Technical Trend Shift and Moving Averages
The technical trend for Sical Logistics has deteriorated from mildly bearish to outright bearish, signalling increased selling pressure. Daily moving averages reinforce this negative outlook, with the stock trading below key averages, indicating a lack of upward momentum in the short term. The daily moving averages’ bearish alignment suggests that the stock may continue to face resistance near current levels unless there is a significant catalyst to reverse the trend.
MACD and Momentum Indicators
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator presents a nuanced picture. On a weekly basis, the MACD remains mildly bullish, hinting at some underlying positive momentum that could support price stability or a modest rebound. However, the monthly MACD is bearish, reflecting longer-term downward pressure. This divergence between weekly and monthly MACD readings suggests that while short-term traders might find some buying opportunities, the broader trend remains unfavourable.
RSI and Bollinger Bands Analysis
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on both weekly and monthly charts currently shows no clear signal, hovering in neutral territory. This lack of directional RSI momentum indicates that the stock is neither overbought nor oversold, leaving room for either a continuation of the current trend or a potential reversal depending on upcoming market developments.
Bollinger Bands, however, are aligned bearishly on both weekly and monthly timeframes. The stock price is closer to the lower band, signalling increased volatility and potential downside risk. This bearish positioning of Bollinger Bands often precedes further declines or consolidation phases, reinforcing the cautious stance investors should adopt.
Other Technical Indicators: KST, Dow Theory, and OBV
The Know Sure Thing (KST) indicator shows a mild bullishness on the weekly chart but turns mildly bearish on the monthly chart, echoing the mixed signals seen in MACD. Dow Theory assessments indicate a mildly bearish trend weekly, with no clear trend on the monthly scale, further complicating the technical outlook.
On-Balance Volume (OBV) remains neutral on both weekly and monthly charts, suggesting that volume trends are not currently supporting a strong directional move. This absence of volume confirmation adds to the uncertainty surrounding the stock’s immediate trajectory.
Price Action and Volatility
On 5 Feb 2026, Sical Logistics traded within a range of ₹87.21 to ₹92.00, closing slightly lower at ₹91.50 compared to the previous close of ₹91.80, marking a day change of -0.33%. The 52-week high stands at ₹126.15, while the 52-week low is ₹78.55, indicating a wide trading band and significant volatility over the past year.
The recent price action near the lower end of this range, combined with bearish technical indicators, suggests that the stock may face challenges in regaining upward momentum without positive fundamental developments or sector tailwinds.
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Comparative Returns and Market Context
When compared with the broader Sensex index, Sical Logistics’ returns present a mixed picture. Over the past week, the stock declined by 2.69%, while the Sensex gained 1.79%. However, over the past month, Sical Logistics managed a modest gain of 0.22% against a 2.27% decline in the Sensex, and year-to-date returns stand at 3.51% compared to the Sensex’s -1.65%.
Longer-term returns reveal a more complex scenario. Over one year, the stock has underperformed significantly, falling 20.78% while the Sensex rose 6.66%. Yet, over three and five years, Sical Logistics has delivered exceptional returns of 1,053.85% and 501.97% respectively, vastly outperforming the Sensex’s 37.76% and 65.60% gains. The 10-year return, however, is negative at -29.72%, contrasting sharply with the Sensex’s robust 244.38% growth.
Mojo Score and Analyst Ratings
MarketsMOJO assigns Sical Logistics a Mojo Score of 29.0, categorising it as a Strong Sell. This represents a downgrade from the previous Sell rating on 4 Feb 2026, reflecting deteriorating technical and fundamental metrics. The company’s Market Cap Grade is 4, indicating a mid-tier market capitalisation relative to peers in the Transport Services sector.
The downgrade to Strong Sell underscores the cautious stance investors should adopt, given the combination of bearish technical trends and recent price underperformance.
Sector and Industry Considerations
Sical Logistics operates within the Transport Services sector, which has faced headwinds due to fluctuating fuel costs, regulatory changes, and evolving supply chain dynamics. The sector’s performance often correlates with broader economic cycles, and current macroeconomic uncertainties may be weighing on investor sentiment.
Within this context, Sical Logistics’ mixed technical signals and recent price weakness suggest that the stock may continue to face volatility until clearer sectoral or company-specific catalysts emerge.
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Outlook and Investor Considerations
Given the current technical landscape, investors should approach Sical Logistics with caution. The bearish daily moving averages and monthly MACD suggest that the stock may face further downside pressure in the near term. The neutral RSI and OBV readings imply that momentum and volume are not yet confirming a decisive trend reversal.
However, the mildly bullish weekly MACD and KST indicators offer a glimmer of hope for short-term traders looking for potential entry points. The stock’s proximity to its 52-week low could attract value-oriented investors if accompanied by positive fundamental developments.
Ultimately, the downgrade to a Strong Sell rating by MarketsMOJO reflects the prevailing risks and technical weaknesses. Investors should monitor key support levels near ₹78.55 and watch for any shifts in volume or momentum indicators that might signal a change in trend.
Summary
Sical Logistics Ltd’s technical parameters have shifted towards a bearish stance, with daily moving averages and monthly MACD signalling caution. Mixed weekly indicators and neutral RSI readings create a complex picture, while Bollinger Bands suggest heightened volatility. The stock’s recent price action and underperformance relative to the Sensex reinforce the need for prudence. MarketsMOJO’s Strong Sell rating further emphasises the risks ahead, making it essential for investors to carefully weigh sector dynamics and technical signals before committing capital.
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