Key Events This Week
16 Feb: Intraday high surge to Rs.285.80 (+7.84%)
18 Feb: Upgrade to Hold rating by MarketsMOJO
18 Feb: Technical momentum shifts to sideways trend
19 Feb: Technical momentum advances to mildly bullish
20 Feb: Week closes at Rs.285.25 (+0.96%)
16 February: Intraday Surge Signals Strong Rebound
Rallis India began the week with a remarkable intraday rally on 16 February 2026, surging 7.84% to an intraday high of Rs.285.80. Despite opening lower at Rs.258.55, the stock reversed early bearish sentiment and closed at Rs.284.90, up Rs.20.30 or 7.67% on the day. This performance notably outpaced the Sensex’s 0.70% gain and the Pesticides & Agrochemicals sector, highlighting strong buying momentum. The stock’s price remained above its short- and medium-term moving averages, signalling technical strength, although it still traded below the 200-day average, indicating longer-term resistance.
18 February: Upgrade to Hold Reflects Improving Fundamentals
On 18 February, MarketsMOJO upgraded Rallis India’s rating from 'Sell' to 'Hold', citing stabilising technical trends and solid financial performance. The stock closed at Rs.295.30, a 0.25% gain on the day, supported by a 3.55% intraday rise to Rs.297.75. The upgrade was driven by a shift from a mildly bearish to a sideways technical trend, alongside attractive valuation metrics such as a price-to-book ratio of 2.8 and a PEG ratio of 0.7. Financially, the company reported a 46.20% growth in profit after tax for the nine months ending December 2025 and a doubling of quarterly profit before tax excluding other income, underscoring robust earnings momentum.
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18 February: Technical Momentum Shifts to Sideways Trend
Alongside the rating upgrade, technical indicators on 18 February signalled a transition from a mildly bearish to a sideways trend. The stock’s close at Rs.295.00 reflected a 3.55% gain from the previous close, with intraday volatility between Rs.280.55 and Rs.297.75. Weekly MACD and KST oscillators turned mildly bullish, while monthly indicators remained cautiously bearish. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) hovered neutrally, indicating equilibrium between buying and selling pressures. Bullish On-Balance Volume (OBV) readings suggested genuine accumulation, supporting the cautious optimism. Despite this, daily moving averages remained mildly bearish, indicating the stock had yet to break decisively above short-term resistance levels.
19 February: Technical Momentum Advances to Mildly Bullish
On 19 February, Rallis India’s technical momentum further improved, shifting from sideways to mildly bullish. The stock traded between Rs.289.00 and Rs.298.10, closing at Rs.282.55, down 4.32% on the day but within a context of mixed signals. Weekly Bollinger Bands expanded upwards, and the weekly MACD remained mildly bullish, while monthly indicators stayed neutral to mildly bearish. The Relative Strength Index continued to show no extreme conditions. Positive volume trends and Dow Theory analysis reinforced the mild bullish outlook. Despite the intraday decline, the technical evolution suggested a potential base formation for future gains.
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20 February: Week Closes with Moderate Gain Amid Mixed Signals
Rallis India ended the week on 20 February 2026 at Rs.285.25, up 0.96% from the previous day’s close. The stock’s volume declined to 14,465 shares, reflecting a quieter session. The Sensex gained 0.41% on the day, closing at 36,674.32. Technical indicators remained mixed, with daily moving averages still mildly bearish but weekly momentum indicators holding a mildly bullish stance. The stock’s performance over the week, with a 7.80% gain, clearly outpaced the Sensex’s 0.39% rise, underscoring relative strength despite some volatility and technical caution.
| Date | Stock Price | Day Change | Sensex | Day Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-16 | Rs.284.90 | +7.67% | 36,787.89 | +0.70% |
| 2026-02-17 | Rs.294.55 | +3.39% | 36,904.38 | +0.32% |
| 2026-02-18 | Rs.295.30 | +0.25% | 37,062.35 | +0.43% |
| 2026-02-19 | Rs.282.55 | -4.32% | 36,523.88 | -1.45% |
| 2026-02-20 | Rs.285.25 | +0.96% | 36,674.32 | +0.41% |
Key Takeaways
Positive Signals: Rallis India’s 7.80% weekly gain significantly outperformed the Sensex’s 0.39%, driven by strong intraday rallies, an upgrade to a Hold rating, and improving technical momentum. Financial results showed robust profit growth, with a 46.20% rise in nine-month PAT and doubling of quarterly PBT excluding other income. Volume-based indicators such as OBV confirmed genuine accumulation, supporting the stock’s recovery.
Cautionary Notes: Despite recent gains, the stock remains below its 52-week high of Rs.385.60 and faces resistance from longer-term moving averages. Technical indicators present a mixed picture, with monthly MACD and Bollinger Bands still mildly bearish. The company’s long-term operating profit growth has been subdued, and sector-specific risks related to regulatory and cyclical factors persist. Daily moving averages remain mildly bearish, suggesting the need for sustained momentum to confirm a bullish breakout.
Conclusion
Rallis India Ltd’s week was characterised by a strong rebound and technical momentum shifts that culminated in a 7.80% gain, markedly outperforming the broader market. The upgrade to a Hold rating by MarketsMOJO reflects a balanced view, recognising improved fundamentals and stabilising technical trends while acknowledging lingering caution from longer-term indicators and sector challenges. Investors should monitor upcoming earnings releases and technical developments closely to assess whether the stock can sustain its recovery and break through key resistance levels. For now, the stock’s performance suggests cautious optimism amid a transitional phase.
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