Athabasca Oil Corp. (ATH) Stock Recommendation | Score, Valuation, Technicals & Financial Trend

Score

Click here to find our call on this stock

Strong Sell

Sell

Hold

Buy

Strong Buy

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Comparison

Company

Score

Quality

Valuation

Financial

Technical

Suncor Energy, Inc.

Whitecap Resources, Inc.

Peyto Exploration & Development Corp.

Athabasca Oil Corp.

Baytex Energy Corp.

Crescent Point Energy Corp.

NuVista Energy Ltd.

Cenovus Energy, Inc.

Paramount Resources Ltd.

Imperial Oil Ltd.

Enerplus Corp.

Why is Athabasca Oil Corp. ?

Strong Long Term Fundamental Strength with a 46.36% CAGR growth in Operating Profits

Healthy long term growth as Operating profit has grown by an annual rate 46.36%

The company has declared Positive results for the last 3 consecutive quarters

OPERATING CASH FLOW(Y) Highest at CAD 570.6 MM

With ROE of 17.86%, it has a attractive valuation with a 1.91 Price to Book Value

The stock is trading at a discount compared to its peers' average historical valuations
Over the past year, while the stock has generated a return of 37.80%, its profits have risen by 185.5% ; the PEG ratio of the company is 0.1

Consistent Returns over the last 3 years

Along with generating 37.80% returns in the last 1 year, the stock has outperformed S&P/TSX 60 in each of the last 3 annual periods

Real-Time Research Report

Verdict Report

How much should you hold?

Overall Portfolio exposure to Athabasca Oil Corp. should be less than 10%
Overall Portfolio exposure to Oil should be less than 30%

(If sector exposure > 30%, please use optimiser tool to see which are the best stocks to hold in Oil)

When to exit? - We will constantly monitor the company and suggest at the appropriate time to exit from the stock

Is Athabasca Oil Corp. for you?

High Risk, High Return

Absolute

Risk Adjusted

Volatility

Athabasca Oil Corp.

56.66%

46.53

40.09%

S&P/TSX 60

19.1%

1.54

14.62%

Quality

Management Risk

Growth

Capital Structure

Quality grade scale :

Below Average, Average, Good, Excellent

Quality key factors

Factor

Value

Sales Growth (5y)

19.68%

EBIT Growth (5y)

46.36%

EBIT to Interest (avg)

5.69

Debt to EBITDA (avg)

2.07

Net Debt to Equity (avg)

-0.06

Sales to Capital Employed (avg)

0.70

Tax Ratio

23.39%

Dividend Payout Ratio

Pledged Shares

Institutional Holding

0.02%

ROCE (avg)

17.81%

ROE (avg)

13.50%

Valuation

Valuation Scorecard

Valuation grade scale :

Very Risky, Risky, Very Expensive, Expensive, Fair, Attractive, Very Attractive

Valuation Key Factors

Factor

Value

P/E Ratio

Industry P/E

Price to Book Value

1.87

EV to EBIT

7.28

EV to EBITDA

5.60

EV to Capital Employed

1.93

EV to Sales

2.31

PEG Ratio

0.05

Dividend Yield

ROCE (Latest)

26.46%

ROE (Latest)

17.86%

Technicals

Technical key factors

Indicator

Weekly

Monthly

MACD

Bullish

RSI

No Signal

Bollinger Bands

Bullish

Moving Averages

Bullish (Daily)

KST

Bullish

Dow Theory

Mildly Bearish

No Trend

OBV

No Trend

Technical Indicator Scale: Bearish, Mildly Bearish, Sideways, Mildly Bullish, Bullish Turned

Technical Movement

Analyse All Technical Factors

Financial Trend

Financial Trend Scorecard

Financial Trend scale:

Very Negative, Negative, Flat, Positive, Very Positive, Outstanding

3What is working for the Company

OPERATING CASH FLOW(Y)

Highest at CAD 570.6 MM

-8What is not working for the Company

RAW MATERIAL COST(Y)

Grown by 23.45% (YoY

OPERATING PROFIT(Q)

Lowest at CAD 130.52 MM

OPERATING PROFIT MARGIN(Q)

Lowest at 37.41 %

PRE-TAX PROFIT(Q)

Lowest at CAD 78.48 MM

NET PROFIT(Q)

Lowest at CAD 60.24 MM

EPS(Q)

Lowest at CAD 0.11

Here's what is working for Athabasca Oil Corp.

Operating Cash Flow

Highest at CAD 570.6 MM and Grown

In each year in the last three years

MOJO Watch

The company has generated higher cash revenues from business operations

Operating Cash Flows (CAD MM)

Here's what is not working for Athabasca Oil Corp.

Operating Profit

Lowest at CAD 130.52 MM

in the last five periods

MOJO Watch

Near term Operating Profit trend is negative

Operating Profit (CAD MM)

Operating Profit Margin

Lowest at 37.41 %

in the last five periods

MOJO Watch

Company's profit margin has deteriorated

Operating Profit to Sales

Pre-Tax Profit

Lowest at CAD 78.48 MM

in the last five periods

MOJO Watch

Near term Pre-Tax Profit trend is negative

Pre-Tax Profit (CAD MM)

Pre-Tax Profit

At CAD 78.48 MM has Fallen at -32.54%

over average net sales of the previous four periods of CAD 116.33 MM

MOJO Watch

Near term Pre-Tax Profit trend is negative

Pre-Tax Profit (CAD MM)

Net Profit

Lowest at CAD 60.24 MM

in the last five periods

MOJO Watch

Near term Net Profit trend is negative

Net Profit (CAD MM)

Net Profit

At CAD 60.24 MM has Fallen at -31.37%

over average net sales of the previous four periods of CAD 87.77 MM

MOJO Watch

Near term Net Profit trend is negative

Net Profit (CAD MM)

EPS

Lowest at CAD 0.11

in the last five periods

MOJO Watch

Declining profitability; company has created lower earnings for shareholders

EPS (CAD)

Raw Material Cost

Grown by 23.45% (YoY)

MOJO Watch

The company's ability to pass on the cost of raw materials to customers has deteriorated; this may lead to a fall in profit margin

Raw Material Cost as a percentage of Sales