Stock Price Movement and Market Context
On the day the new low was recorded, Nova Agritech’s stock price remained unchanged from the previous close in terms of intraday movement, but the stock has been on a downward trend for the last two sessions, registering a cumulative decline of 2.15%. This decline contrasts with the broader market, where the Sensex recovered from an initial negative opening to close marginally higher by 0.01% at 84,701.49 points. The Sensex is currently trading just 1.72% below its 52-week high of 86,159.02, supported by gains in mega-cap stocks. Meanwhile, Nova Agritech’s share price is trading below all key moving averages, including the 5-day, 20-day, 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day averages, indicating sustained downward momentum.
Long-Term Performance and Financial Metrics
Over the past year, Nova Agritech has underperformed significantly, delivering a negative return of 36.14%, while the Sensex posted a positive return of 8.23% over the same period. The stock’s 52-week high was Rs.69.99, highlighting the extent of the decline to the current low. The company’s operating profit has contracted at an annualised rate of 3.89% over the last five years, reflecting subdued growth in its core business. Additionally, the operating cash flow for the fiscal year ending September 2025 was reported at a low of Rs. -18.43 crores, underscoring cash generation pressures.
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Sector and Peer Comparison
Within the fertilisers sector, Nova Agritech’s performance has lagged behind its peers and broader market indices. The stock has underperformed the BSE500 index over the last three years, one year, and three months, reflecting challenges in maintaining competitive growth and profitability. Despite the sector’s overall resilience, Nova Agritech’s returns have been subdued, with a notable decline in profits by 8.9% over the past year.
Financial Health and Valuation Metrics
On the balance sheet front, the company demonstrates a strong capacity to service its debt, with a Debt to EBITDA ratio of 1.22 times, which is relatively low and indicates manageable leverage. The return on capital employed (ROCE) stands at 14%, suggesting efficient utilisation of capital relative to earnings. Furthermore, the enterprise value to capital employed ratio is 1.4, which is considered very attractive from a valuation standpoint. These metrics highlight that while the stock price has declined, the company maintains certain financial strengths.
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Shareholding and Market Capitalisation
The majority shareholding in Nova Agritech is held by promoters, indicating concentrated ownership. The company’s market capitalisation grade is rated at 4, reflecting its position within the market capitalisation spectrum. The Mojo Score assigned to the stock is 40.0, with a Mojo Grade of Sell as of 20 Sep 2025, an improvement from the previous Strong Sell rating. This grading reflects the stock’s current valuation and performance metrics relative to market expectations.
Summary of Key Performance Indicators
To summarise, Nova Agritech’s stock has reached a new 52-week low of Rs.37.76, following a period of sustained price decline and underperformance relative to the broader market and sector peers. The company’s financial indicators present a mixed picture, with low leverage and attractive valuation ratios balanced against declining profitability and subdued growth rates. The stock’s position below all major moving averages further emphasises the prevailing downward trend in price action.
Market Environment and Broader Indices
While Nova Agritech’s shares have weakened, the broader market environment remains relatively stable. The Sensex’s recovery from an early loss to close marginally positive suggests resilience among large-cap stocks, which contrasts with the micro-cap and mid-cap segments where Nova Agritech operates. The Sensex’s 50-day moving average remains above its 200-day moving average, signalling a generally positive medium-term market trend, despite short-term fluctuations.
Conclusion
Nova Agritech Ltd’s stock performance over the past year and recent sessions reflects a challenging period for the company within the fertilisers sector. The new 52-week low price of Rs.37.76 underscores the market’s reassessment of the company’s growth prospects and profitability. Financial metrics indicate some strengths in capital efficiency and debt management, but these have not translated into positive stock price momentum. The stock’s current Mojo Grade of Sell and a Mojo Score of 40.0 encapsulate the cautious stance reflected in its valuation and performance data.
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