Examining the technical indicators, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) presents a bearish stance on the weekly chart, while the monthly chart remains mildly bearish. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) does not currently signal any definitive momentum on either weekly or monthly timeframes. Bollinger Bands reinforce the bearish sentiment across both weekly and monthly periods, indicating increased price volatility with a downward bias.
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Daily moving averages for PNB Gilts are aligned with a bearish trend, supporting the overall technical evaluation adjustment. The Know Sure Thing (KST) indicator also reflects bearish momentum on both weekly and monthly charts. Dow Theory analysis shows a mildly bearish trend across these timeframes, while On-Balance Volume (OBV) does not indicate a clear trend, suggesting volume activity remains neutral.
From a price perspective, PNB Gilts recorded a high of ₹88.30 and a low of ₹86.40 during the trading session, with a previous close at ₹87.54. The stock’s 52-week range spans from ₹73.55 to ₹125.00, highlighting significant volatility over the past year. When compared to the Sensex, PNB Gilts has underperformed across multiple periods. For instance, the stock’s one-month return is -3.76% against the Sensex’s 0.86%, and year-to-date returns show a decline of -20.15% compared to the Sensex’s 8.36% gain.
Longer-term returns present a more nuanced picture. Over three years, PNB Gilts has delivered a return of 40.83%, slightly above the Sensex’s 37.31%. Similarly, five-year returns for the stock stand at 109.63%, compared to the Sensex’s 91.65%. However, over a ten-year horizon, the Sensex’s 232.28% return marginally exceeds PNB Gilts’ 216.93%.
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Market capitalisation metrics place PNB Gilts at a grade of 3, reflecting its standing within the NBFC sector. The recent adjustment in its evaluation score, dated 25 September 2025, indicates a revision in technical parameters that investors should consider when analysing the stock’s momentum and potential price movements.
In summary, PNB Gilts exhibits a technical profile dominated by bearish signals across multiple indicators, including MACD, Bollinger Bands, and moving averages. While volume-based indicators remain neutral, the overall momentum suggests caution. The stock’s comparative underperformance against the Sensex in the short term contrasts with its longer-term returns, which have been relatively competitive. Investors analysing PNB Gilts should weigh these technical signals alongside broader market conditions and sector dynamics.
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