Key Events This Week
Feb 9: Stock opens at Rs.67.99, up 1.06% with Sensex rising 1.04%
Feb 10: Mojo Grade upgraded to Hold; stock gains 1.59%
Feb 11: Stock surges 5.23% amid bullish technical momentum
Feb 12: Stock rises 2.09% despite Sensex decline
Feb 13: Week closes at Rs.74.81, up 0.82% while Sensex falls 1.40%
Monday, 9 February 2026: Steady Start Amid Market Gains
The week began with TFCI closing at Rs.67.99, marking a 1.06% gain from the previous Friday’s close of Rs.67.28. This performance was in line with the Sensex, which rose 1.04% to 37,113.23. Trading volume stood at 361,267 shares, indicating moderate investor interest. The stock’s resilience set a positive tone for the week ahead.
Tuesday, 10 February 2026: Mojo Grade Upgrade Spurs Confidence
On 10 February, MarketsMOJO upgraded TFCI’s investment rating from Sell to Hold, citing technical improvements and better financial performance. This upgrade was a pivotal event, coinciding with a 1.59% rise in the stock price to Rs.69.07. The Sensex also advanced but at a slower pace, gaining 0.25% to 37,207.34. The upgrade reflected bullish technical indicators such as a shift to a bullish stance in Bollinger Bands and a positive monthly MACD, signalling strengthening momentum.
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Wednesday, 11 February 2026: Sharp Rally on Technical Momentum
TFCI experienced its strongest single-day gain of the week on 11 February, surging 5.23% to close at Rs.72.68. This sharp rally outpaced the Sensex’s modest 0.13% increase to 37,256.72. The price action was supported by bullish daily moving averages and expanding Bollinger Bands, signalling strong buying interest. Despite a mildly bearish weekly MACD and KST indicators, the monthly momentum remained positive, suggesting a favourable medium-term outlook.
Thursday, 12 February 2026: Gains Persist Despite Market Weakness
On 12 February, TFCI continued its upward trajectory, rising 2.09% to Rs.74.20, even as the Sensex declined 0.56% to 37,049.40. This divergence highlighted the stock’s relative strength amid broader market volatility. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) remained neutral, indicating the stock was neither overbought nor oversold, allowing room for further appreciation. On-balance volume (OBV) trends suggested accumulation over the longer term, reinforcing the bullish technical narrative.
Friday, 13 February 2026: Week Closes Near Highs Amid Market Sell-Off
The week concluded with TFCI edging up 0.82% to Rs.74.81, marking the highest closing price of the week. This gain came despite a sharp 1.40% drop in the Sensex to 36,532.48, underscoring the stock’s outperformance. Trading volume tapered to 253,245 shares, reflecting some profit-taking but sustained interest. The stock’s ability to maintain gains near its 52-week high of Rs.75.94 signals robust technical support and investor confidence.
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Weekly Price Performance: Stock vs Sensex
| Date | Stock Price | Day Change | Sensex | Day Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-09 | Rs.67.99 | +1.06% | 37,113.23 | +1.04% |
| 2026-02-10 | Rs.69.07 | +1.59% | 37,207.34 | +0.25% |
| 2026-02-11 | Rs.72.68 | +5.23% | 37,256.72 | +0.13% |
| 2026-02-12 | Rs.74.20 | +2.09% | 37,049.40 | -0.56% |
| 2026-02-13 | Rs.74.81 | +0.82% | 36,532.48 | -1.40% |
Key Takeaways
Positive Signals: The week’s 11.19% gain highlights strong technical momentum supported by a Mojo Grade upgrade to Hold, reflecting improved financial results and bullish technical indicators such as daily moving averages and Bollinger Bands. The stock’s outperformance relative to the Sensex (-0.54%) underscores its resilience amid market volatility. Long-term returns remain exceptional, with a one-year gain of 145.66%, far exceeding the Sensex’s 7.97%.
Cautionary Notes: Despite the positive momentum, some short-term technical indicators such as the weekly MACD and KST remain mildly bearish, suggesting potential consolidation or profit-taking phases. The company’s fundamental growth remains moderate, with average ROE at 9.16% and subdued long-term sales growth. Valuation metrics indicate a premium price, and the absence of domestic mutual fund participation may limit liquidity and institutional support.
Conclusion
Tourism Finance Corporation of India Ltd demonstrated a strong and sustained rally this week, driven by technical upgrades and improving financial performance. The stock’s ability to outperform the Sensex amid mixed market conditions reflects growing investor confidence and robust medium-term momentum. While some short-term caution is warranted due to mixed technical signals and valuation concerns, the overall outlook remains constructive. Investors should continue to monitor quarterly results and technical indicators to gauge the sustainability of this upward trend.
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