Key Events This Week
9 Feb: Intraday high of Rs.466 with 8.02% gain
9 Feb: Upgrade to 'Buy' rating by MarketsMOJO
10 Feb: Intraday high of Rs.489.1 with 5.58% surge
12-13 Feb: Price correction with declines of 3.30% and 1.92%
9 February 2026: Strong Intraday Rally and Rating Upgrade
Poonawalla Fincorp Ltd began the week on a bullish note, surging 8.02% to close at Rs.466.00, with an intraday high of Rs.466. This gain significantly outpaced the Sensex’s 1.04% rise, highlighting the stock’s relative strength. The surge was supported by strong buying interest and the stock trading above its 5-day, 20-day, 50-day, and 200-day moving averages, signalling positive momentum across timeframes.
On the same day, MarketsMOJO upgraded the stock’s rating from 'Hold' to 'Buy', reflecting improved fundamentals and technical indicators. The upgrade was underpinned by a remarkable 102.45% increase in net profit for Q3 FY25-26, with PAT reaching ₹150.22 crores, and a 43.2% rise in net sales to ₹1,818.42 crores. Institutional holdings at 22.84% further reinforced confidence in the company’s growth prospects.
Despite a premium valuation with a price-to-book ratio of 3.6 and a modest ROE of 2.2%, the stock’s PEG ratio of 1.1 suggested that price growth was broadly aligned with earnings expansion. The technical outlook improved from mildly bearish to mildly bullish, supported by mixed but strengthening momentum indicators such as MACD, Bollinger Bands, and moving averages.
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10 February 2026: Continued Momentum with New Intraday High
The bullish momentum extended into 10 February, with Poonawalla Fincorp hitting a new intraday high of Rs.489.10, marking a 5.58% gain on the day and closing at Rs.487.15. This performance again outpaced the Sensex’s modest 0.25% rise and the NBFC sector average, with the stock outperforming its peers by 4.7%.
The stock’s price remained above all major moving averages, including the 100-day average, signalling strong technical support. This marked the third consecutive day of gains, delivering a cumulative return of 19.5% over this period. The broader market environment was positive, with the Sensex trading near its 52-week high, supported by mega-cap stocks and a bullish technical setup.
MarketsMOJO’s Mojo Score of 75.0 and 'Buy' grade reaffirmed the stock’s improved fundamentals and technical outlook. The company’s five-year return of 481.52% and one-year return of 59.61% further underscored its strong market performance relative to the Sensex.
12-13 February 2026: Profit-Taking and Price Correction
After the strong rallies earlier in the week, Poonawalla Fincorp experienced a pullback on 12 and 13 February, with prices declining 3.30% and 1.92% respectively to close at Rs.463.70. This correction coincided with a broader market downturn, as the Sensex fell 0.56% and 1.40% on these days, reflecting profit-taking and cautious sentiment among investors.
Volume also declined sharply during these sessions, indicating reduced trading activity. Despite the short-term setback, the stock remained above key moving averages, suggesting that the correction may be a consolidation phase within an overall positive trend.
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Weekly Price Performance: Stock vs Sensex
| Date | Stock Price | Day Change | Sensex | Day Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-09 | Rs.466.00 | +8.02% | 37,113.23 | +1.04% |
| 2026-02-10 | Rs.487.15 | +4.54% | 37,207.34 | +0.25% |
| 2026-02-11 | Rs.488.95 | +0.37% | 37,256.72 | +0.13% |
| 2026-02-12 | Rs.472.80 | -3.30% | 37,049.40 | -0.56% |
| 2026-02-13 | Rs.463.70 | -1.92% | 36,532.48 | -1.40% |
Key Takeaways
Positive Signals: The stock’s 7.49% weekly gain amid a declining Sensex (-0.54%) highlights strong relative strength and investor interest. The upgrade to a 'Buy' rating by MarketsMOJO, backed by robust quarterly earnings growth and improved technical indicators, provides a solid fundamental and technical foundation. The stock’s ability to sustain levels above key moving averages and hit new intraday highs demonstrates healthy momentum.
Cautionary Notes: The recent price correction on 12 and 13 February, accompanied by declining volumes, suggests profit-taking and short-term volatility. The premium valuation with a P/B ratio of 3.6 and modest ROE of 2.2% indicates that the stock price already reflects significant growth expectations, which could lead to sensitivity if earnings momentum slows. Investors should monitor technical signals and broader market trends for confirmation of sustained strength.
Conclusion
Poonawalla Fincorp Ltd’s week was characterised by strong gains driven by fundamental upgrades and technical momentum, culminating in a 7.49% rise despite a weakening broader market. The MarketsMOJO upgrade to 'Buy' and the stock’s outperformance relative to the Sensex underscore its current appeal within the NBFC sector. While the recent pullback introduces some caution, the overall trend remains positive, supported by solid earnings growth and institutional confidence. Investors should continue to watch for confirmation of sustained momentum amid valuation considerations.
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