Key Events This Week
27 Jan: Technical momentum shift amid mixed market signals
28 Jan: Upgrade to Hold by MarketsMOJO reflecting cautious optimism
30 Jan: Mixed technical signals with price momentum turning mildly bearish
Week Close: Rs.112.40 (-7.87%) vs Sensex +1.62%
27 January 2026: Technical Momentum Shift Amid Mixed Market Signals
Menon Bearings opened the week on a cautious note, closing at ₹123.15, up 0.94% from the previous close of ₹122.00. This modest gain came alongside a Sensex rise of 0.50%, signalling a broadly positive market mood. However, technical indicators revealed a shift from a mildly bullish stance to sideways momentum, reflecting uncertainty among traders. The stock’s downgrade to a Sell rating by MarketsMOJO on 21 January 2026 was still influencing sentiment, despite the stock’s longer-term outperformance relative to the Sensex.
Key technical metrics such as the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) showed divergence between weekly and monthly trends, with weekly MACD mildly bullish but monthly MACD turning bearish. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) hovered in neutral territory, while Bollinger Bands suggested contained volatility with a mildly bullish outlook. Daily moving averages, however, had shifted to mildly bearish, indicating caution for near-term price action.
28 January 2026: Upgrade to Hold by MarketsMOJO Amid Mixed Signals
On 28 January, Menon Bearings’ stock price declined by 1.34% to ₹121.50, despite the Sensex gaining 1.12%. This day coincided with MarketsMOJO upgrading the stock’s rating from Sell to Hold, reflecting a nuanced reassessment of the company’s fundamentals and technical outlook. The upgrade was driven by the company’s solid debt servicing ability, with a low Debt to EBITDA ratio of 0.63 times, and a healthy Return on Capital Employed (ROCE) of 17.6%.
However, the upgrade also acknowledged flat recent financial performance, including a modest 1.47% annual growth in operating profit over five years and a rise in interest expenses by 28.13% for the nine months ended December 2025. Valuation metrics indicated a premium price with an enterprise value to capital employed ratio of 3.8 and a PEG ratio of 0.8. The absence of domestic mutual fund holdings at 0% raised questions about institutional confidence.
Technically, the stock was consolidating with mixed signals: weekly MACD mildly bullish, monthly MACD mildly bearish, and neutral RSI readings. Bollinger Bands remained bullish on weekly and monthly charts, while daily moving averages were mildly bearish. This combination suggested a stabilisation phase rather than a clear directional move.
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29 January 2026: Sharp Decline Amid Increased Selling Pressure
The stock experienced a significant drop on 29 January, closing at ₹116.60, down 4.03% from ₹121.50 the previous day, while the Sensex gained a modest 0.22%. This decline reflected growing selling pressure and a shift in technical momentum towards bearishness. Daily moving averages turned more bearish, and Bollinger Bands on the weekly chart began to signal increased volatility and downside risk.
Despite this short-term weakness, longer-term indicators such as the Know Sure Thing (KST) oscillator and Dow Theory assessments remained mildly bullish on weekly and monthly timeframes, suggesting that the primary trend had not fully reversed. On-Balance Volume (OBV) showed no clear weekly trend but maintained a bullish monthly signal, indicating some accumulation by longer-term investors.
30 January 2026: Mixed Technical Signals and Mildly Bearish Momentum
On the final trading day of the week, Menon Bearings closed at ₹112.40, down 3.60% from the previous close of ₹116.60, underperforming the Sensex which declined 0.22%. The stock’s price momentum shifted from mildly bullish to mildly bearish, with technical indicators reflecting this transition. The MACD remained mildly bullish on a weekly basis but turned bearish on the monthly chart, highlighting a divergence in momentum.
The RSI remained neutral, while daily moving averages and Bollinger Bands signalled caution with bearish tendencies. The stock price approached the lower Bollinger Band on the weekly chart, indicating increased downside risk. Meanwhile, KST and Dow Theory indicators stayed mildly bullish, and monthly OBV continued to show accumulation, suggesting some underlying support despite near-term weakness.
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| Date | Stock Price | Day Change | Sensex | Day Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-27 | Rs.123.15 | +0.94% | 35,786.84 | +0.50% |
| 2026-01-28 | Rs.121.50 | -1.34% | 36,188.16 | +1.12% |
| 2026-01-29 | Rs.116.60 | -4.03% | 36,266.59 | +0.22% |
| 2026-01-30 | Rs.112.40 | -3.60% | 36,185.03 | -0.22% |
Key Takeaways
Mixed Technical Momentum: The week saw Menon Bearings transition from mildly bullish to sideways and then mildly bearish technical trends. Divergent MACD readings and neutral RSI levels indicate uncertainty in short-term momentum, while longer-term indicators remain cautiously optimistic.
Financial and Valuation Signals: The upgrade from Sell to Hold by MarketsMOJO reflects a balanced view of the company’s solid debt servicing and operational efficiency against flat recent financial growth and premium valuation metrics. Rising interest expenses and increased leverage warrant attention.
Price Underperformance Amid Broader Market Gains: Menon Bearings declined 7.87% over the week, significantly underperforming the Sensex’s 1.62% gain. This divergence highlights sector-specific pressures and technical caution among investors.
Volume and Support Levels: Increasing volumes on down days suggest selling pressure, but monthly On-Balance Volume remains bullish, indicating some accumulation by longer-term investors. Key support near ₹112.40 will be critical to watch in the coming sessions.
Conclusion
Menon Bearings Ltd’s performance in the week ending 30 January 2026 was marked by a notable decline amid mixed technical and financial signals. While the stock underperformed the Sensex, its longer-term fundamentals and sector positioning remain resilient. The technical landscape suggests caution, with short-term momentum weakening but longer-term indicators providing some support. The upgrade to Hold by MarketsMOJO reflects this balanced outlook, recognising the company’s strengths while acknowledging near-term challenges. Investors should monitor key technical levels and financial developments closely as the stock navigates this complex environment within the auto components sector.
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