Key Events This Week
Feb 9: Stock opens at Rs.12,272.95, down 1.59% amid broader Sensex gains
Feb 11: Price rebounds 1.04% to Rs.12,232.40 following positive market sentiment
Feb 13: Strong quarterly turnaround announced; stock closes lower at Rs.12,073.50
Feb 13: Q3 FY26 profit plunges 63%, highlighting ongoing income volatility
Monday, 9 February 2026: Weak Start Amid Sensex Rally
Saraswati Commercial opened the week at Rs.12,272.95, down 1.59% from the previous Friday’s close of Rs.12,471.00. This decline contrasted with the Sensex’s strong gain of 1.04% to 37,113.23, signalling early weakness in the stock despite broader market optimism. Trading volume was moderate at 81 shares, reflecting cautious investor sentiment ahead of the company’s quarterly results.
Tuesday, 10 February 2026: Continued Pressure on Stock Price
The stock price further declined by 1.35% to Rs.12,106.95, while the Sensex continued to inch higher by 0.25% to 37,207.34. The sustained downward pressure on Saraswati Commercial’s shares suggested lingering concerns or profit-taking ahead of the earnings announcement. Volume dropped sharply to 26 shares, indicating reduced trading interest.
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Wednesday, 11 February 2026: Price Rebounds on Positive Sentiment
On 11 February, Saraswati Commercial’s stock price recovered by 1.04% to Rs.12,232.40, supported by a modest Sensex gain of 0.13% to 37,256.72. The volume surged to 93 shares, the highest of the week, indicating renewed investor interest possibly anticipating the upcoming quarterly results. This rebound suggested some confidence returning to the stock after two days of declines.
Thursday, 12 February 2026: Marginal Gains Amid Market Weakness
The stock edged up 0.44% to Rs.12,286.65, marking the week’s high close, even as the Sensex fell 0.56% to 37,049.40. Trading volume was 64 shares, reflecting moderate activity. Saraswati Commercial’s relative strength on a down day for the broader market hinted at underlying resilience ahead of the earnings release.
Friday, 13 February 2026: Strong Quarterly Turnaround Overshadowed by Profit Plunge
The week ended with a sharp reversal as Saraswati Commercial’s stock dropped 1.73% to Rs.12,073.50 on low volume of 24 shares. This decline came despite the company reporting a strong quarterly financial turnaround for the December 2025 quarter. Profit before tax excluding other income surged 355.3% to ₹30.04 crores, and net profit after tax rose 359.8% to ₹24.75 crores compared to the previous four-quarter average. Net sales increased 24.8% to ₹32.69 crores, signalling robust operational improvement.
However, the same day also saw a contrasting announcement of a 63% plunge in Q3 FY26 profit, reflecting persistent volatility in income trends. This mixed financial messaging likely contributed to the stock’s negative reaction despite the strong turnaround metrics. The company’s financial trend rating improved significantly from flat to very positive, yet the stock’s Mojo Score remains at 27.0, categorised as a Strong Sell, reflecting ongoing market caution.
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Weekly Price Performance: Saraswati Commercial vs Sensex
| Date | Stock Price | Day Change | Sensex | Day Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-09 | Rs.12,272.95 | -1.59% | 37,113.23 | +1.04% |
| 2026-02-10 | Rs.12,106.95 | -1.35% | 37,207.34 | +0.25% |
| 2026-02-11 | Rs.12,232.40 | +1.04% | 37,256.72 | +0.13% |
| 2026-02-12 | Rs.12,286.65 | +0.44% | 37,049.40 | -0.56% |
| 2026-02-13 | Rs.12,073.50 | -1.73% | 36,532.48 | -1.40% |
Key Takeaways
Positive Signals: Saraswati Commercial’s December 2025 quarter demonstrated a remarkable financial turnaround with profit before tax excluding other income soaring 355.3% and net profit rising 359.8% compared to the previous four-quarter average. Net sales growth of 24.8% further supports the company’s improving operational momentum. The financial trend rating upgrade from flat to very positive reflects this strong performance.
Cautionary Signals: Despite the strong quarterly results, the stock declined 3.19% over the week, underperforming the Sensex by 2.65%. The sharp 63% plunge in Q3 FY26 profit announced on the final trading day highlights ongoing volatility in income streams. The Mojo Score remains at a low 27.0 with a Strong Sell rating, indicating persistent market scepticism. Low trading volumes in the latter part of the week suggest subdued investor conviction.
Market Context: The NBFC sector’s sensitivity to macroeconomic factors such as interest rates and credit conditions continues to weigh on Saraswati Commercial’s valuation. While the company’s long-term returns remain exceptional, recent short-term underperformance and sector risks warrant a cautious stance.
Conclusion
Saraswati Commercial (India) Ltd’s week was characterised by a notable financial turnaround in the December quarter, signalling improved profitability and sales growth. However, this positive fundamental shift was overshadowed by a significant profit plunge announcement and a 3.19% decline in the stock price, which underperformed the broader market. The mixed signals from earnings and persistent sector challenges have kept the stock’s rating at Strong Sell, reflecting cautious market sentiment. Investors should carefully weigh the company’s improving financial metrics against ongoing volatility and valuation concerns when considering exposure to this stock.
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