Why is Lehar Footwears falling/rising?

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On 08-Dec, Lehar Footwears Ltd witnessed a decline in its share price, closing at ₹232.60, down ₹2.60 or 1.11% from the previous close, reflecting a continuation of recent downward momentum amid broader sector weakness and technical challenges.




Recent Price Performance and Sector Context


Lehar Footwears has experienced a downward trajectory over the past week, with a 2.74% loss compared to the Sensex's modest 0.63% decline. Over the last month, the stock has fallen 5.37%, contrasting with the Sensex's 2.27% gain. Year-to-date, the stock is down 6.96%, while the benchmark index has risen by 8.91%. Despite these short-term setbacks, the stock has delivered impressive long-term returns, appreciating 153.65% over three years and nearly tenfold over five years, significantly outperforming the Sensex in both periods.


On the day in question, the leather sector, to which Lehar Footwears belongs, declined by 3.28%, indicating broader sectoral weakness that likely weighed on the stock. However, it is notable that Lehar Footwears outperformed its sector by 2.21% on the day, suggesting relative resilience despite the overall negative sentiment.



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Intraday Trading Dynamics and Technical Indicators


During the trading session, Lehar Footwears touched an intraday low of ₹225, marking a 4.34% drop from previous levels. The weighted average price indicates that a larger volume of shares traded closer to this low price, signalling selling pressure. Furthermore, the stock is currently trading below all key moving averages—5-day, 20-day, 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day—highlighting a bearish technical setup that may be discouraging short-term buyers.


Investor participation has been rising, as evidenced by a significant increase in delivery volume. On 05 Dec, delivery volume surged to 12,430 shares, a 168.42% increase compared to the five-day average. This heightened activity suggests that while some investors are exiting positions, others may be accumulating at lower levels, reflecting a divergence in market views.


Liquidity remains adequate, with the stock's traded value supporting reasonable trade sizes, ensuring that investors can enter or exit positions without excessive price impact.



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Balancing Short-Term Weakness with Long-Term Strength


While the recent price decline and technical indicators point to short-term challenges for Lehar Footwears, the stock’s long-term performance remains robust. Its substantial gains over three and five years underscore the company’s growth potential and resilience in the footwear sector. The current weakness may be partly attributed to broader sectoral pressures and profit-taking after a strong rally in previous years.


Investors should weigh the stock’s recent underperformance against its historical outperformance and consider the sector’s cyclical nature. The rising delivery volumes suggest that some market participants view the current levels as an opportunity, even as others remain cautious amid the prevailing downtrend.


In summary, Lehar Footwears’ share price decline on 08-Dec is primarily driven by sectoral weakness in leather stocks, technical selling pressure reflected in moving averages and intraday lows, and a short-term downtrend over the past two days. However, the stock’s relative outperformance versus its sector and strong long-term returns indicate underlying strength that may appeal to investors with a longer investment horizon.





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