Technical Trend Overview
Shish Industries’ technical trend has transitioned from a clearly bullish stance to a mildly bullish one, signalling a tempering of upward momentum. The daily moving averages remain bullish, supporting short-term price strength, while weekly and monthly indicators present a more mixed picture. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) remains bullish on both weekly and monthly charts, suggesting sustained momentum in the medium to long term. However, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) on weekly and monthly timeframes shows no clear signal, indicating neither overbought nor oversold conditions, which may imply consolidation or indecision among traders.
Price Action and Volatility
On 29 January 2026, Shish Industries closed at ₹13.89, down 1.98% from the previous close of ₹14.17. The stock’s intraday range was narrow, with a low of ₹13.89 and a high matching the previous close at ₹14.17. This price action suggests limited volatility on the day, consistent with the mildly bullish technical trend. The 52-week high stands at ₹19.14, while the 52-week low is ₹7.10, indicating a wide trading range over the past year and highlighting the stock’s potential for significant price swings.
Momentum Indicators: MACD and RSI
The MACD’s bullish readings on weekly and monthly charts are a positive sign for investors looking for sustained momentum. The MACD line remains above the signal line, which typically indicates upward momentum and potential for further gains. However, the absence of a definitive RSI signal on these timeframes suggests that the stock is not currently in an extreme condition, which could mean that the recent momentum is stabilising rather than accelerating.
Bollinger Bands and Moving Averages
Bollinger Bands on both weekly and monthly charts are mildly bullish, indicating that price volatility is contained within a relatively narrow band and that the stock is trading near the upper range of its recent price movement. This can be interpreted as a sign of controlled upward momentum without excessive volatility. The daily moving averages reinforce this view, remaining bullish and supporting the stock’s short-term price strength.
Contrasting Signals: KST and Dow Theory
The Know Sure Thing (KST) indicator presents a divergence in trend assessment, with a bullish weekly signal but a bearish monthly reading. This divergence suggests that while short-term momentum remains positive, longer-term momentum may be weakening, warranting caution among investors. Similarly, Dow Theory analysis shows a mildly bearish weekly trend and no clear trend on the monthly scale, further underscoring the mixed technical landscape.
Volume and On-Balance Volume (OBV)
While specific OBV data is not provided, the lack of a clear OBV signal on weekly and monthly charts suggests that volume trends are not strongly confirming price movements. This absence of volume confirmation can sometimes precede price reversals or periods of consolidation, emphasising the need for investors to monitor volume closely in coming sessions.
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Comparative Performance Against Sensex
Shish Industries’ price performance relative to the Sensex over various periods reveals a mixed but generally strong long-term trend. Over the past week, the stock declined by 3.88%, underperforming the Sensex’s modest 0.53% gain. The one-month and year-to-date returns are also negative at -18.44% and -24.51% respectively, compared to the Sensex’s -3.17% and -3.37%. These short-term underperformances highlight recent headwinds faced by the company or sector-specific challenges.
However, the stock’s one-year return of 27.43% significantly outpaces the Sensex’s 8.49%, demonstrating strong recovery and growth potential over the medium term. The three-year and five-year returns are particularly impressive, with gains of 134.56% and a staggering 1307.72%, dwarfing the Sensex’s 38.79% and 75.67% respectively. These figures underscore Shish Industries’ capacity for substantial value creation over extended periods, despite recent volatility.
Market Capitalisation and Mojo Score
Shish Industries holds a Market Cap Grade of 4, indicating a mid-cap status with moderate market capitalisation relative to its peers. The company’s Mojo Score has improved to 52.0, resulting in an upgrade from a Sell to a Hold rating on 5 December 2025. This upgrade reflects a more balanced outlook, acknowledging both the stock’s recent technical momentum and the challenges it faces. The Hold rating suggests investors should maintain positions with caution, awaiting clearer directional signals.
Sector Context and Outlook
Operating within the Plastic Products - Industrial sector, Shish Industries is subject to sector-specific dynamics such as raw material price fluctuations, regulatory changes, and demand cycles in industrial applications. The mixed technical signals mirror these external uncertainties. While the bullish MACD and daily moving averages provide some confidence in near-term price support, the bearish KST monthly reading and mildly bearish Dow Theory weekly trend counsel prudence.
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Investor Takeaway
Investors in Shish Industries should weigh the stock’s mixed technical signals carefully. The bullish MACD and daily moving averages suggest that the stock retains upward momentum potential, but the lack of RSI confirmation and bearish monthly KST reading indicate caution. The recent downgrade from Sell to Hold by MarketsMOJO reflects this balanced view, signalling that while the stock is no longer a clear sell, it has yet to demonstrate strong buy characteristics.
Given the stock’s significant long-term outperformance relative to the Sensex, patient investors may find value in holding positions, particularly if the stock stabilises above current support levels near ₹13.89. However, short-term traders should monitor volume trends and technical indicators closely for signs of either a breakout or further consolidation.
Conclusion
Shish Industries Ltd is navigating a complex technical landscape characterised by a shift from bullish to mildly bullish momentum. While key indicators such as MACD and moving averages support a cautiously optimistic outlook, conflicting signals from KST and Dow Theory, alongside subdued volume confirmation, counsel vigilance. The stock’s recent price decline and underperformance against the Sensex in the short term contrast with its robust long-term returns, underscoring the importance of a measured investment approach.
As the company operates in a sector sensitive to industrial demand and raw material costs, external factors will continue to influence its price trajectory. Investors should consider these technical insights alongside fundamental analysis to make informed decisions in the evolving market environment.
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