Key Events This Week
Jan 19: Stock opens at Rs.89.07, down 2.44%
Jan 20: Technical momentum shifts signal mildly bullish outlook despite 12.70% price drop
Jan 21: Valuation shifts from very expensive to expensive amid market volatility
Jan 22: Slight recovery with 2.03% gain to Rs.78.51
Jan 23: Week closes at Rs.75.83, down 3.41% on the day
Monday, 19 January 2026: Weak Start Amid Broader Market Decline
Shree Digvijay Cement opened the week at Rs.89.07, down 2.44% from the previous Friday’s close of Rs.91.30. This decline was sharper than the Sensex’s 0.49% fall to 36,650.97, signalling early weakness in the stock. The volume of 18,060 shares traded reflected moderate investor activity as the market digested broader macroeconomic concerns impacting the cement sector and equities generally.
Tuesday, 20 January 2026: Technical Momentum Shifts Amid Sharp Price Drop
The stock suffered a steep 12.70% decline to Rs.77.76 on heavy volume of 103,781 shares, significantly underperforming the Sensex’s 1.82% drop to 35,984.65. Despite this sharp fall, technical analysis indicated a shift from a bullish to a mildly bullish momentum. Key indicators such as the MACD, RSI, and moving averages suggested cautious optimism for a potential stabilisation, although short-term selling pressure remained evident.
Intraday volatility was notable, with the stock trading between Rs.87.64 and Rs.90.35 before closing near the lows. The weekly MACD was mildly bearish, but the monthly MACD remained bullish, reflecting mixed signals across timeframes. The weekly RSI was positive, hinting at some near-term recovery potential despite the price drop.
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Wednesday, 21 January 2026: Valuation Adjustments Amid Market Volatility
The stock declined further by 1.04% to Rs.76.95 on a volume of 26,754 shares, while the Sensex fell 0.47% to 35,815.26. This day’s trading was marked by a reassessment of valuation metrics, with Shree Digvijay Cement’s price-to-earnings ratio adjusting from very expensive to expensive. The P/E stood at 30.21, still elevated compared to sector peers such as NCL Industries at 15.32.
Other valuation ratios, including price-to-book value of 3.10 and EV/EBITDA of 17.96, underscored the premium pricing of the stock despite moderate returns on capital employed (8.81%) and equity (10.27%). This valuation recalibration reflected investor caution amid the broader market downturn and sector-specific challenges.
Despite the premium multiples, the company’s dividend yield of 1.96% provided some income support. The Mojo Score of 58.0 and Hold rating indicated a balanced outlook, recognising stable fundamentals but elevated valuation risks.
Thursday, 22 January 2026: Modest Recovery on Low Volume
Shree Digvijay Cement saw a modest rebound, gaining 2.03% to close at Rs.78.51 on light volume of 6,289 shares. This recovery outpaced the Sensex’s 0.76% gain to 36,088.66, suggesting some short-term buying interest. Technical indicators such as daily moving averages showed mild bullishness, hinting at potential price stabilisation after the steep declines earlier in the week.
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Friday, 23 January 2026: Week Ends with Further Decline
The week concluded with the stock falling 3.41% to Rs.75.83 on volume of 11,194 shares, underperforming the Sensex’s 1.33% drop to 35,609.90. This final session reflected continued selling pressure amid uncertain market conditions. The stock’s weekly decline of 16.94% starkly contrasted with the Sensex’s 3.31% fall, highlighting the stock’s heightened volatility and sensitivity to sector and valuation concerns.
| Date | Stock Price | Day Change | Sensex | Day Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-19 | Rs.89.07 | -2.44% | 36,650.97 | -0.49% |
| 2026-01-20 | Rs.77.76 | -12.70% | 35,984.65 | -1.82% |
| 2026-01-21 | Rs.76.95 | -1.04% | 35,815.26 | -0.47% |
| 2026-01-22 | Rs.78.51 | +2.03% | 36,088.66 | +0.76% |
| 2026-01-23 | Rs.75.83 | -3.41% | 35,609.90 | -1.33% |
Key Takeaways
Positive Signals: Despite the sharp weekly decline, technical indicators such as the monthly MACD and weekly RSI suggest underlying longer-term strength and potential for price stabilisation. The recent upgrade from a Sell to Hold rating by MarketsMOJO reflects improved sentiment and a more balanced outlook.
Cautionary Signals: The stock’s valuation remains elevated with a P/E of 30.21 and EV/EBITDA of 17.96, considerably higher than many peers. The steep 16.94% weekly price drop and underperformance relative to the Sensex highlight short-term volatility and investor caution. Dow Theory and weekly MACD signals remain mildly bearish, indicating possible resistance ahead.
Volume and Price Action: Heavy volume on 20 January accompanied the largest price drop, signalling strong selling pressure. Subsequent sessions saw lower volumes and a minor recovery, but the stock closed the week near its lows, underscoring persistent uncertainty.
Conclusion
Shree Digvijay Cement Co. Ltd’s week was characterised by significant price volatility and a sharp decline that outpaced the broader market’s fall. While technical momentum shows signs of mild bullishness on longer timeframes, valuation concerns and short-term bearish signals suggest caution. The Hold rating and Mojo Score of 58.0 reflect a balanced view acknowledging both the company’s stable fundamentals and the risks posed by elevated multiples and market volatility.
Investors should monitor key support levels near Rs.75 and resistance around Rs.90 for indications of a sustained trend. The stock’s historical outperformance over the long term contrasts with recent weakness, emphasising the importance of careful analysis amid current market conditions.
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