Price Movement and Trading Patterns
On 5 Feb 2026, Samrat Forgings Ltd’s stock touched an intraday low of Rs.182.2, setting a new 52-week bottom. This decline followed two consecutive days of gains, signalling a reversal in short-term momentum. The stock’s performance today was notably weaker than the Castings & Forgings sector, which itself faced headwinds. Additionally, the share did not trade on one of the last 20 trading days, indicating some irregularity in liquidity or market interest.
The stock is currently trading below all key moving averages, including the 5-day, 20-day, 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day averages. This broad-based weakness across technical indicators highlights the sustained downward trend and lack of near-term support levels.
Market Context and Benchmark Comparison
The broader market environment has also been challenging. The Sensex opened flat but declined by 443.61 points, or 0.6%, closing at 83,313.93. Despite this drop, the Sensex remains only 3.41% below its 52-week high of 86,159.02. The index is trading below its 50-day moving average, though the 50DMA remains above the 200DMA, suggesting some underlying resilience in the broader market.
In stark contrast, Samrat Forgings Ltd’s one-year performance stands at -47.94%, a significant underperformance relative to the Sensex’s positive return. The stock’s 52-week high was Rs.362.9, underscoring the magnitude of the decline to the current low.
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Financial Performance and Fundamental Concerns
Samrat Forgings Ltd’s financial metrics continue to reflect challenges. The company’s operating profit has grown at a modest annual rate of 15.50% over the past five years, which is considered weak relative to industry peers. The company’s ability to service its debt remains constrained, with an average EBIT to interest ratio of 1.89, indicating limited coverage of interest expenses by earnings before interest and tax.
Recent quarterly results further highlight the subdued performance. The Profit After Tax (PAT) for the nine months ended September 2025 stood at Rs.2.59 crore, representing a decline of 31.84% year-on-year. The PBDIT for the quarter was at a low of Rs.3.69 crore, while the operating profit to net sales ratio dropped to 7.12%, marking the lowest levels recorded in recent periods.
Long-Term and Near-Term Underperformance
Over the last three years, Samrat Forgings Ltd has consistently underperformed the BSE500 index, with negative returns over one year and three months as well. This persistent underperformance has contributed to the stock’s current valuation pressures and the downgrade in its Mojo Grade from Sell to Strong Sell on 21 July 2025. The company’s Mojo Score stands at 4.0, reflecting a high-risk profile and weak fundamentals.
The market capitalisation grade is also rated 4, indicating a relatively small market cap with limited liquidity and investor interest. These factors combined have contributed to the stock’s recent price weakness and the establishment of a new 52-week low.
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Summary of Key Metrics
To summarise, Samrat Forgings Ltd’s stock has declined to Rs.182.2, its lowest level in 52 weeks, reflecting a nearly 48% drop over the past year. The stock’s underperformance is underscored by its trading below all major moving averages and a negative day change of 8.99% on 5 Feb 2026. The company’s financial indicators, including a low EBIT to interest ratio and declining PAT, point to ongoing fundamental pressures. The downgrade to a Strong Sell Mojo Grade and a Mojo Score of 4.0 further highlight the stock’s current risk profile.
Meanwhile, the broader market, represented by the Sensex, remains relatively resilient, trading close to its 52-week high despite a recent pullback. This divergence emphasises the specific challenges faced by Samrat Forgings Ltd within the Castings & Forgings sector.
Technical and Market Positioning
The stock’s failure to sustain gains after two days of consecutive rises and its erratic trading pattern, including a non-trading day in the recent past, suggest volatility and uncertainty among market participants. The persistent trading below all key moving averages indicates a lack of technical support, which may continue to weigh on the stock’s price action in the near term.
Sector and Industry Context
Operating within the Castings & Forgings sector, Samrat Forgings Ltd faces competitive pressures and market dynamics that have not favoured its growth trajectory. The sector itself has experienced fluctuations, but the company’s relative underperformance compared to peers and indices highlights company-specific issues impacting investor sentiment and valuation.
Conclusion
Samrat Forgings Ltd’s stock reaching a 52-week low of Rs.182.2 on 5 Feb 2026 marks a significant milestone in its recent price decline. The combination of weak financial results, deteriorating profitability ratios, and technical weakness has contributed to this outcome. While the broader market shows signs of resilience, the stock’s fundamentals and trading patterns suggest continued caution in its near-term outlook.
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