Technical Trend Evolution and Price Movement
Sun Pharma’s current price stands at ₹1,704.60, up from the previous close of ₹1,694.70, marking a daily increase of 0.58%. The stock traded within a range of ₹1,695.95 to ₹1,724.95 today, remaining below its 52-week high of ₹1,850.95 but comfortably above the 52-week low of ₹1,547.25. The shift from a mildly bearish to a sideways technical trend suggests a consolidation phase, where neither bulls nor bears have established clear dominance.
This sideways movement is corroborated by Bollinger Bands on both weekly and monthly charts, which indicate a lack of strong directional momentum. The bands are relatively flat, signalling reduced volatility and a potential pause in the stock’s directional movement.
MACD and Momentum Oscillators: Divergent Signals
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator remains bearish on the weekly chart and mildly bearish on the monthly chart. This suggests that while short-term momentum is weak, longer-term momentum is only slightly negative, reflecting a cautious market stance. The MACD histogram has shown reduced negative divergence recently, hinting at a possible stabilisation but not yet a definitive bullish reversal.
Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) on both weekly and monthly timeframes is neutral, showing no clear overbought or oversold conditions. This lack of signal from RSI aligns with the sideways price action, indicating that the stock is neither stretched on the upside nor the downside.
Moving Averages and KST Indicator
Daily moving averages have turned mildly bullish, with the stock price trading slightly above its short-term averages. This suggests some positive momentum in the near term, potentially driven by recent buying interest. However, the weekly and monthly KST (Know Sure Thing) indicators remain mildly bearish, signalling that the broader momentum remains subdued and caution is warranted.
Such divergence between daily and longer-term indicators often points to a transitional phase where short-term optimism is tempered by longer-term uncertainty.
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Volume and Trend Confirmation Indicators
On-Balance Volume (OBV) readings on weekly and monthly charts show no discernible trend, indicating that volume is not confirming any strong price movement. Similarly, Dow Theory analysis on both weekly and monthly timeframes reveals no clear trend, reinforcing the sideways consolidation narrative.
These neutral volume and trend signals suggest that investors are awaiting clearer catalysts before committing decisively to either buying or selling.
Comparative Performance Against Sensex
Sun Pharma’s recent returns relative to the Sensex provide additional context for its technical signals. Over the past week, the stock outperformed the Sensex with a 4.65% gain compared to the benchmark’s 2.94%. However, over the one-month period, the stock declined by 1.47% while the Sensex rose 0.59%, indicating short-term volatility and mixed investor sentiment.
Year-to-date, Sun Pharma has marginally underperformed the Sensex, with returns of -0.88% versus -1.36% for the benchmark, suggesting relative resilience. Over longer horizons, the stock has delivered strong cumulative returns, with 3-year gains of 69.31% versus 38.25% for the Sensex, and an impressive 5-year return of 173.30% compared to the Sensex’s 63.78%. However, the 10-year return of 99.54% lags behind the Sensex’s 249.97%, reflecting periods of underperformance in the distant past.
Mojo Score and Analyst Ratings
MarketsMOJO assigns Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd a Mojo Score of 62.0, categorising it as a Hold. This represents a downgrade from a previous Buy rating on 19 January 2026, reflecting the recent technical parameter changes and mixed momentum signals. The Market Cap Grade remains at 1, indicating a large-cap status but with limited upside potential in the near term according to the model.
The downgrade aligns with the technical indicators’ cautious tone, suggesting investors should monitor the stock closely for confirmation of trend direction before increasing exposure.
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Investor Takeaway and Outlook
Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd is currently navigating a phase of technical consolidation, with momentum oscillators and moving averages sending mixed signals. The mildly bullish daily moving averages contrast with bearish weekly and monthly MACD and KST indicators, while RSI and volume-based indicators remain neutral. This suggests that the stock is in a holding pattern, awaiting fresh catalysts or market developments to break out decisively.
Investors should weigh the stock’s strong medium-term performance against the recent technical downgrade and sideways momentum. The stock’s outperformance relative to the Sensex over the past week is encouraging, but the one-month underperformance and neutral longer-term momentum indicators counsel caution.
Given the current technical landscape, a prudent approach would be to monitor for confirmation of trend direction, such as a sustained breakout above recent highs or a clear shift in volume and momentum indicators. Until then, maintaining a Hold stance aligns with the prevailing technical and fundamental signals.
Summary of Key Technical Indicators:
- MACD: Weekly Bearish, Monthly Mildly Bearish
- RSI: Neutral on Weekly and Monthly
- Bollinger Bands: Sideways on Weekly and Monthly
- Moving Averages: Daily Mildly Bullish
- KST: Weekly and Monthly Mildly Bearish
- Dow Theory and OBV: No Clear Trend
These mixed signals underscore the importance of a cautious, data-driven investment approach in the current environment.
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