Key Events This Week
02 Feb: Intraday low amid price pressure and volatility
02 Feb: Mojo Score upgraded from Strong Sell to Sell
02 Feb: Technical momentum shift with 11.71% intraday surge
06 Feb: Week closes at Rs.40.05 (+8.33%) outperforming Sensex
02 February: Intraday Volatility and Price Pressure
Welspun Specialty Solutions Ltd began the week with a turbulent session on 02 February 2026. The stock opened positively, surging 4.12% to an intraday high of Rs.43, approaching its 52-week peak of Rs.43.25. However, this optimism was short-lived as the price reversed sharply, hitting an intraday low of Rs.38, a decline of 7.99% from the previous close. The session closed with a net loss of 7.34%, settling at Rs.38.33.
This volatility contrasted with the broader market’s performance, as the Sensex declined 1.03% to 35,814.09. The stock’s intraday swings reflected profit-taking and reassessment of valuations amid a mixed technical backdrop. Despite the day’s decline, Welspun remained above key moving averages, signalling that the longer-term uptrend was intact.
02 February: Mojo Score Upgrade Reflects Technical Improvements
On the same day, MarketsMOJO upgraded Welspun Specialty Solutions Ltd’s Mojo Grade from Strong Sell to Sell, raising the Mojo Score to 44.0. This upgrade was driven by a shift in technical indicators from a sideways trend to a mildly bullish outlook, despite persistent valuation concerns.
Technical parameters showed a mixed picture: the weekly MACD remained mildly bearish, but the monthly MACD turned bullish, suggesting improving longer-term momentum. The weekly RSI was bearish, indicating short-term selling pressure, while Bollinger Bands on weekly and monthly charts were bullish, supporting upward price movement. Daily moving averages also turned positive, reinforcing short-term momentum. However, the Know Sure Thing (KST) indicator remained mildly bearish, and Dow Theory showed no clear trend, reflecting ongoing uncertainty.
Valuation metrics remained stretched, with a price-to-earnings ratio of 124.56, significantly higher than peers. The company’s enterprise value to EBITDA ratio stood at 59.83, and price-to-book at 6.16, signalling expensive valuation. Profitability metrics were modest, with ROCE at 4.61% and ROE at 4.95%, while high debt levels (debt-to-equity ratio of 4.60) increased financial risk.
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02 February: Technical Momentum Shift with Strong Intraday Surge
Also on 02 February, Welspun Specialty Solutions Ltd demonstrated a significant technical momentum shift, closing the day at Rs.41.30 after an intraday gain of 11.71%. This surge marked a transition from a sideways trend to a mildly bullish technical stance, supported by bullish monthly MACD and Bollinger Bands, as well as positive daily moving averages.
Despite this, some indicators remained cautious. The weekly RSI was bearish, suggesting short-term consolidation or selling pressure, and the Know Sure Thing (KST) indicator was mildly bearish on weekly and monthly timeframes. Dow Theory analysis showed no definitive trend, indicating mixed signals overall.
The stock’s ability to outperform the Sensex, which declined approximately 1% over the week, highlighted its relative strength within the iron and steel products sector. Long-term returns remained impressive, with three-year gains of 181.65% compared to the Sensex’s 35.67%, and a ten-year return of 886.41% dwarfing the benchmark’s 224.57%.
03 to 06 February: Consolidation and Final Weekly Gains
Following the volatile start, Welspun Specialty Solutions Ltd experienced moderate fluctuations over the next days. On 03 February, the stock dipped slightly by 0.18% to Rs.38.26 amid a strong Sensex rally of 2.63%. The 04 February session saw a rebound with a 3.37% gain to Rs.39.55, outpacing the Sensex’s 0.37% rise.
However, on 05 February, the stock corrected by 2.40% to Rs.38.60, while the Sensex declined 0.53%. The week closed on 06 February with a robust 3.76% gain to Rs.40.05, marginally outperforming the Sensex’s 0.10% increase. Volume levels fluctuated, with the highest recorded on 02 February at 570,542 shares, reflecting heightened trading interest during the technical upgrade and momentum shift.
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| Date | Stock Price | Day Change | Sensex | Day Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-02 | Rs.38.33 | +3.68% | 35,814.09 | -1.03% |
| 2026-02-03 | Rs.38.26 | -0.18% | 36,755.96 | +2.63% |
| 2026-02-04 | Rs.39.55 | +3.37% | 36,890.21 | +0.37% |
| 2026-02-05 | Rs.38.60 | -2.40% | 36,695.11 | -0.53% |
| 2026-02-06 | Rs.40.05 | +3.76% | 36,730.20 | +0.10% |
Key Takeaways
Welspun Specialty Solutions Ltd’s week was characterised by strong price gains of 8.33%, substantially outperforming the Sensex’s 1.51% rise. The stock demonstrated resilience amid intraday volatility and sector-specific pressures, supported by a technical upgrade from MarketsMOJO and a shift to a mildly bullish momentum.
However, valuation metrics remain stretched, with a high PE ratio and elevated leverage, signalling caution. Mixed technical indicators suggest that while the medium to long-term outlook is improving, short-term volatility and consolidation may persist. The company’s recent operational improvements and strong historical returns provide a solid foundation, but investors should remain mindful of financial risks and market dynamics.
Conclusion
In summary, Welspun Specialty Solutions Ltd’s performance over the week reflects a complex interplay of technical momentum, valuation challenges, and market volatility. The upgrade to a Sell rating from Strong Sell and the significant intraday price movements highlight a stock in transition, with cautious optimism tempered by fundamental concerns.
The stock’s ability to outperform the Sensex and maintain levels above key moving averages suggests potential for further gains, but mixed technical signals and expensive valuation warrant careful monitoring. Investors should consider these factors in the context of their portfolio strategy and risk tolerance as the stock navigates this phase of consolidation and momentum shift.
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