Intraday Price Movement and Market Context
The stock opened sharply lower with a gap down of 5.36% and continued to slide, touching an intraday low of Rs.51.65, representing a 7.77% drop from the previous close. This decline outpaced the sector’s underperformance of 5.88% on the day. Shiva Mills is currently trading below all key moving averages, including the 5-day, 20-day, 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day averages, signalling sustained bearish momentum.
In contrast, the broader market showed resilience with the Sensex recovering from an initial fall of 167.26 points to close 0.14% higher at 80,832.44. The NIFTY PSU index even hit a new 52-week high, underscoring the divergence between Shiva Mills and the overall market trend. While mega-cap stocks led the market rally, Shiva Mills’ performance remained subdued.
Long-Term Price Performance and Valuation Concerns
Over the past year, Shiva Mills has delivered a negative return of 44.48%, significantly lagging behind the Sensex’s positive 4.37% gain. The stock’s 52-week high was Rs.97.05, indicating a steep decline of nearly 47% from its peak. This prolonged downtrend reflects ongoing challenges in the company’s financial health and market positioning.
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Financial Performance and Profitability Metrics
Shiva Mills’ financial indicators reveal a challenging environment. The company’s operating profits have declined at a compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) of -210.36% over the last five years, highlighting a severe erosion in core earnings capacity. The average Return on Equity (ROE) stands at a modest 5.64%, indicating limited profitability relative to shareholders’ funds.
Recent quarterly results for September 2025 further underline the difficulties faced by the company. Net sales fell sharply by 36.68% to Rs.30.44 crores, while the dividend per share (DPS) and dividend payout ratio (DPR) both dropped to zero, reflecting a cautious stance on shareholder returns amid financial strain.
Valuation and Risk Assessment
The stock is currently trading at valuations that are considered risky relative to its historical averages. Over the past year, profits have contracted by 48%, compounding the negative return of 44.48% for shareholders. Shiva Mills has consistently underperformed the BSE500 benchmark over the last three annual periods, underscoring persistent challenges in generating shareholder value.
Majority ownership remains with the promoters, which may influence strategic decisions and capital allocation going forward. However, the current market sentiment and financial metrics have contributed to the stock’s downgrade from a Sell to a Strong Sell rating, as reflected in its Mojo Grade of 3.0 as of 9 December 2024.
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Comparative Sector and Market Analysis
Within the Garments & Apparels sector, Shiva Mills’ performance contrasts sharply with peers and broader market indices. While the Sensex and select sector indices have shown resilience and growth, Shiva Mills has struggled to maintain momentum. The stock’s underperformance relative to sector benchmarks and the broader market highlights the challenges it faces in regaining investor confidence and market share.
Its current market capitalisation grade of 4 indicates a mid-tier valuation status, but this has not translated into positive price action or improved fundamentals. The stock’s day change of -7.30% today further emphasises the ongoing pressure on its share price.
Summary of Key Metrics
To summarise, Shiva Mills Ltd’s stock has reached a new 52-week low of Rs.51.65, reflecting a sustained downtrend driven by weak sales, declining profitability, and cautious market sentiment. The company’s financial performance over recent years has deteriorated, with significant declines in operating profits and shareholder returns. Despite a recovering broader market, Shiva Mills continues to face headwinds that have weighed on its valuation and market performance.
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