Price Performance and Market Context
As of 30 Dec 2025, Shakti Pumps closed at ₹713.30, down 2.93% from the previous close of ₹734.80. The intraday range saw a high of ₹739.85 and a low of ₹706.00, reflecting heightened volatility. The stock remains significantly below its 52-week high of ₹1,398.00, while comfortably above its 52-week low of ₹549.00. This wide trading range underscores the stock’s recent struggles to regain upward momentum.
Comparatively, the stock’s year-to-date (YTD) return stands at -32.97%, sharply contrasting with the Sensex’s positive 8.39% gain over the same period. Over the past year, Shakti Pumps has declined 35.08%, while the Sensex has advanced 7.62%. However, the longer-term performance remains impressive, with a 10-year return of 2,564.29% versus Sensex’s 224.76%, highlighting the company’s historical growth trajectory despite recent setbacks.
Technical Indicators Signal Bearish Momentum
The technical landscape for Shakti Pumps has deteriorated markedly. The weekly Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is firmly bearish, while the monthly MACD remains mildly bearish, indicating sustained downward momentum in both short and medium terms. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on weekly and monthly charts currently shows no clear signal, suggesting the stock is neither oversold nor overbought, but the absence of bullish RSI momentum adds to the cautious outlook.
Bollinger Bands reinforce this bearish stance, with the weekly indicator signalling bearish conditions and the monthly indicator mildly bearish. The stock price trading near the lower band on the weekly chart suggests increased selling pressure and potential continuation of the downtrend.
Daily moving averages have turned bearish, with the stock price trading below key averages, confirming the short-term negative trend. The Know Sure Thing (KST) oscillator also aligns with this view, showing bearish momentum on the weekly chart and mild bearishness monthly.
Interestingly, Dow Theory analysis presents a mixed picture: weekly trends are mildly bullish, but monthly trends remain mildly bearish. This divergence indicates some short-term resilience but an overarching negative medium-term trend.
On-balance volume (OBV) metrics show no discernible trend on weekly or monthly timeframes, suggesting volume has not decisively confirmed price movements, which may limit the strength of any rally attempts.
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Mojo Score and Ratings Update
MarketsMOJO has downgraded Shakti Pumps from a Hold to a Sell rating as of 6 Nov 2025, reflecting the deteriorating technical and fundamental outlook. The current Mojo Score stands at 36.0, a level that signals weak momentum and limited upside potential. The Market Cap Grade is 3, indicating a mid-tier market capitalisation relative to peers in the Compressors, Pumps & Diesel Engines sector.
This downgrade aligns with the technical trend shift from mildly bearish to bearish, underscoring the growing risks for investors. The downgrade also reflects concerns over the stock’s inability to sustain gains amid broader market strength, as evidenced by the Sensex’s positive returns contrasting with Shakti Pumps’ negative performance.
Long-Term Versus Short-Term Outlook
While the short-term technical indicators point to bearish momentum, the stock’s long-term performance remains robust. Over three and five years, Shakti Pumps has delivered extraordinary returns of 940.72% and 1,313.51%, respectively, far outpacing the Sensex’s 38.54% and 77.88% gains. This suggests that despite current headwinds, the company’s underlying business fundamentals and growth prospects have historically rewarded patient investors.
However, the current technical deterioration and negative price momentum warrant caution. Investors should closely monitor key support levels near ₹700 and the 52-week low of ₹549. A sustained break below these levels could trigger further downside.
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Investor Takeaway and Strategic Considerations
Given the current technical signals, investors should exercise prudence with Shakti Pumps. The bearish MACD and moving averages, combined with weak Bollinger Band positioning, suggest that the stock may face continued selling pressure in the near term. The absence of strong volume confirmation via OBV further tempers expectations for a swift recovery.
Investors with a medium-term horizon may consider waiting for a clear technical reversal, such as a bullish MACD crossover or RSI moving into oversold territory with subsequent recovery, before re-entering or adding to positions. Meanwhile, those with a shorter-term focus might look for opportunities to capitalise on any oversold bounces but should maintain tight risk controls.
It is also advisable to compare Shakti Pumps against sector peers and broader market indices to identify potentially superior investment opportunities, especially given the recent downgrade and weak Mojo Score.
In summary, while Shakti Pumps’ long-term growth story remains intact, the current technical momentum shift to bearishness signals caution. Investors should monitor price action closely and consider alternative options until a more constructive technical setup emerges.
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