Current Price and Market Context
As of 2 January 2026, Radico Khaitan’s stock closed at ₹3,258.20, down 1.16% from the previous close of ₹3,296.30. The intraday range saw a high of ₹3,300.25 and a low of ₹3,247.10, reflecting some volatility within a relatively narrow band. The stock remains comfortably above its 52-week low of ₹1,846.10 but still below its 52-week high of ₹3,695.00, indicating room for upward movement if momentum strengthens.
Technical Trend Evolution
The overall technical trend for Radico Khaitan has shifted from bullish to mildly bullish. This subtle change is underscored by the weekly and monthly technical indicators, which present a mixed bag of signals. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator, a key momentum oscillator, is mildly bearish on a weekly basis but bullish on the monthly chart. This divergence suggests that while short-term momentum may be weakening, the longer-term trend remains intact.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI), often used to gauge overbought or oversold conditions, currently shows no significant signal on either the weekly or monthly timeframes. This neutral RSI reading implies that the stock is neither overextended nor undervalued technically, leaving room for directional movement based on other factors.
Bollinger Bands, which measure volatility and potential price breakouts, are mildly bullish on both weekly and monthly charts. This indicates that price volatility is contained within an upward trending channel, supporting the mildly bullish outlook despite short-term caution.
Moving Averages and Other Indicators
Daily moving averages remain bullish, signalling that the stock price is trading above key average levels, which typically supports further gains. However, the Know Sure Thing (KST) indicator, which helps identify major price cycles, is mildly bearish on both weekly and monthly charts, suggesting some caution in the medium term.
The Dow Theory assessment is mildly bullish on a weekly basis but shows no clear trend monthly, reinforcing the notion of a cautious but positive near-term outlook. Meanwhile, the On-Balance Volume (OBV) indicator is bullish weekly but neutral monthly, indicating that buying volume is supporting price gains in the short term but lacks conviction over longer periods.
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Performance Relative to Sensex
Radico Khaitan’s stock performance has outpaced the broader market significantly over longer time horizons. Year-to-date, the stock has declined by 1.16%, slightly underperforming the Sensex’s marginal fall of 0.04%. However, over the past year, Radico Khaitan has delivered a robust 26.16% return compared to the Sensex’s 8.51%. The outperformance is even more pronounced over three, five, and ten-year periods, with returns of 221.32%, 613.50%, and an extraordinary 2,710.00% respectively, dwarfing the Sensex’s corresponding returns of 40.02%, 77.96%, and 225.63%.
Implications of Technical Signals for Investors
The mixed technical signals suggest that while the stock remains in a generally positive trend, investors should exercise caution in the short term. The mildly bearish weekly MACD and KST indicators point to potential consolidation or minor pullbacks, whereas the bullish monthly MACD and daily moving averages support a longer-term uptrend. The neutral RSI readings imply that the stock is not currently overbought, which could allow for further upward movement if buying interest resumes.
Given the stock’s strong historical returns and current technical positioning, investors may consider maintaining exposure while monitoring for confirmation of renewed momentum. A break above recent highs near ₹3,300 could signal a return to stronger bullish momentum, whereas a sustained drop below daily moving averages might warrant caution.
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Mojo Score and Rating Upgrade
MarketsMOJO has upgraded Radico Khaitan’s Mojo Grade from Hold to Buy as of 29 December 2025, reflecting improved confidence in the stock’s prospects. The current Mojo Score stands at 71.0, signalling a favourable outlook supported by both fundamental and technical factors. The market capitalisation grade remains modest at 2, indicating a mid-sized company with growth potential.
Sector and Industry Context
Operating within the beverages sector, Radico Khaitan benefits from steady demand dynamics and a growing consumer base. The sector’s resilience during economic fluctuations adds a layer of defensive quality to the stock. However, investors should remain mindful of sector-specific risks such as regulatory changes and commodity price volatility that could impact margins.
Conclusion: Balanced Optimism with Vigilance
In summary, Radico Khaitan Ltd. presents a technically nuanced picture as it transitions from a strongly bullish to a mildly bullish phase. The interplay of mixed signals from MACD, RSI, Bollinger Bands, and other indicators suggests that while the long-term trend remains positive, short-term momentum may be subdued. Investors with a medium to long-term horizon may find the stock attractive given its historical outperformance and recent upgrade in rating, but should remain vigilant for signs of trend reversal or consolidation.
Monitoring key technical levels, particularly the daily moving averages and weekly MACD, will be crucial in assessing the stock’s next directional move. The current environment favours a cautious but optimistic stance, with opportunities for gains balanced against the potential for short-term volatility.
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