Key Events This Week
2 Feb: Stock opens at Rs.2,755.10, down 2.48% amid broader market weakness
3 Feb: Modest recovery to Rs.2,769.55 (+0.52%) as Sensex rallies 2.63%
4 Feb: Slight dip to Rs.2,753.60 (-0.58%) despite Sensex gains
5 Feb: Downgrade to Hold and sideways technical shift announced; stock rises 0.50% to Rs.2,767.25
6 Feb: Stock falls 1.43% to close at Rs.2,727.70, ending the week lower
Monday, 2 February: Sharp Opening Decline Amid Market Sell-Off
Radico Khaitan began the week on a weak note, closing at Rs.2,755.10, down 2.48% from the previous Friday’s close of Rs.2,825.25. This decline was sharper than the Sensex’s 1.03% fall to 35,814.09, signalling early pressure on the stock. The relatively low volume of 6,314 shares traded suggests cautious investor participation amid broader market volatility.
Tuesday, 3 February: Modest Recovery Follows Sensex Rally
The stock rebounded slightly to Rs.2,769.55, gaining 0.52%, though this was modest compared to the Sensex’s robust 2.63% advance to 36,755.96. Volume surged to 578,764 shares, indicating increased trading interest. Despite the broader market optimism, Radico Khaitan’s limited gain suggested underlying caution among investors.
Wednesday, 4 February: Slight Pullback Despite Market Gains
Radico Khaitan edged down 0.58% to Rs.2,753.60, while the Sensex continued to climb 0.37% to 36,890.21. The stock’s inability to keep pace with the market rally reflected emerging concerns, setting the stage for the rating downgrade announced the following day. Trading volume dropped sharply to 16,054 shares, signalling reduced enthusiasm.
Thursday, 5 February: Hold Rating and Technical Shift Announced
MarketsMOJO downgraded Radico Khaitan from Buy to Hold on 4 February 2026, citing mixed technical and valuation signals despite strong fundamentals. The stock closed at Rs.2,767.25, up 0.50%, on moderate volume of 10,670 shares. The downgrade reflected a shift in technical momentum from mildly bullish to sideways, with key indicators such as MACD and KST turning mildly bearish on weekly charts. The stock traded within a range of Rs.2,742.65 to Rs.2,846.25, well below its 52-week high of Rs.3,695.00, underscoring the cautious market stance.
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Friday, 6 February: Week Ends Lower Amid Technical Uncertainty
The stock closed the week at Rs.2,727.70, down 1.43% on the day and 3.45% for the week, while the Sensex gained 0.10% to 36,730.20. Volume increased to 58,963 shares, reflecting renewed selling pressure. The technical indicators remained mixed, with the weekly MACD and KST oscillators mildly bearish, while monthly RSI and Bollinger Bands suggested longer-term resilience. This divergence highlights a consolidation phase with no clear directional bias.
| Date | Stock Price | Day Change | Sensex | Day Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-02 | Rs.2,755.10 | -2.48% | 35,814.09 | -1.03% |
| 2026-02-03 | Rs.2,769.55 | +0.52% | 36,755.96 | +2.63% |
| 2026-02-04 | Rs.2,753.60 | -0.58% | 36,890.21 | +0.37% |
| 2026-02-05 | Rs.2,767.25 | +0.50% | 36,695.11 | -0.53% |
| 2026-02-06 | Rs.2,727.70 | -1.43% | 36,730.20 | +0.10% |
Key Takeaways
Fundamental Strength Amidst Valuation Concerns: Radico Khaitan maintains strong operational metrics, including a low debt-to-EBITDA ratio of 1.04 and a robust ROCE of 19.28%. Institutional investors hold a significant 43.85% stake, underscoring confidence in the company’s fundamentals. However, the stock’s valuation remains expensive on an absolute basis with an EV/CE ratio of 10.6, though it trades at a discount relative to peers.
Technical Momentum Shift: The downgrade to Hold was driven primarily by a shift in technical indicators from mildly bullish to sideways. Weekly MACD and KST oscillators turned mildly bearish, while monthly RSI and Bollinger Bands retained mild bullishness, signalling a consolidation phase rather than a clear trend reversal.
Price Performance and Market Context: The stock underperformed the Sensex this week, falling 3.45% compared to the benchmark’s 1.51% gain. Over one month and year-to-date periods, Radico Khaitan has lagged the Sensex significantly, though its longer-term returns remain impressive, with a 141.45% gain over three years and 2,434.55% over ten years.
Volume and Volatility: Trading volumes fluctuated sharply during the week, peaking on 3 February with 578,764 shares traded, then declining before rising again on the final day. The intraday price range on 5 February (Rs.2,742.65 to Rs.2,846.25) reflected moderate volatility amid technical uncertainty.
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Conclusion
Radico Khaitan Ltd.’s week was characterised by a cautious market stance amid mixed signals from technical and valuation perspectives. The downgrade to a Hold rating by MarketsMOJO reflects a prudent reassessment rather than a fundamental deterioration, as the company continues to demonstrate strong financial health and institutional backing. The sideways technical trend suggests a consolidation phase, with investors advised to monitor key support and resistance levels closely. While the stock underperformed the Sensex this week, its long-term performance remains robust, providing a foundation for measured optimism once clearer technical signals emerge.
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