Recent Price Movement and Market Context
On 5 December 2025, TVS Supply Chain Solutions recorded an intraday low of Rs.103.75, which also represents its all-time low price. This level was reached following a four-day consecutive decline, during which the stock lost approximately 4.51% in value. The day's trading saw the stock underperform its sector by 0.74%, with a day-on-day change of -1.13%. Notably, the stock is currently trading below all key moving averages, including the 5-day, 20-day, 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day averages, signalling a persistent downward momentum.
In contrast, the broader market displayed resilience on the same day. The Sensex, after opening 139.84 points lower, rebounded sharply to close 459.97 points higher, ending at 85,585.45, which is just 0.67% shy of its 52-week high of 86,159.02. The index is trading above its 50-day moving average, which itself is positioned above the 200-day moving average, indicating a bullish trend for the benchmark. Mega-cap stocks led this recovery, highlighting a divergence between large-cap market leaders and mid-to-small cap stocks such as TVS Supply Chain Solutions.
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Long-Term Performance and Financial Metrics
Over the past year, TVS Supply Chain Solutions has recorded a return of -41.82%, a stark contrast to the Sensex’s 4.69% gain during the same period. The stock’s 52-week high was Rs.196.55, underscoring the extent of the recent decline. This underperformance extends beyond the last year, with the stock also lagging behind the BSE500 index over three years, one year, and three months.
Examining the company’s financial fundamentals reveals several areas of concern. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of operating profits over the last five years stands at -1.29%, indicating a contraction in core earnings. The company’s ability to service its debt is limited, with an average EBIT to interest ratio of 0.84, suggesting that earnings before interest and tax are insufficient to comfortably cover interest expenses. Additionally, the average return on equity (ROE) is 3.86%, reflecting modest profitability relative to shareholders’ funds.
Another factor exerting downward pressure on the stock is the high proportion of pledged promoter shares, which account for 29.23% of the total promoter holding. In volatile or declining markets, such a level of pledged shares can contribute to increased selling pressure as lenders may seek to liquidate pledged shares to cover margin calls.
Recent Operational Highlights and Valuation
Despite the subdued stock performance, some recent operational metrics show positive trends. The company reported its highest annual operating cash flow at Rs.524.20 crores in the latest financial year. The return on capital employed (ROCE) for the half-year period reached 8.72%, the highest recorded in recent times. The debt-to-equity ratio for the half-year stood at 1.14 times, the lowest in recent periods, indicating a modest reduction in leverage.
Valuation metrics also suggest that TVS Supply Chain Solutions is trading at a discount relative to its peers. The company’s ROCE of 4.3% is accompanied by an enterprise value to capital employed ratio of 1.8, which is comparatively attractive. Furthermore, the company’s profits have risen by 302% over the past year, despite the stock’s negative return, resulting in a price/earnings to growth (PEG) ratio of 0.1. This divergence between profit growth and stock price performance highlights the complex dynamics influencing the share price.
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Sector and Industry Context
TVS Supply Chain Solutions operates within the transport services industry, a sector that has faced varied headwinds in recent times. While the broader market, as represented by the Sensex, has shown strength and resilience, mid-cap and sector-specific stocks have encountered pressures from both macroeconomic factors and company-specific financial metrics. The divergence between the stock’s performance and the broader market indices underscores the selective nature of market gains and losses.
Summary of Key Price and Performance Indicators
To summarise, TVS Supply Chain Solutions’ stock price has reached Rs.103.75, its lowest level in 52 weeks and all-time trading history. The stock’s recent four-day decline has resulted in a cumulative loss of 4.51%. It is trading below all major moving averages, signalling continued downward momentum. The company’s long-term financial indicators show subdued growth and profitability, while a significant portion of promoter shares remains pledged, adding to market pressures. Despite these challenges, certain operational metrics such as cash flow and ROCE have shown improvement, and valuation ratios indicate the stock is trading at a discount relative to peers.
Investors and market participants will likely continue to monitor these factors closely as the stock navigates this low price territory within a broader market environment that remains buoyant.
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