Price Movement and Market Context
Religare Enterprises Ltd (stock code 416310) closed at ₹246.40 on 1 Jan 2026, up from the previous close of ₹240.40, marking a daily increase of 2.50%. The stock traded within a range of ₹240.45 to ₹248.95 during the session, remaining well below its 52-week high of ₹314.15 but comfortably above the 52-week low of ₹202.45. This price action suggests a tentative recovery attempt after a period of subdued performance.
Comparatively, the broader Sensex index has outperformed Religare over the year-to-date and one-year periods, with Sensex returning 9.06% YTD against Religare’s -10.35%. However, over longer horizons such as five years, Religare has significantly outpaced the Sensex, delivering a 254.02% return versus the benchmark’s 78.47%, highlighting the stock’s potential for long-term capital appreciation despite recent volatility.
Technical Trend Evolution
The technical trend for Religare Enterprises has shifted from mildly bearish to sideways, indicating a pause in the downtrend and a potential consolidation phase. This transition is critical as it may signal the stock’s readiness to establish a new directional bias, either resuming an uptrend or continuing its correction.
On the daily timeframe, moving averages have turned mildly bullish, suggesting short-term buying interest. The stock price currently hovers near its short-term moving averages, which may act as support levels. However, weekly and monthly indicators present a more cautious picture.
MACD and Momentum Indicators
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator remains bearish on the weekly chart and mildly bearish on the monthly chart. This divergence implies that while short-term momentum is improving, the longer-term trend still lacks conviction. The MACD histogram on the weekly scale continues to show negative values, reflecting persistent selling pressure, though the gap is narrowing.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on both weekly and monthly charts currently shows no clear signal, hovering near neutral levels. This absence of overbought or oversold conditions suggests that the stock is in a consolidation phase without extreme momentum in either direction.
Bollinger Bands and Volatility
Bollinger Bands on the weekly chart remain bearish, with the price trading near the lower band, indicating elevated volatility and potential downside risk. Conversely, the monthly Bollinger Bands have flattened, signalling a sideways trend and reduced volatility over the longer term. This mixed volatility profile underscores the stock’s current indecision among investors.
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Other Technical Indicators
The Know Sure Thing (KST) oscillator remains bearish on the weekly chart and mildly bearish on the monthly chart, reinforcing the cautious stance on momentum. Dow Theory analysis shows no clear trend on the weekly timeframe, while the monthly perspective remains mildly bearish, indicating that the broader market sentiment for Religare is still under pressure.
On a more positive note, the On-Balance Volume (OBV) indicator is mildly bullish on both weekly and monthly charts, suggesting that volume trends are supporting the recent price gains. This divergence between price momentum and volume could indicate accumulation by informed investors, potentially setting the stage for a future rally.
Mojo Score and Ratings Update
MarketsMOJO has downgraded Religare Enterprises Ltd from a Hold to a Sell rating as of 29 Dec 2025, reflecting the deteriorating technical and fundamental outlook. The current Mojo Score stands at 37.0, which is relatively low and consistent with a Sell recommendation. The Market Cap Grade is rated 3, indicating a small to mid-cap status with moderate liquidity and market presence.
This downgrade aligns with the mixed technical signals and the stock’s underperformance relative to the Sensex over the recent year. Investors should exercise caution and closely monitor upcoming quarterly results and sector developments before committing fresh capital.
Long-Term Performance and Sector Comparison
Despite recent setbacks, Religare’s five-year return of 254.02% significantly outpaces the Sensex’s 78.47%, underscoring the stock’s capacity for substantial gains over extended periods. However, the 10-year return is negative at -21.77%, contrasting sharply with the Sensex’s robust 226.30% gain, highlighting periods of volatility and structural challenges within the company or sector.
Within the NBFC sector, Religare’s technical profile is currently less favourable compared to some peers, many of which have demonstrated stronger momentum and higher quality grades. The sector itself is navigating regulatory pressures and macroeconomic headwinds, which may continue to weigh on individual stock performance.
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Investor Takeaway and Outlook
Religare Enterprises Ltd’s technical momentum is currently at a crossroads. The shift from a mildly bearish to a sideways trend, combined with mildly bullish daily moving averages and supportive volume trends, suggests the stock may be stabilising after a period of weakness. However, the persistent bearish signals from MACD, KST, and Bollinger Bands on weekly and monthly charts caution against premature optimism.
Investors should watch for confirmation of a sustained uptrend through a breakout above key resistance levels near ₹250-₹255, supported by improving volume and positive momentum indicators. Conversely, a failure to hold current support levels around ₹240 could signal a resumption of the downtrend.
Given the current Mojo Grade of Sell and the mixed technical signals, a conservative approach is advisable. Long-term investors may consider accumulating on dips if fundamental improvements materialise, while short-term traders should remain vigilant for clearer trend confirmation.
Summary of Key Technical Metrics
- Current Price: ₹246.40
- Daily Change: +2.50%
- 52-Week Range: ₹202.45 - ₹314.15
- MACD: Weekly Bearish, Monthly Mildly Bearish
- RSI: Neutral (No Signal)
- Bollinger Bands: Weekly Bearish, Monthly Sideways
- Moving Averages (Daily): Mildly Bullish
- KST: Weekly Bearish, Monthly Mildly Bearish
- Dow Theory: Weekly No Trend, Monthly Mildly Bearish
- OBV: Weekly & Monthly Mildly Bullish
- Mojo Score: 37.0 (Sell)
In conclusion, while Religare Enterprises Ltd shows signs of technical stabilisation, the overall momentum remains fragile. Investors should weigh the mixed signals carefully and consider broader market and sector dynamics before making investment decisions.
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