Recent Price Movement and Market Context
On 14 Jan 2026, Nocil Ltd. closed at Rs.138.3, down by 0.61% on the day, underperforming the specialty chemicals sector by 0.65%. This marks the fifth consecutive day of losses, with the stock declining by 6.77% over this period. The current price is substantially below its 52-week high of Rs.241.4, representing a decline of approximately 42.7% from that peak.
The stock is trading below all key moving averages, including the 5-day, 20-day, 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day averages, indicating a persistent bearish trend. In contrast, the Sensex opened lower at 83,358.54 points, down 0.32%, and is currently trading marginally below its 50-day moving average but remains 3.1% shy of its 52-week high of 86,159.02. Small-cap stocks are leading the market with a 0.18% gain in the BSE Small Cap index, highlighting a divergence from Nocil’s performance.
Financial Performance and Valuation Concerns
Nocil’s financial metrics have shown signs of strain over recent periods. The company reported a decline in net sales by 4.66% in its September 2025 quarter, contributing to what MarketsMOJO classifies as very negative results. Operating cash flow for the year stood at a low Rs.24.03 crores, while the profit after tax (PAT) for the latest quarter was Rs.12.12 crores, down 47.9% compared to the average of the previous four quarters.
Return on capital employed (ROCE) for the half-year period is at a low 4.96%, and return on equity (ROE) is reported at 3.6%, both indicating subdued profitability relative to capital invested. The company’s valuation remains elevated with a price-to-book value of 1.3, which is considered expensive compared to peer averages. This premium valuation persists despite a 55.2% decline in profits over the past year and a 40.78% negative return on the stock price during the same period.
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Long-Term Growth and Market Position
Over the last five years, Nocil’s operating profit has declined at an annualised rate of 5.87%, reflecting challenges in sustaining growth within the specialty chemicals sector. The company’s market capitalisation grade is rated at 3, indicating a mid-tier market cap status, but its Mojo Score of 19.0 and a recent downgrade from a Sell to a Strong Sell grade on 20 Dec 2024 underscore concerns about its medium to long-term prospects.
Despite a low average debt-to-equity ratio of zero, signalling a conservative capital structure, the stock has consistently underperformed the BSE500 benchmark over the past three years. This underperformance is evident in both price returns and profitability metrics, with the stock generating negative returns in each of the last three annual periods.
Shareholding and Sectoral Context
The majority of Nocil’s shares are held by non-institutional investors, which may influence liquidity and trading dynamics. Within the specialty chemicals sector, the stock’s premium valuation relative to peers contrasts with its subdued financial performance, contributing to the cautious market sentiment reflected in its current price levels.
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Summary of Key Metrics
To summarise, Nocil Ltd. is currently trading at Rs.138.3, its lowest level in 52 weeks, reflecting a 40.78% decline in stock price over the past year. The company’s financial indicators reveal a contraction in sales and profits, with operating cash flow and returns on capital and equity at subdued levels. Its valuation remains elevated relative to peers despite these challenges, and the stock’s recent downgrade to a Strong Sell grade by MarketsMOJO highlights the prevailing cautious outlook.
While the broader market indices, including the Sensex, have shown resilience and modest gains, Nocil’s performance continues to lag, underscoring the divergence between the company’s stock and the overall market trend.
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