Varun Beverages Technical Momentum Shifts Amid Bearish Signals

Nov 19 2025 08:09 AM IST

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Varun Beverages has experienced a notable shift in its technical parameters, reflecting a change in price momentum and market sentiment. Recent data indicates a transition from a mildly bearish to a bearish technical trend, with key indicators such as MACD, RSI, and moving averages signalling adjustments in the stock’s evaluation.

The stock closed at ₹457.40, down from the previous close of ₹461.70, marking a day change of -0.93%. Its 52-week trading range spans from ₹419.40 to ₹663.70, with the current price closer to the lower end of this spectrum. Over the past week, Varun Beverages recorded a return of -2.77%, contrasting with the Sensex’s positive 0.96% return in the same period. Monthly returns show a slight negative movement of -0.87% against the Sensex’s 0.86%. Year-to-date, the stock’s return stands at -28.36%, while the Sensex has gained 8.36%. Over longer horizons, Varun Beverages has outperformed the Sensex, with a three-year return of 99.86% compared to 37.31%, and a five-year return of 572.65% versus 91.65% for the benchmark index.

Examining technical indicators, the weekly MACD remains mildly bullish, while the monthly MACD shows a mildly bearish stance, suggesting a divergence in momentum across timeframes. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) does not currently signal a definitive trend on either weekly or monthly charts. Bollinger Bands indicate bearish conditions on both weekly and monthly scales, implying increased volatility with downward pressure. Daily moving averages align with a bearish outlook, reinforcing the short-term negative momentum. The Know Sure Thing (KST) indicator reflects bearishness weekly and mildly bearish conditions monthly. Dow Theory and On-Balance Volume (OBV) indicators do not present clear trends at present, indicating a lack of strong directional conviction from volume and price action.

These technical signals collectively point to a revision in Varun Beverages’ evaluation, with momentum indicators and moving averages suggesting a cautious stance. The stock’s recent price action and technical parameter changes warrant close observation for investors monitoring momentum shifts within the beverages sector.

From a market capitalisation perspective, Varun Beverages holds a grade of 1, reflecting its standing within the beverages sector. The stock’s technical trend adjustment from mildly bearish to bearish on 19 Nov 2025 follows a revision in its mojo score to 44.0, with a corresponding change in mojo grade from Hold to Sell on 18 Nov 2025. This adjustment underscores a shift in the technical evaluation framework applied to the stock.

Investors should consider these technical developments alongside broader market conditions and sectoral dynamics. While Varun Beverages has demonstrated strong long-term returns relative to the Sensex, recent momentum indicators suggest a period of consolidation or downward pressure. Monitoring key technical levels and indicator signals will be essential for assessing future price movements.

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