Stock Price Movement and Market Context
The stock has been on a downward trajectory for the past two days, registering a cumulative loss of 4.18% over this period. Despite this, it marginally outperformed its sector by 0.69% today. Shiva Global Agro is currently trading below all key moving averages, including the 5-day, 20-day, 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day averages, signalling sustained bearish momentum.
On the broader market front, the Sensex opened 385.82 points lower and is trading at 81,791.54, down 0.47%. The index has been on a three-week consecutive decline, losing 4.63% in that span. Notably, the NIFTY MEDIA index also hit a new 52-week low today, reflecting sectoral pressures. The Sensex is trading below its 50-day moving average, although the 50DMA remains above the 200DMA, indicating some underlying support at longer-term levels.
Financial Performance and Key Metrics
Shiva Global Agro Industries Ltd’s financials reveal several areas of concern. The company reported net sales of Rs.46.32 crore in the latest quarter, a sharp decline of 49.3% compared to the average of the previous four quarters. The net profit after tax (PAT) for the quarter stood at a loss of Rs.1.99 crore, representing a steep fall of 1608.0% relative to the prior four-quarter average.
Operating profit to interest coverage ratio has deteriorated to -5.00 times, indicating the company’s earnings are insufficient to cover interest expenses. This is compounded by a high Debt to EBITDA ratio of 3.96 times, which points to a relatively low capacity to service debt obligations.
Return on Equity (ROE) averaged 5.09%, reflecting modest profitability relative to shareholders’ funds. Over the past year, the stock has generated a negative return of 20.60%, significantly underperforming the Sensex, which posted a positive 7.83% return in the same period. The stock’s 52-week high was Rs.52.65, underscoring the extent of the recent decline.
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Long-Term Fundamental Assessment
The company’s long-term fundamental strength is considered weak, as reflected in its recent downgrade from a 'Sell' to a 'Strong Sell' Mojo Grade on 17 Nov 2025. The Mojo Score currently stands at 17.0, underscoring the cautious stance on the stock. Market capitalisation grade is rated 4, indicating a micro-cap status with associated liquidity and volatility considerations.
Shiva Global Agro Industries Ltd has consistently underperformed its benchmark indices over the last three years, with negative returns in each of the past three annual periods relative to the BSE500. This persistent underperformance highlights ongoing challenges in generating shareholder value.
Valuation and Comparative Metrics
Despite the subdued financial performance, the company’s Return on Capital Employed (ROCE) is 4.8%, and it trades at an enterprise value to capital employed ratio of 0.5, suggesting a relatively attractive valuation compared to peers. The stock is currently trading at a discount to the average historical valuations of its fertiliser sector counterparts.
Interestingly, while the stock price has declined by 20.60% over the past year, the company’s profits have increased by 106.1%, resulting in a low PEG ratio of 0.3. This divergence between profit growth and stock price performance may reflect market concerns over sustainability and financial stability.
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Shareholding and Sectoral Position
The majority shareholding of Shiva Global Agro Industries Ltd remains with the promoters, maintaining concentrated ownership. The company operates within the fertilisers industry and sector, which has faced volatility amid fluctuating commodity prices and regulatory changes.
Given the stock’s current position below all major moving averages and its recent 52-week low, the market is reflecting a cautious view on the company’s near-term prospects. The broader market environment, with the Sensex also experiencing a three-week decline, adds to the subdued sentiment.
Summary of Key Financial Ratios and Performance Indicators
To summarise, Shiva Global Agro Industries Ltd’s key financial indicators include:
- Net sales decline of 49.3% in the latest quarter
- Quarterly PAT loss of Rs.1.99 crore, down 1608.0%
- Operating profit to interest coverage ratio at -5.00 times
- Debt to EBITDA ratio of 3.96 times
- Average Return on Equity of 5.09%
- ROCE of 4.8%
- PEG ratio of 0.3
- Mojo Score of 17.0 with a Strong Sell grade
These figures collectively illustrate the challenges faced by the company in maintaining profitability and servicing debt, contributing to the stock’s recent price weakness.
Market and Sector Comparison
In comparison to the Sensex, which has gained 7.83% over the past year, Shiva Global Agro Industries Ltd’s stock has declined by 20.60%, highlighting a significant divergence in performance. The stock’s 52-week high of Rs.52.65 contrasts sharply with the current Rs.33 level, marking a substantial correction.
Conclusion
Shiva Global Agro Industries Ltd’s fall to a 52-week low of Rs.33 reflects a combination of subdued financial results, elevated debt levels, and persistent underperformance relative to benchmarks. The stock’s trading below all major moving averages and its recent downgrade to a Strong Sell grade underscore the cautious market sentiment. While valuation metrics suggest some attractiveness relative to peers, the company’s financial metrics indicate ongoing challenges in profitability and debt servicing capacity.
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