Technical Trend Overview and Price Movement
As of 16 Feb 2026, Mangalam Cement’s share price closed at ₹776.65, down 2.48% from the previous close of ₹796.40. The stock traded within a range of ₹775.00 to ₹794.05 during the day, remaining below its 52-week high of ₹903.40 but comfortably above the 52-week low of ₹640.00. This price action reflects a short-term pullback amid a broader mildly bullish technical trend.
The technical trend has shifted from bullish to mildly bullish, signalling a moderation in upward momentum. This shift is corroborated by the mixed signals from key technical indicators across different timeframes.
MACD Signals: Divergent Weekly and Monthly Perspectives
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator remains bullish on the weekly chart, suggesting that the medium-term momentum is still positive. This bullish weekly MACD indicates that the stock’s recent price gains have underlying strength, supported by positive momentum in the moving averages.
However, the monthly MACD is mildly bearish, signalling that the longer-term momentum is weakening. This divergence between weekly and monthly MACD readings suggests that while short- to medium-term traders may find opportunities, longer-term investors should exercise caution as the broader trend shows signs of deceleration.
RSI: Neutral Signals Across Timeframes
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on both weekly and monthly charts currently shows no clear signal, hovering in neutral territory. This absence of overbought or oversold conditions implies that the stock is neither excessively bought nor sold, leaving room for potential directional moves depending on upcoming market catalysts.
Moving Averages: Daily Bullishness Amid Mixed Longer-Term Indicators
Daily moving averages continue to present a bullish stance, with the stock price trading above key short-term averages. This suggests that recent price action has been supported by positive momentum, potentially attracting short-term buyers.
Conversely, longer-term moving averages and volume-based indicators such as the On-Balance Volume (OBV) show a mildly bullish weekly trend but a mildly bearish monthly trend. This again highlights the mixed signals between short-term strength and longer-term caution.
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Bollinger Bands and KST: Mixed Momentum Signals
Bollinger Bands on the weekly chart indicate a mildly bullish stance, suggesting that price volatility is contained within an upward trending channel. However, the monthly Bollinger Bands are bearish, signalling potential pressure on the stock in the longer term.
The Know Sure Thing (KST) indicator aligns with this pattern, showing bullish momentum on the weekly timeframe but mildly bearish readings on the monthly chart. This reinforces the notion that short-term momentum remains intact, but longer-term trends are less certain.
Dow Theory and Volume Analysis
According to Dow Theory, both weekly and monthly trends are mildly bullish, indicating that the stock is in a general uptrend but with some reservations. Volume analysis via OBV supports this view, with weekly OBV mildly bullish but monthly OBV mildly bearish, reflecting a divergence between price movement and volume flow over different periods.
Comparative Returns: Outperforming Sensex Over Medium to Long Term
Despite recent volatility, Mangalam Cement has delivered impressive returns relative to the Sensex over multiple time horizons. Over the past three years, the stock has surged 190.50%, significantly outperforming the Sensex’s 36.73% gain. Similarly, over five and ten years, Mangalam Cement’s returns of 191.10% and 392.49% respectively have outpaced the Sensex’s 60.30% and 259.46% returns.
However, in the one-year period, the stock has declined 5.58%, while the Sensex gained 8.52%, reflecting some recent underperformance. Year-to-date, Mangalam Cement has managed a modest 0.80% gain compared to the Sensex’s 3.04% loss, indicating resilience amid broader market weakness.
Mojo Score and Grade Upgrade
Mangalam Cement’s MarketsMOJO score currently stands at 58.0, reflecting a Hold rating. This is an upgrade from the previous Sell grade assigned on 2 Feb 2026, signalling an improvement in the company’s technical and fundamental outlook. The market capitalisation grade remains at 3, indicating a mid-sized market cap within its sector.
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Investor Takeaway: Balancing Short-Term Opportunities with Long-Term Caution
The technical analysis of Mangalam Cement Ltd reveals a stock at a crossroads. Short-term indicators such as daily moving averages, weekly MACD, and weekly Bollinger Bands suggest that the stock retains bullish momentum, potentially offering tactical entry points for traders seeking to capitalise on near-term price movements.
Conversely, the mildly bearish monthly MACD, Bollinger Bands, KST, and OBV caution investors about the sustainability of this momentum over the longer term. The neutral RSI readings further imply that the stock is not currently overextended, but also lacks a strong directional bias.
Given the mixed signals, investors should weigh Mangalam Cement’s strong medium- to long-term historical returns against recent volatility and technical uncertainty. The upgrade from Sell to Hold by MarketsMOJO reflects this balanced outlook, suggesting that while the stock is no longer a clear sell, it may not yet warrant a strong buy recommendation.
Monitoring upcoming quarterly results, sector developments, and broader market trends will be crucial for investors aiming to navigate Mangalam Cement’s evolving technical landscape.
Sector Context and Market Position
Operating within the Cement & Cement Products sector, Mangalam Cement faces cyclical demand influenced by infrastructure spending and real estate activity. The sector’s sensitivity to economic cycles means that technical momentum shifts often coincide with macroeconomic developments. Investors should consider sector trends alongside company-specific technical signals to form a holistic view.
With a market cap grade of 3, Mangalam Cement is positioned as a mid-tier player, which may offer growth potential but also exposes it to sector volatility. Its recent technical upgrades could attract renewed interest if broader economic conditions improve.
Conclusion
Mangalam Cement Ltd’s technical parameters as of February 2026 present a nuanced picture. While short-term momentum indicators remain bullish, longer-term signals suggest caution. The stock’s recent downgrade in daily price performance contrasts with its strong historical returns and upgraded MarketsMOJO rating, underscoring the importance of a balanced investment approach.
Investors should remain vigilant for confirmation of trend direction through upcoming price action and volume changes, while considering sector dynamics and macroeconomic factors. The current mildly bullish technical trend offers potential opportunities, but the mixed indicator signals counsel prudence in portfolio allocation.
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