Technical Trend Overview and Price Movement
As of 25 Feb 2026, Star Cement’s stock price closed at ₹217.50, down 0.84% from the previous close of ₹219.35. The intraday range was relatively narrow, with a low of ₹214.85 and a high of ₹219.95, indicating limited volatility on the day. The stock remains well below its 52-week high of ₹308.10, while comfortably above its 52-week low of ₹196.70, suggesting a consolidation phase within a broad trading range.
The technical trend has shifted from mildly bearish to bearish, reflecting increased selling pressure and weakening momentum. This is corroborated by the daily moving averages which currently signal a bearish trend, with the stock trading below key averages, indicating downward pressure in the short term.
MACD and Momentum Indicators
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator presents a mixed picture. On a weekly basis, the MACD remains bearish, confirming the recent downward momentum. The monthly MACD, however, is mildly bearish, suggesting that while the longer-term trend is weakening, it has not yet fully transitioned into a strong downtrend. This divergence between weekly and monthly MACD readings highlights the potential for short-term volatility and the need for investors to monitor momentum shifts closely.
Complementing this, the Know Sure Thing (KST) indicator shows a mildly bullish signal on the weekly chart, indicating some underlying strength or potential for a short-term bounce. Conversely, the monthly KST remains mildly bearish, reinforcing the longer-term cautionary stance.
RSI and Bollinger Bands Analysis
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on both weekly and monthly timeframes currently shows no definitive signal, hovering in neutral territory. This suggests that the stock is neither overbought nor oversold, leaving room for directional movement based on other technical factors and market sentiment.
Bollinger Bands provide further insight into volatility and price momentum. On the weekly chart, the bands indicate a mildly bearish stance, with the price gravitating towards the lower band, signalling increased selling pressure. The monthly Bollinger Bands are more decisively bearish, reflecting sustained downward momentum over a longer horizon.
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Moving Averages and Dow Theory Signals
Daily moving averages reinforce the bearish outlook, with the stock price trading below its short-term and medium-term averages. This alignment typically signals continued downward pressure unless a reversal pattern emerges. The Dow Theory analysis echoes this sentiment, with both weekly and monthly readings mildly bearish, indicating that the broader trend remains under pressure.
On the volume front, the On-Balance Volume (OBV) indicator shows no clear trend on either weekly or monthly charts, suggesting that volume is not currently confirming price movements. This lack of volume confirmation may imply that the recent price declines are not yet supported by strong selling conviction, leaving room for potential volatility.
Comparative Returns and Sector Context
From a returns perspective, Star Cement has delivered mixed performance relative to the Sensex benchmark. Over the past week, the stock marginally outperformed the Sensex with a 0.09% gain versus the benchmark’s 1.47% decline. Over one month, Star Cement’s return of 2.72% also surpassed the Sensex’s 0.84% gain, indicating some short-term resilience.
However, year-to-date returns show a slight underperformance at -3.4%, closely tracking the Sensex’s -3.51%. Over the one-year horizon, Star Cement’s 3.08% return lags the Sensex’s robust 10.44%, reflecting sector-specific challenges or company-level headwinds. Longer-term performance remains strong, with three- and five-year returns of 91.8% and 119.14% respectively, significantly outperforming the Sensex’s 38.28% and 61.92% gains. This highlights the stock’s capacity for sustained growth despite recent technical setbacks.
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Mojo Score and Analyst Ratings
Star Cement currently holds a Mojo Score of 37.0, categorised as a Sell rating, reflecting a downgrade from its previous Hold status as of 02 Dec 2025. This downgrade signals a deterioration in the stock’s technical and fundamental outlook, urging investors to exercise caution. The Market Cap Grade stands at 3, indicating a mid-tier market capitalisation within its sector.
The downgrade aligns with the technical indicators’ bearish signals and the stock’s recent price momentum. Investors should weigh these factors carefully against the company’s long-term growth prospects and sector fundamentals before making investment decisions.
Outlook and Investor Considerations
While Star Cement’s technical indicators currently lean bearish, the mixed signals from momentum oscillators and volume metrics suggest that the stock may be in a transitional phase. The absence of strong RSI signals and neutral OBV trends imply that the stock could experience short-term volatility without a decisive directional move.
Investors should monitor key technical levels, including the 52-week low of ₹196.70, as a potential support zone, and the moving averages for signs of trend reversal. Additionally, broader sector trends and macroeconomic factors impacting the cement industry will play a crucial role in shaping the stock’s trajectory.
Given the current technical downgrade and the Mojo Sell rating, a cautious approach is advisable. Investors seeking exposure to the cement sector might consider diversifying or exploring alternative stocks with stronger momentum and fundamental profiles.
Summary
In summary, Star Cement Ltd. is navigating a challenging technical landscape marked by a shift to bearish momentum across multiple indicators. The MACD and Bollinger Bands signal weakening trends, while moving averages and Dow Theory confirm downward pressure. Despite some mildly bullish short-term signals from KST, the overall outlook remains cautious. The recent downgrade to a Sell rating by MarketsMOJO underscores the need for prudence. Long-term investors should balance these technical signals against the company’s historical outperformance and sector dynamics before committing fresh capital.
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