Recent Price Movement and Market Context
On 12 Feb 2026, Wonderla Holidays Ltd closed at ₹519.40, down 1.84% from the previous close of ₹529.15. The stock traded within a range of ₹517.20 to ₹539.25 during the day, reflecting heightened volatility. This price sits closer to the 52-week low of ₹477.45 than the 52-week high of ₹729.35, indicating a significant retracement from its peak levels.
Comparatively, the stock has underperformed the broader Sensex index over multiple time frames. While the Sensex gained 0.50% over the past week and 0.79% over the last month, Wonderla Holidays declined by 0.16% and 0.56% respectively. Year-to-date, the stock is down 1.36% versus the Sensex’s 1.16% loss. Over the past year, the divergence is stark with Wonderla plunging 23.68% while the Sensex rose 10.41%. However, the company has outpaced the Sensex over five years, delivering a 143.05% return compared to the index’s 63.46%, underscoring its long-term growth credentials despite recent setbacks.
Technical Trend Analysis: From Mildly Bearish to Bearish
Technical momentum for Wonderla Holidays has deteriorated, with the overall trend shifting from mildly bearish to bearish. This downgrade is reflected in several key indicators and moving averages, signalling increased downside risk in the near term.
The daily moving averages have turned bearish, with the stock price trading below its short and medium-term averages. This suggests that recent selling pressure has overwhelmed buying interest, weakening the immediate trend. The weekly and monthly moving averages also support this bearish stance, reinforcing the negative momentum.
MACD and Momentum Oscillators
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator presents a mixed picture. On a weekly basis, the MACD remains mildly bullish, indicating some underlying positive momentum in the intermediate term. However, the monthly MACD has turned bearish, signalling that the longer-term momentum is waning. This divergence between weekly and monthly MACD readings suggests that while short-term traders may find some opportunities, the broader trend is losing strength.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on both weekly and monthly charts currently shows no clear signal, hovering in neutral territory. This lack of directional momentum from RSI implies that the stock is neither overbought nor oversold, but the absence of a bullish RSI signal adds to the cautious outlook.
Bollinger Bands and Volatility
Bollinger Bands on weekly and monthly timeframes are mildly bearish, indicating that the stock price is trending towards the lower band. This suggests increased volatility and potential downward pressure. The narrowing of bands in recent weeks also points to a consolidation phase, which often precedes a breakout or breakdown. Given the bearish bias, investors should watch for a decisive move below the lower band as a confirmation of further weakness.
Additional Technical Indicators: KST, Dow Theory, and OBV
The Know Sure Thing (KST) indicator is bearish on both weekly and monthly charts, reinforcing the negative momentum. This oscillator, which tracks smoothed rate-of-change values, signals that the stock’s price momentum is declining across multiple time horizons.
Dow Theory readings are mixed: weekly data shows a mildly bullish stance, while monthly data is mildly bearish. This divergence highlights the tension between short-term optimism and longer-term caution among market participants.
On-Balance Volume (OBV) also reflects this duality. Weekly OBV is mildly bullish, suggesting some accumulation by traders, but monthly OBV is mildly bearish, indicating that longer-term selling pressure may be prevailing.
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Mojo Score and Ratings Update
MarketsMOJO assigns Wonderla Holidays a Mojo Score of 34.0, categorising it as a Sell. This represents a downgrade from the previous Strong Sell rating on 10 Feb 2026, reflecting a slight improvement but still signalling caution. The Market Cap Grade stands at 3, indicating a mid-tier market capitalisation relative to peers in the Leisure Services sector.
The downgrade in technical trend and the modest improvement in Mojo Grade suggest that while the stock may have stabilised somewhat, it remains vulnerable to further downside. Investors should weigh these technical signals alongside fundamental factors before making allocation decisions.
Long-Term Performance Versus Sector and Index
Despite recent weakness, Wonderla Holidays has delivered robust long-term returns, outperforming the Sensex over five years with a 143.05% gain compared to the index’s 63.46%. Over three years, the stock returned 32.08%, slightly lagging the Sensex’s 38.81%. However, the 10-year return of 53.96% trails the Sensex’s 267.00%, reflecting sector-specific challenges and broader market dynamics.
Within the Leisure Services sector, Wonderla remains a notable player, but its recent technical deterioration may open the door for competitors or alternative investments with stronger momentum profiles.
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Investor Takeaway and Outlook
Technical indicators for Wonderla Holidays Ltd currently paint a cautious picture. The shift from mildly bearish to bearish trends, combined with bearish moving averages and mixed momentum signals, suggests that the stock may face further pressure in the near term. The absence of strong RSI signals and the divergence between weekly and monthly MACD readings highlight uncertainty and potential volatility ahead.
Investors should monitor key support levels near ₹517 and the 52-week low of ₹477.45, as breaches could accelerate declines. Conversely, a sustained move above short-term moving averages and a positive MACD crossover on monthly charts would be required to signal a reversal in momentum.
Given the current Mojo Grade of Sell and the technical backdrop, a cautious stance is advisable. Long-term investors may consider the stock’s historical outperformance but should remain vigilant to evolving technical signals and sector dynamics.
Summary of Technical Indicators for Wonderla Holidays Ltd
- Technical Trend: Bearish (shifted from mildly bearish)
- MACD: Weekly - Mildly Bullish; Monthly - Bearish
- RSI: Weekly & Monthly - No clear signal
- Bollinger Bands: Weekly & Monthly - Mildly Bearish
- Moving Averages: Daily - Bearish
- KST: Weekly & Monthly - Bearish
- Dow Theory: Weekly - Mildly Bullish; Monthly - Mildly Bearish
- OBV: Weekly - Mildly Bullish; Monthly - Mildly Bearish
Overall, the technical landscape for Wonderla Holidays Ltd suggests a stock in transition, with bearish momentum prevailing but intermittent bullish signals offering limited relief. Investors should balance these insights with fundamental analysis and sector outlook before committing capital.
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