Technical Trend Overview
Wanbury Ltd’s technical trend has shifted from mildly bearish to outright bearish, reflecting increased selling pressure. The daily moving averages have turned decisively bearish, indicating that short-term price action is under strain. The stock closed at ₹226.15 on 1 Jan 2026, down 1.99% from the previous close of ₹230.75, with intraday lows touching ₹226.15 and highs at ₹233.70. This price action suggests resistance near the upper band and a lack of buying conviction.
MACD and Momentum Indicators
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator remains bearish on the weekly chart and mildly bearish on the monthly chart. This divergence suggests that while short-term momentum is weakening, longer-term momentum is still under pressure but less severe. The bearish weekly MACD signals that the stock’s recent rallies lack strength, and the risk of further downside remains elevated.
The KST (Know Sure Thing) indicator aligns with this view, showing bearish momentum on the weekly timeframe and mildly bearish on the monthly. This confirms that Wanbury’s price momentum is deteriorating across multiple time horizons, reinforcing the negative outlook.
RSI and Bollinger Bands Analysis
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on both weekly and monthly charts currently shows no clear signal, hovering in a neutral zone. This suggests that the stock is neither oversold nor overbought, leaving room for further downside before a potential reversal. However, the Bollinger Bands paint a more cautious picture, with bearish signals on both weekly and monthly charts. The price is trading near the lower band, indicating increased volatility and a potential continuation of the downward trend.
Moving Averages and Volume Trends
Daily moving averages have turned bearish, with the stock trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages. This technical setup is typically viewed as a negative signal, suggesting that the stock is in a downtrend. The On-Balance Volume (OBV) indicator shows a mildly bullish trend on the weekly chart but no clear trend on the monthly, indicating that volume support for any rallies remains weak and inconsistent.
Price Performance Relative to Sensex
Wanbury Ltd’s recent price performance has lagged significantly behind the broader market benchmark, the Sensex. Over the past week, the stock declined by 4.92%, compared to a marginal 0.22% drop in the Sensex. The one-month return shows an even starker contrast, with Wanbury down 11.76% while the Sensex fell only 0.49%. Year-to-date and one-year returns for Wanbury stand at -21.65%, whereas the Sensex has gained 9.06% over the same periods.
Despite this short-term underperformance, Wanbury’s longer-term returns remain impressive, with a three-year return of 361.06% compared to the Sensex’s 40.07%, and a five-year return of 391.63% versus 78.47% for the benchmark. However, the ten-year return of 143.96% trails the Sensex’s 226.30%, reflecting some volatility and sector-specific challenges over the last decade.
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Dow Theory and Market Sentiment
Interestingly, Dow Theory readings for Wanbury Ltd remain mildly bullish on both weekly and monthly charts, suggesting that despite the technical deterioration, some underlying market sentiment remains positive. This divergence between Dow Theory and other technical indicators may reflect sector-specific optimism or anticipation of a fundamental catalyst. However, the prevailing bearish signals from momentum and moving averages caution investors against premature optimism.
Mojo Score and Rating Update
MarketsMOJO has downgraded Wanbury Ltd’s Mojo Grade from Hold to Sell as of 10 Nov 2025, reflecting the deteriorating technical and fundamental outlook. The current Mojo Score stands at 43.0, indicating weak overall momentum and quality metrics. The Market Cap Grade is rated 4, suggesting moderate market capitalisation but insufficient to offset the negative technical signals. This downgrade aligns with the technical analysis, signalling investors to exercise caution.
Implications for Investors
Given the bearish technical momentum, investors should be wary of initiating new long positions in Wanbury Ltd at current levels. The stock’s failure to sustain above key moving averages and the negative MACD and Bollinger Band signals point to potential further downside risk. The neutral RSI suggests that there is room for the stock to decline before becoming oversold, which could prolong the correction phase.
Long-term investors may consider monitoring the stock for signs of a technical reversal, particularly if the RSI moves into oversold territory or if the MACD shows signs of bullish crossover. Additionally, any improvement in volume trends or a shift in Dow Theory signals could provide early indications of a turnaround.
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Conclusion
Wanbury Ltd’s technical landscape has shifted decidedly bearish, with multiple indicators signalling weakening momentum and increased downside risk. The downgrade to a Sell rating by MarketsMOJO underscores the need for caution among investors. While the stock’s long-term returns remain strong relative to the Sensex, recent price action and technical signals suggest that the near-term outlook is challenging.
Investors should closely monitor key technical levels and momentum indicators for signs of stabilisation before considering fresh exposure. Until then, the prevailing technical environment favours a defensive stance, with a focus on risk management and portfolio diversification.
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