Opening Price Surge and Intraday Performance
MCX opened at a price reflecting a 7.65% gain over its prior closing level, signalling strong buying interest from the outset. The stock further extended its intraday gains, touching a high of Rs 2,554.6, representing a 10% increase from the previous close. This intraday peak highlights sustained momentum beyond the initial gap, with the stock maintaining a bullish trajectory throughout the trading session.
Notably, the day’s performance saw MCX registering a 5.35% gain by market close, outperforming the Sensex’s 2.60% rise and the Finance/NBFC sector’s 3.86% advance. The stock’s outperformance relative to both the benchmark and its sector peers emphasises its strong position within the capital markets industry on this trading day.
Recent Price Trends and Moving Averages
MCX has been on a positive run, recording gains for two consecutive trading days and delivering a cumulative return of 10.8% over this period. This recent upward trend is supported by the stock trading above its 20-day, 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day moving averages, indicating a solid medium- to long-term bullish trend. However, the price remains slightly below its 5-day moving average, suggesting some short-term consolidation or profit-taking after the sharp gap up.
The stock’s high beta of 1.95 relative to the Sensex indicates that MCX is more volatile than the broader market, typically experiencing larger price swings. This characteristic aligns with the observed sharp gap up and intraday price movements, reflecting heightened sensitivity to market catalysts.
Technical Indicators Confirm Bullish Momentum
Technical analysis further supports the positive price action. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is bullish on both weekly and monthly timeframes, signalling sustained upward momentum. Similarly, the Know Sure Thing (KST) oscillator and Dow Theory assessments are bullish across weekly and monthly charts, reinforcing the strength of the current trend.
Bollinger Bands on weekly and monthly charts show mild bullishness, indicating that the stock is trading near the upper band but without excessive volatility. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on weekly and monthly scales does not currently signal overbought or oversold conditions, suggesting room for continued price stability or moderate gains.
On the volume front, the On-Balance Volume (OBV) indicator presents a mildly bearish signal on the weekly chart but remains bullish monthly, implying that while short-term volume trends may be mixed, the longer-term accumulation remains positive.
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Sector and Market Context
The capital markets sector, represented here by the Finance/NBFC group, gained 3.86% on the day, indicating a broadly positive environment for financial stocks. MCX’s outperformance relative to this sector by 2.76 percentage points highlights its relative strength and investor preference within the space.
Over the past month, MCX has delivered a 10.45% return, significantly outperforming the Sensex, which declined by 2.30% during the same period. This divergence underscores the stock’s resilience and appeal amid broader market fluctuations.
Market Capitalisation and Quality Scores
MCX holds a Market Cap Grade of 2, reflecting its mid-cap status within the capital markets sector. The company’s Mojo Score stands at 82.0, with a recent upgrade from a Buy to a Strong Buy rating on 18 Nov 2025. This upgrade reflects improved fundamentals and technical strength, further supporting the stock’s current positive momentum.
The stock’s consistent gains and technical indicators suggest that the gap up opening is supported by underlying strength rather than a short-lived spike. However, the slight dip below the 5-day moving average may invite some short-term profit-taking or consolidation before any further directional moves.
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Summary of Price Action and Outlook
The significant gap up opening of MCX on 3 Feb 2026 was driven by positive overnight catalysts, reflected in the strong intraday high and sustained gains through the session. The stock’s outperformance relative to the Sensex and its sector peers, combined with bullish technical indicators and a recent upgrade in rating, confirms a robust market response.
While the stock remains above key moving averages, the slight retreat below the 5-day average suggests some short-term price consolidation may occur. Given the high beta nature of MCX, investors can expect amplified price movements relative to the broader market, which has been positive in recent sessions.
Overall, the gap up and subsequent price action indicate a strong start to the trading day, supported by favourable technical and fundamental factors within the capital markets sector.
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