SEPC Ltd Gains 2.34%: Mixed Technical Signals and Volume Surge Define the Week

29 December 2025: Exceptional Volume Surge and Price Recovery

SEPC Ltd witnessed a remarkable spike in trading volume on 29 December 2025, with 18,768,855 shares changing hands, representing a traded value of approximately ₹19.22 crores. This surge was accompanied by a strong price recovery, as the stock closed at ₹10.22, up 3.97% from the previous close of ₹9.83. This performance notably outpaced the Sensex, which declined by 0.41% on the same day.

The price action suggested a tentative reversal after three consecutive days of decline, with the stock trading above its 5-day and 20-day moving averages. However, it remained below longer-term averages, indicating that the broader downtrend was not yet broken. Despite the volume spike, delivery volumes declined by 37.14% compared to the 5-day average, implying that much of the activity was speculative or intraday rather than genuine accumulation.

This combination of high volume and price gain amid a strong sell mojo grade and weak fundamentals highlighted a cautious optimism among traders, though longer-term investors remained wary.

30 December 2025: Technical Momentum Shifts Amid Bearish Sentiment

On 30 December, SEPC Ltd’s price declined by 1.37% to close at ₹10.08, despite a brief intraday range between ₹9.32 and ₹10.54. The stock’s technical momentum shifted from strongly bearish to mildly bearish, reflecting a tentative easing of selling pressure but no clear reversal. The weekly MACD indicator showed mild bullishness, while the monthly MACD remained bearish, underscoring the mixed signals.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) was neutral on the weekly timeframe but bullish monthly, suggesting potential underlying strength over the longer term. Bollinger Bands and moving averages remained bearish, indicating continued downside risk. The stock’s year-to-date return remained deeply negative at -51.88%, contrasting sharply with the Sensex’s positive 8.39% gain.

These technical nuances highlighted the stock’s precarious position, with short-term traders possibly finding opportunities but longer-term investors advised caution.

31 December 2025: Intensified Downtrend Confirmed

The downtrend intensified on 31 December as SEPC Ltd’s price fell 1.18% to close at ₹10.01. Technical indicators confirmed a shift from mildly bearish to a more pronounced bearish trend. The stock traded below key moving averages, and the monthly MACD remained bearish, signalling continued downward momentum.

Despite a bullish weekly On-Balance Volume (OBV) suggesting some short-term buying interest, the overall technical landscape was negative. Bollinger Bands indicated increased volatility near the lower band, and the Know Sure Thing (KST) oscillator was bearish on both weekly and monthly charts. The stock’s 52-week high of ₹22.78 remained distant, while the 52-week low of ₹8.50 underscored the stock’s vulnerability.

SEPC Ltd’s significant underperformance relative to the Sensex over the past year and year-to-date periods emphasised the challenges facing the company and its stock price.

1 January 2026: Slight Recovery Amid Bearish Market Sentiment

SEPC Ltd closed at ₹10.06 on 1 January 2026, up 0.50% from the previous close. The stock traded in a narrow range between ₹10.07 and ₹10.28, reflecting subdued volatility. Technical momentum remained mixed, with the weekly MACD mildly bullish but the monthly MACD still bearish. The RSI was neutral weekly but bullish monthly, while Bollinger Bands and moving averages continued to signal caution.

The stock’s Mojo Score remained low at 26.0 with a Strong Sell grade, reflecting deteriorating fundamentals and technical outlook. The construction sector’s cyclical challenges and SEPC’s underperformance relative to the Sensex underscored the cautious stance among investors.

Short-term traders might find some support from weekly bullish OBV and MACD signals, but longer-term investors should remain wary until clearer signs of recovery emerge.

Key Takeaways

Positive Signals: The week began with a strong volume surge and price recovery, suggesting short-term buying interest. Weekly MACD and monthly RSI indicators showed mild bullishness, hinting at potential underlying strength. The stock marginally outperformed the Sensex over the week, gaining 2.34% versus the benchmark’s 1.35% rise.

Cautionary Signals: Despite short-term optimism, the stock remains below key longer-term moving averages, with monthly MACD and Bollinger Bands indicating persistent bearish momentum. Delivery volumes declined sharply during the volume spike, suggesting speculative trading rather than genuine accumulation. The Mojo Grade remains a Strong Sell, reflecting weak fundamentals and technical outlook. SEPC Ltd’s significant underperformance over the past year and year-to-date periods relative to the Sensex highlights ongoing challenges.

Conclusion

SEPC Ltd’s week was characterised by a notable volume-driven price recovery followed by mixed technical momentum and cautious investor sentiment. While short-term indicators suggest tentative easing of selling pressure, the dominant longer-term signals remain bearish. The stock’s modest outperformance of the Sensex masks underlying fundamental and technical weaknesses, underscored by a Strong Sell mojo grade and declining delivery volumes.

Investors and traders should monitor upcoming sessions closely for confirmation of sustained accumulation or renewed distribution. Until clearer signs of a technical turnaround emerge, prudence is advised given the stock’s volatile performance and sectoral headwinds.

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