Recent Price Movement and Market Context
On 16 Dec 2025, Modern Dairies' share price touched Rs.34.31, representing its lowest level in the past year. This decline comes after a four-day losing streak, during which the stock recorded a cumulative return of -9.24%. The day’s performance showed a further drop of 2.47%, underperforming the FMCG sector by 3.32%. The stock is currently trading below all key moving averages, including the 5-day, 20-day, 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day averages, signalling sustained downward momentum.
In contrast, the broader market index, Sensex, experienced a negative session, falling by 231.51 points to close at 84,794.10, down 0.49%. Despite this, Sensex remains within 1.61% of its 52-week high of 86,159.02 and is trading above its 50-day moving average, which itself is positioned above the 200-day moving average, indicating a generally bullish trend for the benchmark index.
Long-Term Performance and Valuation Metrics
Over the past year, Modern Dairies has recorded a total return of -43.60%, a stark contrast to the Sensex’s positive return of 3.73% during the same period. The stock’s 52-week high was Rs.73.99, highlighting the extent of the decline from its peak.
Financially, the company’s net sales have shown a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of -14.86% over the last five years, indicating a contraction in revenue streams. The average return on capital employed (ROCE) stands at 7.41%, which suggests modest profitability relative to the capital invested. The latest six-month profit after tax (PAT) was Rs.3.34 crores, reflecting a decline of 53.48% compared to the previous period.
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Sectoral and Peer Comparison
Modern Dairies operates within the FMCG sector, which has seen mixed performance in recent months. While the broader market indices have maintained relative strength, the company’s stock has lagged behind its peers. The stock’s enterprise value to capital employed ratio is approximately 2, which is considered attractive from a valuation standpoint. However, it trades at a premium compared to the average historical valuations of its sector peers.
Interestingly, despite the stock’s negative price performance over the past year, the company’s profits have shown a rise of 28.4%, resulting in a price/earnings to growth (PEG) ratio of 0.2. This divergence between profit growth and stock price movement highlights a complex valuation scenario for Modern Dairies.
Shareholding and Market Capitalisation
The majority shareholding of Modern Dairies remains with its promoters, maintaining a stable ownership structure. The company’s market capitalisation grade is rated at 4, reflecting its mid-tier market value within the FMCG sector.
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Technical Indicators and Trading Patterns
The stock’s position below all major moving averages suggests a persistent bearish trend in the short to medium term. The 5-day, 20-day, 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day moving averages all lie above the current trading price of Rs.34.31, indicating resistance levels that the stock has yet to overcome.
Such technical positioning often reflects cautious sentiment among market participants and may influence trading volumes and price volatility in the near term.
Summary of Key Metrics
To summarise, Modern Dairies’ stock has reached a 52-week low of Rs.34.31 after a series of declines over four trading sessions. The stock’s year-on-year return stands at -43.60%, contrasting with the Sensex’s positive 3.73% return. The company’s net sales have contracted at a CAGR of -14.86% over five years, while profitability metrics such as ROCE and PAT have shown subdued figures. Despite these challenges, valuation ratios suggest some degree of attractiveness relative to capital employed, though the stock trades at a premium compared to peers.
Market conditions remain mixed, with the broader Sensex maintaining a bullish technical stance, while Modern Dairies faces downward pressure within its sector. The stock’s current technical and fundamental profile reflects a complex environment for investors and market watchers alike.
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