Key Events This Week
9 Feb: Technical momentum shifts amid mixed market signals
10 Feb: Q3 FY26 results reveal 40.81% profit plunge despite revenue growth
10 Feb: Technical momentum deteriorates further with bearish signals
13 Feb: Stock closes the week at Rs.845.85, down 7.46%
9 February 2026: Mixed Technical Momentum Amid Market Gains
On Monday, 9 February, Nucleus Software Exports Ltd closed at Rs.906.20, down 0.85% from the previous close. This decline contrasted with a strong Sensex gain of 1.04%, which closed at 37,113.23. The stock’s technical momentum showed a nuanced shift from bearish to mildly bearish, with weekly MACD and RSI indicators suggesting tentative short-term optimism. However, longer-term monthly indicators remained bearish, reflecting underlying caution. The stock traded within a subdued volatility range, remaining well below its 52-week high of Rs.1,375.75 but comfortably above its 52-week low of Rs.723.85.
10 February 2026: Earnings Shock and Bearish Technical Shift
Tuesday proved pivotal as Nucleus Software reported a sharp 40.81% year-on-year plunge in Q3 FY26 profit despite revenue growth. This disappointing earnings announcement weighed heavily on the stock, which nevertheless managed a modest gain of 0.59% to Rs.911.55, slightly outperforming the Sensex’s 0.25% rise to 37,207.34. However, technical momentum deteriorated markedly, with the trend shifting from mildly bearish to outright bearish. Daily moving averages turned negative, and key momentum indicators such as the monthly MACD and RSI signalled weakening longer-term trends. Bollinger Bands and the Know Sure Thing (KST) indicator confirmed increased selling pressure and volatility with a downward bias. The stock’s Mojo Score was downgraded to 36.0, reflecting a Sell rating and reinforcing the cautious outlook.
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11 February 2026: Minor Price Correction Amid Low Volume
On Wednesday, the stock slipped 0.41% to Rs.907.85 on relatively low volume, while the Sensex inched up 0.13% to 37,256.72. The technical indicators remained bearish, with the stock trading below key moving averages and momentum oscillators continuing to signal weakness. The subdued trading volume suggested limited investor conviction, and the stock failed to regain ground lost the previous day.
12 February 2026: Sharp Decline on Heavy Selling Pressure
Thursday saw a significant sell-off, with Nucleus Software plunging 5.26% to Rs.860.10, sharply underperforming the Sensex which declined 0.56% to 37,049.40. This steep drop reflected intensified bearish sentiment following the earnings disappointment and deteriorating technical outlook. The stock approached critical support levels near Rs.860, with Bollinger Bands indicating increased volatility and downward pressure. The KST and OBV indicators confirmed the lack of buying interest, while the Dow Theory assessments remained bearish on monthly charts.
13 February 2026: Week Ends with Continued Downtrend
On Friday, the stock closed the week at Rs.845.85, down 1.66% on the day and 7.46% for the week, while the Sensex fell 1.40% to 36,532.48. The sustained decline underscored the prevailing bearish momentum and investor caution. Despite some weekly bullish signals in MACD and RSI, the dominant monthly indicators and volume trends suggested the downtrend was likely to persist. The stock remains well below its recent highs and faces the challenge of stabilising near the Rs.840–860 support zone.
| Date | Stock Price | Day Change | Sensex | Day Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-09 | Rs.906.20 | -0.85% | 37,113.23 | +1.04% |
| 2026-02-10 | Rs.911.55 | +0.59% | 37,207.34 | +0.25% |
| 2026-02-11 | Rs.907.85 | -0.41% | 37,256.72 | +0.13% |
| 2026-02-12 | Rs.860.10 | -5.26% | 37,049.40 | -0.56% |
| 2026-02-13 | Rs.845.85 | -1.66% | 36,532.48 | -1.40% |
Key Takeaways
1. Earnings Impact: The 40.81% plunge in Q3 FY26 profit despite revenue growth was a critical negative catalyst, undermining confidence and triggering a sharp price correction.
2. Technical Deterioration: The stock’s technical momentum shifted decisively from mildly bearish to bearish, with multiple indicators including moving averages, MACD, RSI, Bollinger Bands, and KST signalling sustained downward pressure.
3. Underperformance vs Sensex: Nucleus Software’s 7.46% weekly decline starkly contrasted with the Sensex’s modest 0.54% fall, highlighting the stock’s relative weakness amid broader market volatility.
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Conclusion
Nucleus Software Exports Ltd’s performance this week was marked by a clear shift towards bearishness, driven primarily by disappointing quarterly earnings and a deteriorating technical setup. Despite some short-term bullish signals on weekly momentum indicators, the dominant monthly trends and volume patterns suggest the stock is facing significant headwinds. The 7.46% weekly decline and underperformance relative to the Sensex underscore the challenges ahead. Investors should remain cautious and monitor key support levels near Rs.840, while paying close attention to any changes in volume and momentum indicators that might signal a reversal or further decline.
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