Recent Price Movement and Market Context
On 16 Dec 2025, TCPL Packaging's share price touched Rs.2917.85, the lowest level recorded in the past year. This decline follows three consecutive sessions of losses, during which the stock's returns contracted by approximately 3.08%. The trading range on the day was relatively narrow, confined to Rs.17.3, indicating limited intraday volatility despite the downward trend.
In comparison, the broader packaging sector outperformed TCPL Packaging by 0.52% on the same day, highlighting the stock's relative underperformance within its industry. The Sensex, India's benchmark index, opened lower by 187.75 points and was trading at 84,873.85, down 0.4% from the previous close. Notably, the Sensex remains close to its 52-week high of 86,159.02, just 1.51% away, and is supported by bullish moving averages, with the 50-day moving average positioned above the 200-day moving average.
Technical Indicators and Moving Averages
TCPL Packaging is currently trading below all key moving averages, including the 5-day, 20-day, 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day averages. This positioning suggests a sustained downward momentum over multiple time frames. The stock's failure to hold above these technical benchmarks contrasts with the broader market's more positive technical signals, underscoring the challenges faced by TCPL Packaging in regaining upward momentum.
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One-Year Performance and Relative Returns
Over the past year, TCPL Packaging's stock price has recorded a negative return of 12.01%, contrasting with the Sensex's positive return of 3.83% during the same period. This divergence highlights the stock's underperformance relative to the broader market. While the BSE500 index has generated a modest return of 1.04% over the last year, TCPL Packaging's returns have been notably lower, reflecting sector-specific and company-specific factors influencing investor sentiment.
Financial Metrics and Profitability Trends
Despite the stock's price decline, TCPL Packaging's financial results present a mixed picture. The company's profits have risen by 10.1% over the past year, indicating growth in earnings despite the share price movement. However, the profit before tax (PBT) excluding other income for the latest quarter stood at Rs.28.10 crores, showing a contraction of 21.2% compared to the average of the previous four quarters. This reduction in core profitability may have contributed to the subdued market response.
Interest expenses for the latest six months amounted to Rs.46.10 crores, reflecting a growth rate of 40.25%. The return on capital employed (ROCE) for the half-year period was recorded at 17.11%, which is among the lower levels observed recently. Nevertheless, management efficiency remains relatively high, with a ROCE of 16.85% noted in other assessments.
Valuation and Market Capitalisation
TCPL Packaging's valuation metrics suggest a fair positioning relative to its capital employed, with an enterprise value to capital employed ratio of 2.5. The stock is trading at a discount compared to the average historical valuations of its peers in the packaging sector. The price-to-earnings-to-growth (PEG) ratio stands at 2.1, reflecting the relationship between the company's earnings growth and its market valuation.
The company's market capitalisation grade is rated at 3, indicating a mid-sized market presence within its sector. Promoters remain the majority shareholders, maintaining significant control over the company's strategic direction.
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Sector and Industry Overview
Operating within the packaging industry, TCPL Packaging faces competitive pressures and market dynamics that influence its stock performance. The packaging sector has shown resilience in certain segments, but individual company results vary based on operational scale, cost structures, and market demand. TCPL Packaging's recent share price movement reflects these sectoral influences alongside company-specific financial developments.
Summary of Key Price Levels
The stock's 52-week high was recorded at Rs.4909.55, indicating a substantial range between the peak and the current low of Rs.2917.85. This wide price band underscores the volatility experienced by TCPL Packaging over the past year. The recent decline to the 52-week low marks a critical technical level that investors and market participants will monitor closely.
Conclusion
TCPL Packaging's stock has experienced a notable decline to its lowest level in the past year, influenced by a combination of financial results, valuation considerations, and broader market trends. While the company has demonstrated profit growth, certain financial indicators such as PBT excluding other income and interest expenses have shown contrasting trends. The stock's position below key moving averages and its underperformance relative to the Sensex and sector peers highlight the challenges faced in the current market environment.
Market participants will continue to observe TCPL Packaging's financial disclosures and sector developments to assess the stock's trajectory in the coming periods.
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