Key Events This Week
09 Feb: Stock opens at Rs.4,168.65, Sensex at 36,730.20
10 Feb: Technical momentum shifts bullish; valuation turns expensive
12 Feb: Mixed technical signals amid strong intraday gains
13 Feb: Strong quarterly financial turnaround reported; Mojo Grade upgraded to Buy
13 Feb: Week closes at Rs.4,331.70 (+3.91%), Sensex closes at 36,532.48 (-0.54%)
09 February 2026: Steady Start Amid Broad Market Gains
TVS Srichakra began the week on a positive note, closing at Rs.4,227.25, up Rs.58.60 or 1.41% from the previous Friday’s close of Rs.4,168.65. This outpaced the Sensex’s 1.04% gain to 37,113.23, signalling early buying interest. Volume was moderate at 141 lakh shares, reflecting steady investor participation. The stock’s price action aligned with a broader market rally, setting the stage for further momentum.
10 February 2026: Bullish Technical Momentum Meets Valuation Concerns
On 10 February, TVS Srichakra’s technical momentum shifted decisively bullish, supported by positive signals from moving averages, Bollinger Bands, and monthly MACD indicators. The stock closed at Rs.4,321.05, gaining Rs.93.80 or 2.22%, well above the Sensex’s modest 0.25% rise to 37,207.34. Intraday volatility was notable, with a high of Rs.4,348.50 and a low of Rs.4,168.65.
However, valuation metrics raised caution. The price-to-earnings ratio surged to 117.16, significantly higher than sector peers such as Apollo Tyres (25.28) and JK Tyre (20.51). Return on capital employed (4.54%) and return on equity (2.39%) remained modest, questioning the sustainability of the premium pricing. The company’s Mojo Grade was Hold with a score of 60.0, reflecting balanced risk-reward amid stretched valuations.
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11 February 2026: Strong Rally Pushes Stock to Weekly High
The stock surged 4.67% on 11 February, closing at Rs.4,523.05, its highest level of the week. This gain of Rs.202.00 outpaced the Sensex’s 0.13% rise to 37,256.72. Volume spiked significantly to 1,209 lakh shares, indicating robust buying interest. The price approached the 52-week high of Rs.4,787.80, reflecting strong short-term momentum supported by bullish daily moving averages and Bollinger Bands.
Technical indicators, however, remained mixed. Weekly MACD was mildly bearish, suggesting some short-term profit-taking risk, while monthly MACD stayed bullish. The Relative Strength Index hovered in neutral territory, indicating no immediate overbought conditions. This divergence suggested potential for continued gains tempered by intermittent consolidation.
12 February 2026: Mixed Technical Signals Amid Profit-Taking
On 12 February, the stock retreated 1.07% to close at Rs.4,474.80, despite intraday gains reaching Rs.4,606.70. The Sensex declined 0.56% to 37,049.40. Volume surged to 4,432 lakh shares, reflecting heightened trading activity. Technical momentum shifted from bullish to mildly bullish, with mixed signals from MACD, KST oscillator, and On-Balance Volume indicators. While daily moving averages remained supportive, weekly MACD and KST suggested caution.
This day’s price action indicated a pause in the rally, with investors digesting recent gains amid sector challenges. Dow Theory assessments showed a mildly bullish weekly trend but a mildly bearish monthly outlook, underscoring the need for close monitoring of upcoming price movements.
13 February 2026: Strong Quarterly Financial Turnaround and Technical Bullishness
TVS Srichakra reported a strong quarterly financial turnaround for Q3 FY26, with operating profit (PBDIT) reaching Rs.78.28 crores and operating margin climbing to 8.54%, both record highs. Net profit after tax rose to Rs.20.25 crores, signalling robust operational efficiency despite sector headwinds. The financial trend score improved dramatically from 2 to 21, reflecting a very positive outlook.
Despite a slight stock price dip of 3.20% to Rs.4,331.70, the company’s Mojo Grade was upgraded from Hold to Buy with a score of 74.0, reflecting increased investor confidence. Technical momentum also strengthened, with bullish Bollinger Bands and rising On-Balance Volume confirming positive trend dynamics. The stock’s one-week gain of 3.91% contrasted with the Sensex’s 0.54% decline, highlighting strong relative performance.
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| Date | Stock Price | Day Change | Sensex | Day Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-09 | Rs.4,227.25 | +1.41% | 37,113.23 | +1.04% |
| 2026-02-10 | Rs.4,321.05 | +2.22% | 37,207.34 | +0.25% |
| 2026-02-11 | Rs.4,523.05 | +4.67% | 37,256.72 | +0.13% |
| 2026-02-12 | Rs.4,474.80 | -1.07% | 37,049.40 | -0.56% |
| 2026-02-13 | Rs.4,331.70 | -3.20% | 36,532.48 | -1.40% |
Key Takeaways
Positive Signals: TVS Srichakra demonstrated strong relative outperformance versus the Sensex, gaining 3.91% while the benchmark declined 0.54%. The stock’s technical momentum improved notably early in the week, supported by bullish moving averages and Bollinger Bands. The company’s Q3 FY26 financial results marked a significant turnaround with record operating profits and margins, underpinning the recent Mojo Grade upgrade to Buy. Volume trends and On-Balance Volume indicators confirmed accumulation, supporting the sustainability of gains.
Cautionary Notes: Despite strong price momentum, valuation metrics remain stretched with a P/E ratio of 117.16, well above sector peers. Return on capital employed and equity are modest, raising questions about the premium pricing. Technical indicators presented mixed signals midweek, with weekly MACD and KST oscillators suggesting short-term consolidation risk. The slight price pullback on 12 and 13 February highlights profit-taking pressures. Operational efficiency metrics such as ROCE and debtors turnover require monitoring to ensure sustained growth.
Conclusion
TVS Srichakra Ltd’s performance over the week ending 13 February 2026 reflects a complex interplay of strong technical momentum, robust quarterly financial results, and valuation challenges. The stock’s 3.91% weekly gain amid a declining Sensex underscores its relative strength and investor interest. The recent upgrade to a Buy Mojo Grade aligns with improved fundamentals and technical outlook, although mixed signals from some indicators counsel prudence. Investors should watch for confirmation of trend continuation through volume and price action, while remaining mindful of the stretched valuation and operational efficiency metrics. Overall, TVS Srichakra remains a noteworthy stock within the tyres and rubber products sector, balancing growth potential with measured risk considerations.
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