Stock Price Movement and Market Context
On the day the new low was recorded, Tuticorin Alkali Chemicals & Fertilizers showed signs of a modest recovery, gaining 2.35% and touching an intraday high of Rs.55.93, which represents a 3.71% rise from the low. Despite this uptick, the stock remains below all key moving averages, including the 5-day, 20-day, 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day averages, indicating a sustained downward trend over multiple time frames.
In comparison, the broader market has exhibited resilience. The Sensex, after an initial decline of 119.25 points, rebounded by 270.06 points to trade at 85,257.62, a 0.18% gain. The index is currently 1.06% shy of its 52-week high of 86,159.02 and maintains a bullish stance with the 50-day moving average positioned above the 200-day moving average. Mid-cap stocks have also contributed positively, with the BSE Mid Cap index rising by 0.26% on the same day.
Long-Term and Recent Performance Analysis
Over the past year, Tuticorin Alkali Chemicals & Fertilizers has recorded a return of -41.44%, contrasting sharply with the Sensex’s 5.29% gain during the same period. This underperformance extends beyond the last year, as the stock has lagged behind the BSE500 index over the last three years, one year, and three months. The 52-week high for the stock was Rs.107.70, underscoring the extent of the decline to the current low.
Financial Results and Profitability Trends
The company has reported negative results for eight consecutive quarters, reflecting persistent challenges in profitability. The latest six-month period shows a profit after tax (PAT) of Rs.19.44 crores, which represents a contraction of 28.45% compared to previous periods. Additionally, profits over the past year have fallen by 49.3%, highlighting the pressure on earnings.
Operating cash flow for the year stands at a negative Rs.7.63 crores, indicating cash outflows from core business activities. Interest expenses for the nine-month period have risen by 41.64%, reaching Rs.4.83 crores, which adds to the financial burden on the company.
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Valuation and Debt Metrics
Despite the subdued stock price performance, Tuticorin Alkali Chemicals & Fertilizers exhibits a relatively low debt burden. The company’s Debt to EBITDA ratio is 0.62 times, suggesting a manageable level of leverage. Return on Capital Employed (ROCE) stands at 24.5%, which is considered attractive within the commodity chemicals sector.
The enterprise value to capital employed ratio is 2.9, indicating that the stock is trading at a discount relative to its peers’ historical valuations. This valuation metric reflects the market’s current assessment of the company’s capital efficiency and overall worth.
Shareholding and Market Interest
Domestic mutual funds hold a minimal stake of 0.01% in Tuticorin Alkali Chemicals & Fertilizers. Given their capacity for detailed research and analysis, this limited exposure may reflect a cautious stance towards the company’s current valuation or business outlook.
Sector and Industry Positioning
Operating within the commodity chemicals industry, Tuticorin Alkali Chemicals & Fertilizers faces sector-specific pressures that have influenced its stock performance. The company’s recent results and market behaviour should be viewed in the context of broader industry trends and commodity price fluctuations.
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Summary of Recent Trading and Financial Indicators
The stock’s recent four-day decline culminated in the new 52-week low of Rs.53.06, before a slight rebound on the day of the low. The stock’s performance contrasts with the broader market’s positive momentum, as the Sensex and mid-cap indices have shown gains. The company’s financial indicators reveal ongoing pressures on profitability and cash flow, alongside a rising interest expense burden.
While the company maintains a strong ability to service debt and holds an attractive ROCE, the stock’s valuation and market interest reflect the challenges faced over the past year and longer term. The limited mutual fund holding further underscores the cautious market stance.
Conclusion
Tuticorin Alkali Chemicals & Fertilizers’ fall to a 52-week low at Rs.53.06 marks a notable point in its recent market journey. The stock’s performance, financial results, and valuation metrics provide a comprehensive picture of the company’s current standing within the commodity chemicals sector. Investors and market participants can observe these developments as part of the broader market and sector dynamics.
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