Recent Price Movement and Market Context
On 15 Dec 2025, Modipon's stock touched an intraday low of Rs.31.58, representing a decline of 7.85% on the day. This drop contributed to a three-day consecutive fall, during which the stock has recorded a cumulative return of -14.39%. The day's performance also saw Modipon underperform its sector by approximately 7.5%, reflecting a sharper decline relative to its realty peers.
In terms of technical positioning, Modipon is trading below all key moving averages, including the 5-day, 20-day, 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day averages. This indicates a persistent bearish momentum in the stock's price action over multiple time horizons.
Meanwhile, the broader market environment presents a contrasting picture. The Sensex opened lower at 84,891.75, down by 375.91 points or 0.44%, but has since recovered slightly to trade near 85,215.09, a marginal decline of 0.06%. The benchmark index remains close to its 52-week high of 86,159.02, just 1.11% away, and is supported by bullish moving averages with the 50-day DMA positioned above the 200-day DMA. Additionally, the BSE Small Cap index gained 0.26%, indicating strength in smaller capitalisation stocks.
Long-Term Price Performance
Over the past year, Modipon's stock price has declined by 47.59%, a stark contrast to the Sensex's positive return of 3.75% during the same period. The stock's 52-week high was recorded at Rs.63.78, highlighting the extent of the price contraction from its peak to the current low.
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Financial and Fundamental Overview
Modipon's financial profile reveals several areas of concern that have contributed to its subdued market performance. The company reports a negative book value, indicating that its liabilities exceed its assets on the balance sheet. This situation reflects a weak long-term fundamental strength within the realty sector context.
Over the last five years, Modipon's net sales have shown negligible growth, with an annual growth rate close to zero. Operating profit has similarly remained flat, signalling limited expansion or improvement in core business profitability. The company carries a high debt burden, with an average debt-to-equity ratio reported at zero times, which suggests a reliance on debt financing that may be impacting financial flexibility.
Additionally, the company’s earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortisation (EBITDA) are negative, which raises concerns about its ability to generate operational cash flow. This negative EBITDA status contributes to the perception of elevated risk associated with the stock, especially when compared to its historical valuation averages.
Recent Quarterly Results
Modipon's results for the quarter ended September 2025 were largely flat, with no significant changes in key financial metrics. This lack of movement in quarterly performance aligns with the broader trend of subdued growth and profitability challenges faced by the company.
Comparative Performance and Market Position
In addition to its one-year return of -47.56%, Modipon has underperformed the BSE500 index over the last three years, one year, and three months. This underperformance relative to a broad market benchmark highlights the stock’s challenges in delivering returns consistent with wider market trends.
Institutional investors hold a significant stake in Modipon, accounting for 21.42% of the shareholding. These investors typically possess greater resources and analytical capabilities to assess company fundamentals, which may influence trading patterns and stock valuation.
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Summary of Key Concerns
The stock’s decline to Rs.31.58 represents a culmination of several factors including weak financial fundamentals, flat sales and profit growth, negative EBITDA, and a high debt profile. These elements have contributed to a sustained downtrend, reflected in the stock trading below all major moving averages and underperforming both its sector and broader market indices.
While the broader market shows signs of resilience with the Sensex near its 52-week high and small caps gaining, Modipon’s performance remains subdued. The stock’s current valuation and price levels underscore the challenges faced by the company within the realty sector.
Market Outlook and Positioning
Modipon’s current market capitalisation grade is modest, reflecting its position within the realty sector and the broader market. The stock’s recent price action and fundamental profile suggest a cautious stance among market participants, as the company navigates a difficult operating environment.
Investors and market watchers will continue to monitor Modipon’s financial disclosures and market movements closely, given the stock’s recent lows and the broader sector dynamics.
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