Technical Trend Overview and Price Movement
The stock closed at ₹443.65 on 13 Feb 2026, down 2.51% from the previous close of ₹455.05. Intraday volatility saw a high of ₹453.25 and a low of ₹440.10, reflecting increased selling pressure. The 52-week range remains wide, with a high of ₹701.50 and a low of ₹240.00, indicating significant historical price swings. The current price is closer to the lower end of this range, underscoring the recent bearish momentum.
Over the past week, Tsf Investments declined by 0.84%, underperforming the Sensex which gained 0.64%. However, the one-month return of 6.76% notably outpaced the Sensex’s 0.07%, suggesting some short-term resilience. Year-to-date, the stock is down 4.05%, lagging the Sensex’s 1.23% decline. Over longer horizons, Tsf Investments has delivered exceptional returns, with a 1-year gain of 63.59% versus Sensex’s 11.98%, and a remarkable 5-year return of 474.68% compared to Sensex’s 70.20%. This disparity highlights the stock’s strong fundamental appeal despite recent technical weakness.
MACD and Momentum Indicators Signal Bearishness
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator presents a mixed but predominantly bearish picture. On a weekly basis, the MACD is firmly bearish, indicating that the short-term momentum is weakening relative to the longer-term trend. The monthly MACD remains mildly bearish, suggesting that while the longer-term downtrend is not severe, it is still present and warrants attention.
The KST (Know Sure Thing) indicator aligns with this view, showing bearish momentum on the weekly chart and mildly bearish conditions monthly. This convergence of momentum indicators points to a sustained weakening in price strength, which could foreshadow further downside if confirmed by other signals.
RSI and Bollinger Bands: Mixed Signals
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on both weekly and monthly timeframes currently shows no clear signal, hovering in neutral territory. This lack of oversold or overbought conditions suggests that the stock is not yet at an extreme, but the absence of bullish RSI momentum adds to the cautious outlook.
Bollinger Bands present a contrasting view: weekly bands are bearish, indicating price pressure near the lower band and potential continuation of the downtrend. Conversely, monthly Bollinger Bands are bullish, implying that over a longer horizon, volatility and price action may still favour upward movement or consolidation. This divergence highlights the complexity of the current technical landscape.
Moving Averages and Volume Trends Confirm Downtrend
Daily moving averages reinforce the bearish stance, with the stock trading below key averages such as the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. This positioning typically signals that short-term selling pressure is dominant and that the stock is struggling to regain upward momentum.
On the volume front, the On-Balance Volume (OBV) indicator shows mildly bullish tendencies weekly, suggesting some accumulation by investors despite price declines. However, the monthly OBV is mildly bearish, indicating that over a longer timeframe, selling pressure may be outweighing buying interest. This mixed volume picture adds nuance to the technical assessment.
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Dow Theory and Broader Technical Context
According to Dow Theory, the weekly chart shows no clear trend, reflecting indecision in the market over the short term. The monthly Dow Theory reading is mildly bearish, consistent with other monthly indicators signalling a cautious outlook. This suggests that while the stock is not in a confirmed downtrend on all fronts, the risk of further weakness remains elevated.
The overall technical trend has shifted from mildly bearish to bearish, a significant change that investors should heed. This shift is corroborated by the downgrade in the Mojo Grade from Hold to Sell on 20 Jan 2026, reflecting deteriorating technical and fundamental conditions. The Mojo Score currently stands at 40.0, reinforcing the sell recommendation.
Market Capitalisation and Sectoral Positioning
Tsf Investments holds a Market Cap Grade of 3, indicating a mid-tier market capitalisation relative to its peers in the holding company sector. The sector itself is characterised by moderate volatility and sensitivity to broader market cycles. Given the stock’s recent underperformance relative to the Sensex in the short term, investors should consider sectoral dynamics alongside company-specific technicals.
Investment Implications and Outlook
While Tsf Investments Ltd has demonstrated impressive long-term returns, the current technical indicators suggest a period of consolidation or correction may be underway. The bearish signals from MACD, moving averages, and Bollinger Bands on the weekly timeframe caution against aggressive accumulation at present levels. The neutral RSI and mixed volume indicators imply that the stock is not yet oversold, leaving room for further downside.
Investors with a long-term horizon may view recent weakness as a potential entry point, but should remain vigilant for confirmation of trend reversals. Short-term traders are advised to exercise caution and consider protective strategies given the prevailing bearish momentum.
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Summary of Technical Ratings and Final Assessment
The comprehensive technical analysis of Tsf Investments Ltd reveals a predominantly bearish momentum shift. Weekly MACD and KST indicators are bearish, daily moving averages confirm downward pressure, and Bollinger Bands on the weekly chart reinforce this negative trend. Monthly indicators are more mixed but lean mildly bearish overall. The absence of strong RSI signals suggests the stock is not yet oversold, indicating potential for further declines before a sustainable recovery.
The downgrade in Mojo Grade to Sell and a Mojo Score of 40.0 reflect these technical weaknesses alongside fundamental considerations. Investors should weigh the stock’s impressive long-term returns against the current technical headwinds and consider risk management strategies accordingly.
In conclusion, Tsf Investments Ltd is navigating a challenging technical environment with bearish momentum dominating near-term price action. While the stock’s historical performance remains strong, the present signals counsel prudence for investors contemplating new positions or holding existing stakes.
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