Key Events This Week
09 Feb: Technical momentum shifts amid bearish market sentiment
10 Feb: Further bearish signals confirm downtrend
11 Feb: Intraday high with 7.26% surge
12 Feb: Mixed market signals with mild bullish momentum
13 Feb: Sharp gap down and intraday low amid price pressure
13 Feb: Q3 FY26 results reveal deep losses and 60% revenue drop
13 Feb: Mojo Grade downgraded to Strong Sell
09 February 2026: Technical Momentum Shifts Amid Bearish Sentiment
On Monday, NIBE Ltd’s share price closed at Rs.1,011.20, down 1.04% from the previous close. Despite a modest daily increase reported in some technical commentary, the stock faced downward pressure, reflecting a shift from mildly bearish to bearish momentum. Key indicators such as MACD and Bollinger Bands signalled caution, with the stock trading well below its 52-week high of Rs.2,000.55. The Mojo Grade had already been downgraded to Strong Sell, underscoring deteriorating fundamentals and technicals.
10 February 2026: Bearish Signals Confirm Downtrend
The stock rebounded slightly to Rs.1,026.50, gaining 1.51%, but technical momentum remained predominantly bearish. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) and daily moving averages continued to signal downward pressure. Relative Strength Index (RSI) hovered in neutral territory, offering no clear reversal signal. The Sensex gained 0.25% on the day, highlighting NIBE’s relative weakness.
11 February 2026: Intraday High with 7.26% Surge
Wednesday saw a notable intraday surge as NIBE Ltd’s stock price climbed 4.90% to close at Rs.1,076.80, reaching an intraday high of Rs.1,100. This 7.26% intraday gain outpaced the Sensex’s marginal 0.13% rise, reflecting short-term buying interest. The stock traded above its 5-day and 20-day moving averages but remained below longer-term averages, indicating resistance at higher levels. Despite this rally, the Mojo Score remained low at 20.0, maintaining a Strong Sell rating.
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12 February 2026: Mixed Market Signals Amid Mild Bullish Momentum
On Thursday, NIBE Ltd’s stock closed at Rs.1,045.35, down 2.92% from the previous day’s close, despite an intraday high of Rs.1,101.00. Technical indicators showed a shift from bearish to mildly bearish momentum, with weekly MACD turning mildly bullish but monthly MACD remaining bearish. RSI remained neutral, and Bollinger Bands suggested elevated volatility. The stock’s volume was subdued, and the On-Balance Volume (OBV) indicated mild bearishness on a weekly basis but mild bullishness monthly, reflecting mixed investor sentiment.
13 February 2026: Sharp Gap Down and Intraday Low Amid Price Pressure
Friday was marked by a significant gap down at the open, with NIBE Ltd’s stock price falling 9.03% to open sharply lower at Rs.982.55. The stock hit an intraday low of Rs.917, representing a 12.28% drop from the prior close, before closing at Rs.982.55, down 6.01% on the day. This decline extended a two-day losing streak, accumulating a 14.03% loss. The stock underperformed both the Sensex, which fell 1.40%, and its aerospace and defence sector peers. Technical indicators remained bearish, with the stock trading below all key moving averages and elevated volatility signalling sustained selling pressure.
13 February 2026: Q3 FY26 Results Reveal Deep Losses and Revenue Collapse
NIBE Ltd reported a sharp deterioration in its Q3 FY26 financials, with revenue plunging by 60%, driving the company into deep losses. This earnings shock compounded the negative sentiment surrounding the stock, reinforcing the technical downtrend observed throughout the week. The results highlighted significant operational challenges amid a difficult aerospace and defence sector environment, further dampening investor confidence.
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Daily Price Comparison: NIBE Ltd vs Sensex (09-13 Feb 2026)
| Date | Stock Price | Day Change | Sensex | Day Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-09 | Rs.1,011.20 | -1.04% | 37,113.23 | +1.04% |
| 2026-02-10 | Rs.1,026.50 | +1.51% | 37,207.34 | +0.25% |
| 2026-02-11 | Rs.1,076.80 | +4.90% | 37,256.72 | +0.13% |
| 2026-02-12 | Rs.1,045.35 | -2.92% | 37,049.40 | -0.56% |
| 2026-02-13 | Rs.982.55 | -6.01% | 36,532.48 | -1.40% |
Key Takeaways
Negative Momentum and Technical Weakness: The week was dominated by bearish technical signals, with NIBE Ltd’s stock consistently trading below key moving averages and exhibiting elevated volatility. The downgrade to a Strong Sell Mojo Grade and a low Mojo Score of 26.0 reflect deteriorating fundamentals and technicals.
Volatile Price Action: Despite a strong intraday rally on 11 February, the stock failed to sustain gains, closing the week lower. The sharp gap down and intraday low on 13 February underscored persistent selling pressure and investor caution.
Earnings Disappointment: The Q3 FY26 results revealed a 60% revenue decline and deep losses, exacerbating negative sentiment and likely contributing to the sharp price declines observed on the final trading day.
Underperformance Relative to Sensex: NIBE Ltd’s 3.84% weekly decline contrasted with the Sensex’s modest 0.54% fall, highlighting company-specific challenges amid a broadly stable market environment.
Mixed Short-Term Signals: Some technical indicators such as weekly MACD and KST showed mild bullishness midweek, but these were insufficient to reverse the overall downtrend.
Conclusion
NIBE Ltd’s week was characterised by significant volatility, technical deterioration, and a disappointing earnings report that collectively pressured the stock price. The 3.84% weekly decline and underperformance against the Sensex reflect ongoing challenges in the aerospace and defence sector and company-specific headwinds. While short-term rallies occurred, they were overshadowed by sustained selling pressure and bearish momentum indicators. The downgrade to a Strong Sell Mojo Grade and the sharp gap down on 13 February signal caution for investors. Monitoring upcoming market developments and sector dynamics will be crucial for assessing any potential recovery or further downside risks.
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