Key Events This Week
23 Feb: Technical momentum shifts amid bearish signals
26 Feb: Strong daily gain of 1.91% with increased volume
27 Feb: Mojo Grade upgraded to Hold on improved fundamentals and technicals
23 February 2026: Technical Momentum Shifts Amid Bearish Signals
On Monday, Swaraj Engines opened the week with a slight gain of 0.33%, closing at Rs.3,555.50, marginally underperforming the Sensex’s 0.39% rise. Despite this, technical indicators painted a bearish picture. The stock’s moving averages deteriorated, and the MACD readings turned negative, signalling increased downside pressure. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) remained neutral, suggesting no immediate oversold conditions, but the overall technical momentum shifted from mildly bearish to bearish. This bearish sentiment was reflected in the intraday volatility, with the stock trading between Rs.3,515.00 and Rs.3,606.15. The technical downgrade underscored caution for investors amid a volatile market backdrop.
24 February 2026: Market Weakness Weighs on Stock
The stock declined by 0.52% to close at Rs.3,536.85, underperforming the Sensex which fell 0.78%. Lower trading volume of 233 shares accompanied this drop, indicating subdued investor interest. The broader market weakness, coupled with the prior day’s bearish technical signals, contributed to the stock’s decline. This session reinforced the cautious stance among traders as the stock remained below key moving averages, maintaining a bearish technical outlook.
25 February 2026: Recovery Signs with Modest Gains
Swaraj Engines rebounded with a 0.64% gain, closing at Rs.3,559.35, while the Sensex rose 0.41%. The recovery was modest and accompanied by low volume, suggesting tentative buying interest. Technical indicators remained mixed, with the MACD still bearish on weekly charts but showing signs of easing. The stock’s price action hinted at potential stabilisation, though the overall trend remained cautious.
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26 February 2026: Strong Rally on Increased Volume
The stock surged 1.91% to Rs.3,627.35, marking the week’s highest close, supported by a significant volume increase to 879 shares. This rally outpaced the Sensex’s modest 0.19% gain, signalling renewed investor confidence. Technical indicators improved, with the overall trend shifting from bearish to mildly bearish. Bollinger Bands suggested short-term volatility but a potential easing of downward pressure. The Know Sure Thing (KST) oscillator turned mildly bullish on the weekly chart, while the Dow Theory remained mildly bearish, reflecting a market in transition. This session was pivotal in setting the stage for the subsequent upgrade in the stock’s rating.
27 February 2026: Mojo Grade Upgraded to Hold on Improved Fundamentals and Technicals
Despite a 1.06% decline to Rs.3,588.95 on lower volume, Swaraj Engines received a significant upgrade from MarketsMOJO, moving from a Sell to a Hold rating. This upgrade was driven by robust fundamental improvements, including a high return on equity (ROE) of 44.26% and a return on capital employed (ROCE) of 60.70%. The company’s Q3 FY25-26 results showed net sales growth of 36.96% year-on-year to Rs.473.20 crores and a 43.34% rise in profit before tax excluding other income to Rs.56.13 crores. Valuation metrics remained fair but premium, with a price-to-book ratio of 11.2 and a PEG ratio of 1.1. Technical indicators presented a mixed but improving picture, with the MACD mildly bearish monthly and the RSI neutral. Institutional participation declined slightly to 12.88%, warranting cautious monitoring. Overall, the upgrade reflected a more balanced outlook amid mixed technical signals and strong fundamentals.
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| Date | Stock Price | Day Change | Sensex | Day Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-23 | Rs.3,555.50 | +0.33% | 36,817.86 | +0.39% |
| 2026-02-24 | Rs.3,536.85 | -0.52% | 36,530.09 | -0.78% |
| 2026-02-25 | Rs.3,559.35 | +0.64% | 36,679.75 | +0.41% |
| 2026-02-26 | Rs.3,627.35 | +1.91% | 36,748.49 | +0.19% |
| 2026-02-27 | Rs.3,588.95 | -1.06% | 36,322.56 | -1.16% |
Key Takeaways
Positive Signals: Swaraj Engines demonstrated resilience by outperforming the Sensex with a 1.27% weekly gain despite mixed technical signals. The upgrade to a Hold rating by MarketsMOJO reflects strong fundamentals, including high ROE and ROCE, robust quarterly sales and profit growth, and a reasonable PEG ratio. The significant rally on 26 February with increased volume indicated renewed investor interest and potential stabilisation in price momentum.
Cautionary Notes: Technical indicators remain mixed, with the MACD still bearish on weekly charts and RSI neutral, suggesting fragile momentum. The stock’s premium valuation relative to peers and a slight decline in institutional holdings to 12.88% warrant careful monitoring. The 1.06% drop on the final trading day and lower volume highlight ongoing volatility and uncertainty in short-term price direction.
Conclusion
The week for Swaraj Engines Ltd was characterised by a cautious but positive shift in sentiment. While the stock’s technical momentum showed signs of stabilising from bearish to mildly bearish, fundamental improvements and a rating upgrade to Hold by MarketsMOJO provided a more balanced outlook. The company’s strong financial metrics and consistent outperformance against the Sensex over multiple timeframes underpin investor confidence, even as mixed technical signals advise prudence. Going forward, close attention to volume trends, institutional participation, and upcoming quarterly results will be essential for assessing the sustainability of the current momentum. For now, Swaraj Engines occupies a middle ground, offering moderate upside potential tempered by prevailing market uncertainties.
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