% versus Sensex’s 43.47%, and a five-year return of 752.2% compared to 85.71% for the benchmark. This divergence highlights the stock’s volatility and the importance of technical analysis in timing entries and exits.
MACD and Momentum Oscillators: Conflicting Signals
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator presents a mixed outlook. On a weekly basis, the MACD remains bearish, indicating that the short-term momentum is still under pressure. Conversely, the monthly MACD is mildly bearish, suggesting that while the longer-term trend is not decisively negative, it lacks strong bullish conviction.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) adds further complexity. The weekly RSI currently shows no clear signal, hovering in a neutral zone that neither indicates overbought nor oversold conditions. In contrast, the monthly RSI is bullish, implying that the stock may be gaining strength over a longer timeframe. This divergence between weekly and monthly RSI readings suggests that short-term traders should exercise caution, while longer-term investors might find some encouragement in the improving momentum.
Moving Averages and Bollinger Bands Analysis
Daily moving averages have turned mildly bullish, reflecting recent upward price movements. This suggests that short-term momentum is gaining traction, potentially supporting further gains if sustained. However, the Bollinger Bands tell a more cautious story. Weekly Bollinger Bands are mildly bearish, indicating that price volatility remains skewed towards downside risk in the near term. Monthly Bollinger Bands are outright bearish, signalling that the stock’s price remains under pressure when viewed over a longer horizon.
These contrasting signals from moving averages and Bollinger Bands underscore the stock’s current technical uncertainty. While short-term momentum indicators hint at a possible recovery, volatility measures caution investors about potential reversals or consolidation phases.
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Additional Technical Indicators: KST, Dow Theory, and OBV
The Know Sure Thing (KST) indicator offers a split view: weekly readings are bullish, suggesting positive momentum in the near term, while monthly readings are mildly bearish, indicating some caution over longer periods. This aligns with the mixed signals from MACD and RSI, reinforcing the notion of a tentative recovery that requires confirmation.
Dow Theory assessments also reflect this duality. Weekly Dow Theory signals are mildly bearish, hinting at short-term weakness or consolidation, whereas monthly signals are mildly bullish, supporting the possibility of a longer-term uptrend. This divergence highlights the importance of monitoring multiple timeframes to gauge the stock’s true trend direction.
On-Balance Volume (OBV) analysis shows a mildly bearish trend on a weekly basis, suggesting that volume flow is not strongly supporting price advances. Monthly OBV shows no clear trend, indicating a lack of decisive accumulation or distribution by market participants. This volume behaviour may limit the sustainability of any short-term rallies.
Mojo Score and Analyst Ratings
Macpower CNC Machines Ltd currently holds a Mojo Score of 45.0, categorised as a Sell grade, downgraded from Hold on 28 January 2026. The Market Cap Grade stands at 4, reflecting its micro-cap status within the industrial manufacturing sector. This downgrade signals a cautious stance from analysts, likely influenced by the mixed technical signals and recent underperformance relative to the broader market.
Investors should weigh these ratings alongside the technical indicators, recognising that while some momentum measures are improving, the overall outlook remains uncertain. The stock’s significant underperformance over the past year (-30.3%) compared to the Sensex’s 8.91% gain further emphasises the need for prudence.
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Investment Implications and Outlook
Macpower CNC Machines Ltd’s current technical profile suggests a cautious approach for investors. The shift to a mildly bullish trend and positive daily moving averages indicate potential for short-term gains. However, the bearish weekly MACD, mixed RSI signals, and bearish Bollinger Bands on monthly charts highlight ongoing risks and volatility.
Long-term investors may find comfort in the stock’s impressive multi-year returns, particularly the 752.2% gain over five years, which far outpaces the Sensex’s 85.71% during the same period. Yet, the recent downgrades and negative short-term returns underscore the importance of timing and risk management.
Traders should monitor key technical levels closely, including the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, as well as momentum oscillators for confirmation of sustained bullish momentum. Volume trends, as indicated by OBV, will also be critical in validating any upward moves.
Given the mixed signals, a balanced strategy combining selective entry points with strict stop-loss levels may be prudent. Investors should also consider broader sector trends and macroeconomic factors impacting industrial manufacturing before committing capital.
Summary
In summary, Macpower CNC Machines Ltd is navigating a complex technical landscape. While recent price momentum has improved, key indicators remain divided between bullish and bearish signals. The downgrade to a Sell grade by MarketsMOJO reflects these uncertainties. Investors are advised to maintain vigilance and consider alternative opportunities within the sector that may offer clearer technical advantages.
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