Recent Price Movement and Market Context
On 15 Dec 2025, Samrat Forgings opened sharply lower, registering a gap down of 4.41% and touching an intraday low of Rs.248, which represents its lowest price point in the past year. The stock has recorded losses over the last two consecutive trading sessions, with a cumulative decline of 4.43% during this period. Notably, the share price has traded consistently at this low level throughout the day, indicating limited buying interest at higher levels.
In comparison, the broader market has shown relative resilience. The Sensex opened at 84,891.75, down by 375.91 points or 0.44%, but has since recovered slightly to trade near 85,215.09, just 0.06% below the previous close. The Sensex remains close to its 52-week high of 86,159.02, trading approximately 1.11% below that peak. Additionally, the BSE Small Cap index has gained 0.26% today, signalling strength in smaller capitalisation stocks, contrasting with the performance of Samrat Forgings.
Samrat Forgings’ share price currently trades below all key moving averages, including the 5-day, 20-day, 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day averages, underscoring the downward momentum and lack of short- to long-term price support.
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Long-Term Performance and Financial Indicators
Over the past year, Samrat Forgings has underperformed significantly relative to the benchmark Sensex. While the Sensex has delivered a positive return of 3.75%, the stock has recorded a negative return of 28.12%. This divergence highlights the challenges faced by the company within the Castings & Forgings sector.
The stock’s 52-week high was Rs.368.50, indicating a substantial decline of approximately 32.7% from that peak to the current 52-week low of Rs.248. This price erosion reflects persistent pressures on the company’s fundamentals and market sentiment.
Samrat Forgings operates in the Castings & Forgings industry, a sector that has experienced mixed performance in recent times. Despite the sector’s overall trends, the company’s financial metrics reveal areas of concern.
Financial Health and Profitability Metrics
One of the key factors influencing the stock’s performance is the company’s financial structure. Samrat Forgings is characterised by a relatively high debt burden, which impacts its ability to generate sufficient earnings to cover interest expenses. The average EBIT to interest ratio stands at 1.89, indicating limited cushion for debt servicing.
Operating profit growth over the last five years has been recorded at an annual rate of 15.50%, which, while positive, is considered modest given the capital-intensive nature of the business. The company’s long-term growth trajectory appears constrained by these financial parameters.
Recent quarterly results further illustrate the challenges faced. The Profit After Tax (PAT) for the nine months ended September 2025 was Rs.2.59 crores, reflecting a decline of 31.84% compared to the corresponding period in the previous year. Additionally, the Profit Before Depreciation, Interest and Taxes (PBDIT) for the latest quarter was Rs.3.69 crores, marking the lowest level recorded in recent quarters.
The operating profit to net sales ratio for the quarter stood at 7.12%, also the lowest in recent periods, signalling margin pressures and cost management difficulties.
Shareholding and Market Position
The majority shareholding in Samrat Forgings is held by promoters, which typically suggests a stable ownership structure. However, this has not translated into positive momentum for the stock price in the current market environment.
Despite the company’s established presence in the Castings & Forgings sector, the stock’s recent price action and financial indicators suggest that it is facing headwinds that have weighed on investor confidence and market valuation.
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Sector and Market Comparison
While Samrat Forgings has experienced a decline, the broader Castings & Forgings sector has shown mixed results. The stock’s underperformance relative to the BSE500 index, which has generated a return of 1.23% over the past year, emphasises the company’s relative weakness within its peer group.
The Sensex’s current position above its 50-day moving average, with the 50 DMA trading above the 200 DMA, indicates a generally bullish trend in the broader market. This contrasts with the downward trajectory of Samrat Forgings, which remains below all major moving averages.
Such divergence between the stock and the market benchmarks highlights the specific challenges faced by the company, rather than a general market downturn.
Summary of Key Price and Performance Data
To summarise, Samrat Forgings’ stock price has reached Rs.248, its lowest level in 52 weeks, following a two-day decline and an opening gap down of 4.41% on 15 Dec 2025. The stock’s performance over the last year shows a negative return of 28.12%, contrasting with the Sensex’s positive 3.75% return. The company’s financial indicators reveal constrained profitability and a high debt servicing burden, factors that have contributed to the subdued market valuation.
Investors and market participants will note the stock’s position below all key moving averages and its underperformance relative to sector and market indices as important considerations in assessing its current standing.
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