Key Events This Week
29 Dec 2025: Technical momentum shifts amid mixed signals, stock closes at ₹725.50 (-1.54%)
30 Dec 2025: Death Cross formation signals potential bearish trend, stock falls to ₹713.85 (-1.61%)
31 Dec 2025: Downgrade to Sell rating amid technical weakness and debt concerns, stock closes at ₹715.55 (+0.24%)
2 Jan 2026: Week closes at ₹708.10 (+1.36%), slight recovery but overall weekly decline persists
29 December 2025: Mixed Technical Momentum Amid Market Volatility
On 29 December, V-Mart Retail’s stock price declined 1.54% to close at ₹725.50, underperforming the Sensex which fell 0.41%. The stock’s technical momentum shifted from mildly bullish to sideways, with bearish weekly and monthly MACD indicators contrasting with mildly bullish daily moving averages. Bollinger Bands and the Know Sure Thing (KST) indicator suggested increased volatility and subdued momentum. Despite this, the On-Balance Volume (OBV) on a monthly basis remained bullish, indicating some longer-term accumulation. The stock traded within a narrow intraday range, reflecting investor caution amid mixed signals.
30 December 2025: Death Cross Formation Signals Bearish Outlook
On 30 December, the stock fell further by 1.61% to ₹713.85, while the Sensex was nearly flat, down 0.01%. A significant technical development occurred as the 50-day moving average crossed below the 200-day moving average, forming a Death Cross. This pattern is widely regarded as a bearish signal, indicating potential medium to long-term downtrend. The stock’s one-year return was down 26.26%, sharply lagging the Sensex’s 8.21% gain. The Mojo Score was downgraded to 43.0 with a Sell rating, reflecting deteriorating momentum and quality. Other technical indicators such as MACD and Bollinger Bands confirmed the bearish bias, while valuation metrics showed the stock trading at a P/E of 59.72, below the sector average but still elevated.
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31 December 2025: Downgrade to Sell Amid Technical Weakness and Debt Concerns
Despite a slight intraday recovery, V-Mart Retail closed marginally higher by 0.24% at ₹715.55 on 31 December, while the Sensex gained 0.83%. However, MarketsMOJO downgraded the stock from Hold to Sell, citing deteriorating technical momentum and financial risks. The company’s Return on Equity (ROE) was a modest 3.82%, and its Debt to EBITDA ratio stood at a concerning 4.49 times, signalling elevated leverage and limited debt servicing capacity. Operationally, the company showed strong sales growth of 22.07% year-on-year and a 273.1% increase in profits over the past year, but these positives were overshadowed by the technical downshift and valuation concerns. The technical trend shifted decisively to bearish, with MACD, Bollinger Bands, and moving averages all signalling weakness. Institutional investors hold nearly 50% of the stock, but this has not prevented the negative momentum.
2 January 2026: Slight Recovery but Weekly Downtrend Persists
On the final trading day of the week, V-Mart Retail rebounded 1.36% to ₹708.10, outperforming the Sensex’s 0.81% gain. The stock’s volume surged to 65,837 shares, indicating renewed interest. Despite this recovery, the stock closed the week down 3.90% overall, underperforming the Sensex which rose 1.35%. Technical indicators remain cautious, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) neutral and On-Balance Volume mixed, suggesting that while some accumulation may be occurring, the bearish trend has not yet reversed. The stock remains well below its 52-week high of ₹1,006.79 and close to its 52-week low of ₹675.01, highlighting a fragile price position.
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Daily Price Performance vs Sensex
| Date | Stock Price | Day Change | Sensex | Day Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-29 | Rs.725.50 | -1.54% | 37,140.23 | -0.41% |
| 2025-12-30 | Rs.713.85 | -1.61% | 37,135.83 | -0.01% |
| 2025-12-31 | Rs.715.55 | +0.24% | 37,443.41 | +0.83% |
| 2026-01-01 | Rs.698.60 | -2.37% | 37,497.10 | +0.14% |
| 2026-01-02 | Rs.708.10 | +1.36% | 37,799.57 | +0.81% |
Key Takeaways
Positive Signals: Despite the weekly decline, V-Mart Retail demonstrated operational strength with robust sales growth of 22.07% year-on-year and a 273.1% increase in profits over the past year. The monthly On-Balance Volume indicator suggests some longer-term accumulation by investors, and institutional holdings remain substantial at 49.57%.
Cautionary Signals: The formation of a Death Cross and the downgrade to a Sell rating reflect deteriorating technical momentum and heightened risk. Elevated leverage with a Debt to EBITDA ratio of 4.49 times and a low Return on Equity of 3.82% raise concerns about financial stability. The stock’s consistent underperformance relative to the Sensex across multiple time frames highlights ongoing challenges.
Conclusion
V-Mart Retail Ltd.’s week was marked by significant technical and fundamental developments that contributed to a 3.90% decline in its share price, underperforming the broader market. The emergence of bearish technical patterns, including the Death Cross and a shift to a Sell rating, underscores the challenges facing the stock in the near term. While operational metrics remain encouraging, elevated debt levels and weak profitability metrics temper optimism. Investors should approach the stock with caution, monitoring key technical levels and financial indicators closely before considering new positions or adjustments.
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